<?xml version='1.0' encoding='UTF-8'?><?xml-stylesheet href="http://www.blogger.com/styles/atom.css" type="text/css"?><feed xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom' xmlns:openSearch='http://a9.com/-/spec/opensearchrss/1.0/' xmlns:georss='http://www.georss.org/georss' xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0'><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018</id><updated>2012-01-24T10:39:11.338-08:00</updated><category term='Folding Containers'/><title type='text'>My Solar Village</title><subtitle type='html'>A blog by Mel Riser about LifeBoat Permaculture and Solar Villages</subtitle><link rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#feed' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/posts/default'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default?max-results=100'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/'/><link rel='hub' href='http://pubsubhubbub.appspot.com/'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><generator version='7.00' uri='http://www.blogger.com'>Blogger</generator><openSearch:totalResults>78</openSearch:totalResults><openSearch:startIndex>1</openSearch:startIndex><openSearch:itemsPerPage>100</openSearch:itemsPerPage><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-6383909621236783131</id><published>2011-03-21T04:47:00.000-07:00</published><updated>2011-03-21T04:47:12.741-07:00</updated><title type='text'>Fuel Cell Offers to Save World: World Says No Thanks</title><content type='html'>&lt;div dir="ltr" style="text-align: left;" trbidi="on"&gt;&lt;span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #444444; font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px;"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;h1 style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; color: #222222; font-family: '\'times new roman\'', times, serif; font-size: 28px; font-weight: normal; line-height: 30px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.dailyimpact.net/2011/02/19/fuel-cell-offers-to-save-world-world-says-no-thanks/"&gt;http://www.dailyimpact.net/2011/02/19/fuel-cell-offers-to-save-world-world-says-no-thanks/&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/h1&gt;&lt;div class="meta" style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; float: left; font-size: 12px; font-style: italic; margin-bottom: 5px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; opacity: 0.8; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; width: 736px;"&gt;&lt;div class="date" style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; float: right; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"&gt;February 19, 2011&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="storycontent" style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; word-wrap: break-word;"&gt;&lt;div class="wp-caption alignright" id="attachment_578" style="background-color: #f3f3f3; border-bottom-color: rgb(221, 221, 221); border-bottom-left-radius: 3px 3px; border-bottom-right-radius: 3px 3px; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-color: initial; border-left-color: rgb(221, 221, 221); border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(221, 221, 221); border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-style: initial; border-top-color: rgb(221, 221, 221); border-top-left-radius: 3px 3px; border-top-right-radius: 3px 3px; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; float: right; margin-bottom: 5px; margin-left: 15px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 5px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 4px; text-align: center; width: 310px;"&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.dailyimpact.net/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/Bloom-boxes.jpg" style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; color: #205b87; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none;"&gt;&lt;img alt="" class="size-medium wp-image-578" height="200" src="http://www.dailyimpact.net/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/Bloom-boxes-300x200.jpg" style="border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-color: initial; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; height: auto; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; max-width: 736px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;" title="163495_Bloom_MRT_" width="300" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;div class="wp-caption-text" style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; font-size: 11px; line-height: 17px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 5px; padding-left: 4px; padding-right: 4px; padding-top: 0px;"&gt;Each Bloom box shown provides 100 kw cheap, clean energy for CalTech. Other clients include eBay, Google and Coke.&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 12px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"&gt;One year ago, the venerable televison news program&amp;nbsp;&lt;em style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"&gt;60 Minutes&lt;/em&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;a href="http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2010/02/18/60minutes/main6221135.shtml" style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; color: #205b87; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none;"&gt;broke a blockbuster story&lt;/a&gt;&amp;nbsp;that (as&amp;nbsp;&lt;em style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"&gt;The Daily Impact&lt;/em&gt;&amp;nbsp;observed at the time —&lt;em style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.dailyimpact.net/2010/02/24/hope-springs-can-a-fuel-cell-save-us/" style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; color: #205b87; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none;"&gt;Hope Springs: Can a Fuel Cell Save Us?&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/em&gt;) made even energy pessimists feel a pang of hope. (Okay,&amp;nbsp;&lt;em style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"&gt;60 Minutes&lt;/em&gt;&amp;nbsp;didn’t exactly break the story, but they did introduce it for the first time to a mass audience.)&amp;nbsp;&lt;a href="http://www.bloomenergy.com/" style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; color: #205b87; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none;"&gt;Bloom Energy&lt;/a&gt;&amp;nbsp;of Sunnyvale, California had brought to market a reliable, efficient, clean and relatively cheap fuel cell that was scalable from a coffee-can-sized power source for a home to a greyhound-bus-sized industrial plant.&lt;span id="more-576" style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 12px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"&gt;The technology was exciting. Its inventor, Bloom Energy founder and CEO K.R. Sridhar, found a way to make a 25-watt fuel cell from a wafer made of sand and coated with special inks that made one side of the wafer the cathode, the other the anode, of the chemical battery. Its manufacture was thus less exotic, less dependent on rare and hard-to-get materials and less toxic to the environment than that of previous versions of the fuel cell. Moreover, the Bloom cell can make use of a wide variety of fuels, from the existing and widely available petroleum derivatives to biogases.&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 12px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"&gt;All of this would have been fascinating enough as theory, or as a demonstration project, but the jaw-dropping&amp;nbsp;&lt;em style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"&gt;60 Minutes&lt;/em&gt;&amp;nbsp;piece went on to reveal that industrial-size Bloom Boxes, as they inevitably came to be known, had for some time been serving key installations of companies such as Google, eBay, FedEx, Staples and Coca-Cola.&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 12px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"&gt;But the truly stunning part of the revelation was the vision of the future that the product made possible. This was, it seemed, the closest anyone had come to the mythical, always-imminent technological breakthrough that the industrialists and technophiles have been assuring us for decades would come along in time to save us from our energy gluttony and replace oil as the heart of our consumptive lifestyles. Suddenly we could actually, realistically imagine a future in which electricity would be produced where it was needed, without pollution, without necessarily using fossil fuels (although the first units are using natural gas), and&lt;em style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"&gt;without transcontinental transmission lines&lt;/em&gt;. It could at last be the end of strings-on-sticks providing the shaky foundation for all our high technology. If we could turn that corner, quickly, maybe we could avoid the catastrophe that the end of cheap and plentiful oil holds in store for us.&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 12px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"&gt;New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg grasped these implications: “My first reaction was this was a company guaranteed for greatness. When we look at Bloom Energy, we are looking at the future of business, at the future of the economy, at the future of America.”&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 12px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"&gt;That was a year ago, and that, as far as the mass media were concerned, was that. Bloom held its formal unveiling of the project the next day, and after a smattering of perfunctory “Can the Bloom Box Save the World?” stories, sank from view. (Note the journalistic technique: first, burden the technology or methodology with the need to save the world, all of it, and then find somewhere a skeptic to say it probably wouldn’t, couldn’t, or oughtn’t save the whole world, and thus can be disregarded.)&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 12px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"&gt;&lt;em style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"&gt;Sic Transit&lt;/em&gt;&amp;nbsp;Hope.&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 12px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"&gt;It’s happened before, of course. As readers of&amp;nbsp;&lt;em style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.braceforimpact.thomasalewis.com/" style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; color: #205b87; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none;"&gt;Brace for Impact: Surviving the Crash of the Industrial Age by Sustainable Living&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/em&gt;(and few others) will know, a man named Jack Shaeffer showed us in 1969 how to end point-source water pollution in this country. Period. Not only did it work, it caused the Congress and the Nixon administration to declare as a national goal of the United States the ending of all pollution of waterways by 1985. The only catch was that cities and real-estate developers would have to set aside a little bit of land for each sub-division and office park, to deal with the pollution where it was generated. Like Bloom, Shaeffer systems were installed by hundreds of communities and businesses, and worked as promised. Like Bloom, the Shaeffer solution was enveloped by a vast silence, punctuated only by the occasional yipping of professional skeptics funded by industrial polluters. Shaeffer’s solution vanished from the industrial world. Can Bloom’s be far behind?&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 12px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"&gt;Would it have been different if Bloom had not concentrated on the big, profitable, corporate installations, and instead had rolled out and promoted vigorously a $3,000, breadbox-sized power source for individual homes? Probably not. The deep national silence about the deadly problems we face, even about the solutions available for those problems, is armor-plated with money, protected by wholly-owned politicians and ratings-mad media, and apparently impenetrable.&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 12px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"&gt;The silence of the damned.&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="tags" style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; color: #666666; line-height: 12px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 12px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"&gt;&lt;small style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"&gt;Tags:&amp;nbsp;&lt;a href="http://www.dailyimpact.net/tag/60-minutes/" rel="tag" style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; color: #205b87; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none;"&gt;60 Minutes&lt;/a&gt;,&amp;nbsp;&lt;a href="http://www.dailyimpact.net/tag/bloom-box/" rel="tag" style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; color: #205b87; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none;"&gt;Bloom box&lt;/a&gt;,&amp;nbsp;&lt;a href="http://www.dailyimpact.net/tag/bloom-energy/" rel="tag" style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; color: #205b87; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none;"&gt;Bloom Energy&lt;/a&gt;,&amp;nbsp;&lt;a href="http://www.dailyimpact.net/tag/electric-grid/" rel="tag" style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; color: #205b87; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none;"&gt;electric grid&lt;/a&gt;,&amp;nbsp;&lt;a href="http://www.dailyimpact.net/tag/energy-independence/" rel="tag" style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; color: #205b87; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none;"&gt;energy independence&lt;/a&gt;,&amp;nbsp;&lt;a href="http://www.dailyimpact.net/tag/renewable-energy/" rel="tag" style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; color: #205b87; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none;"&gt;renewable energy&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/small&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="postmetadata alt" style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; color: #666666; line-height: 12px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 12px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"&gt;&lt;small style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"&gt;This entry was posted on February 19, 2011 at 9:15 am and is filed under&amp;nbsp;&lt;a href="http://www.dailyimpact.net/category/energy/" rel="category tag" style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; color: #205b87; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none;" title="View all posts in Energy"&gt;Energy&lt;/a&gt;. You can follow any responses to this entry through the&amp;nbsp;&lt;a href="http://www.dailyimpact.net/2011/02/19/fuel-cell-offers-to-save-world-world-says-no-thanks/feed/" style="border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; color: #205b87; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; outline-color: initial; outline-style: none; outline-width: initial; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: none;"&gt;RSS 2.0&lt;/a&gt;&amp;nbsp;feed&lt;/small&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-6383909621236783131?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/6383909621236783131/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=6383909621236783131' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/6383909621236783131'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/6383909621236783131'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2011/03/fuel-cell-offers-to-save-world-world.html' title='Fuel Cell Offers to Save World: World Says No Thanks'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-330805414922184350</id><published>2010-07-23T10:50:00.001-07:00</published><updated>2010-07-23T11:06:20.432-07:00</updated><title type='text'>Cooling Towers and Solar Fans</title><content type='html'>Space cooling and heating can account for up to 45 percent of your total home energy use every year, but there are numerous strategies you can employ to reduce cooling costs. For instance, a ceiling fan used in conjunction with air conditioning lets you raise the thermostat by as much as 4 degrees while maintaining the same comfort level in a room. The U.S. Department of Energy estimates that each degree below 78 degrees on your thermostat will increase your air conditioning bill by 8 percent. You also can use natural ventilation to capture and create breezes, or to help you take advantage of nighttime drops in temperature.&lt;br /&gt;RELATED CONTENT&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.motherearthnews.com/Green-Homes/Solar-Homes-Tour.aspx"&gt;See Solar Homes Near You! 5 Reasons to Attend the National Solar Tour&lt;/a&gt; &lt;br /&gt;It’s not every day that you get a chance to tour a green home. Well, here’s your opportunity! Every... &lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.motherearthnews.com/Renewable-Energy/1976-09-01/This-Solar-Heater-Pays-For-Itself-Every-Five-Weeks.aspx"&gt;Ultra-simple Solar Hot-Air Wall Heater: This Solar Heater Pays For Itself&lt;/a&gt; &lt;br /&gt;How this family built a solar-powered heating unit for $25.... &lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.motherearthnews.com/Do-It-Yourself/1984-01-01/Solar-Water-Heater.aspx"&gt;Build a Solar Water Heater: An Intregal Passive Solar Water Heater&lt;/a&gt; &lt;br /&gt;There are several types of solar water heating systems. Learn more using solar energy to heat water... &lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.motherearthnews.com/Renewable-Energy/2008-06-01/Solar-Power-Classes.aspx"&gt;Here Comes the Sun&lt;/a&gt; &lt;br /&gt;Want to know how to build your own photovoltaic system, how to construct a solar water pump, or eve... &lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.motherearthnews.com/Renewable-Energy/2008-10-01/Solar-Power-Manufacturing-Plants.aspx"&gt;U.S. Solar Power Manufacturing Growing Dramatically&lt;/a&gt; &lt;br /&gt;A string of new solar manufacturing plants are scheduled to open within the next few years.... &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Other money-saving ideas include minimizing heat gain, weather sealing, insulating, window shading and glazing, roof lightening and landscaping (see “Best Bets for Passive Cooling”). Because natural ventilation is one of the most cost-effective ways to cool your home, we’ll examine it here in greater detail.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Natural Ventilation&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Natural ventilation makes the most of air motion to cool you and your home. This is the primary passive cooling strategy in all climate zones, but the nuances of its application vary by region. Understanding seasonal wind patterns will help you adjust your window openings, outdoor spaces and windbreaks to increase your comfort without relying on nonrenewable fuels.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Take some time to think about the breezes and winds around your home:&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;• At what time of day and year are the winds strongest? &lt;br /&gt;• From which direction does your prevailing wind come (the one that blows most of the time, when there are no storms)? &lt;br /&gt;• From what direction do storms come? &lt;br /&gt;• Is there a noticeable breeze or wind most of the year? Does it vary much from season to season? &lt;br /&gt;• Do your local breezes shift daily? &lt;br /&gt;• Is local air movement influenced by geographic features or landscape elements?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;There are several ways to learn about local wind direction and intensity, such as observing for yourself (at different times of the day and year), accessing weather data and asking local farmers or other people who work outdoors what they observe.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;You also can hang a windsock in your yard. A friend who lives near the ocean has done this; she and her family enjoy being aware of changes in the wind’s direction and force, making them feel more like part of their natural surroundings: “Our prevailing wind comes from the northwest, so most of the time the windsock points to the southeast. But sometimes it suddenly turns and points north, and then we know there’s a storm coming in.” A weather vane on your home or garage can provide the same information.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Becoming familiar with local weather patterns can help you decide on a natural cooling strategy. In hot humid climates, for example, maximum airflow combined with shading is the dominant strategy. In hot arid climates, ventilation is welcome in the hot seasons, and night cooling of thermal mass is particularly useful due to lower nighttime temperatures. In cold climates with cool summers, there may be little need for enhanced natural ventilation. Many temperate and mixed climates will require a variety of tricks as the seasons move from one extreme to another. As you read on, think about your own climate zone and your experiences living there; focus on the approaches that feel most relevant to your situation, and see how you might improve the existing relationship between your home and the breezes.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.motherearthnews.com/Green-Homes/2007-08-01/Natural-Home-Cooling.aspx"&gt;http://www.motherearthnews.com/Green-Homes/2007-08-01/Natural-Home-Cooling.aspx&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;This is very similar to the setup I created at my house.&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-330805414922184350?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/330805414922184350/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=330805414922184350' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/330805414922184350'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/330805414922184350'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2010/07/cooling-towers-and-solar-fans.html' title='Cooling Towers and Solar Fans'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-6402881641270418543</id><published>2010-01-31T18:19:00.001-08:00</published><updated>2010-01-31T18:19:49.852-08:00</updated><title type='text'>The Types you find in a Survival Forum or email list...</title><content type='html'>&lt;span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia; font-size: 13px; line-height: 15px; "&gt;Average Joe&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;This is by far the largest group of survivalist on the Internet. They basically never considered themselves a survivalist until they read the Internet. They tend to see self-preparation as simply logical. Their tendency is to very much prepare for the most likely and mundane before preparing for EOTWAWKI. They'll have fire alarms, CO detectors, a fire plan, a communication plan, some food and water preps, home defense plan for common crimes, and decent to fair short term power outage plan. Average Joe usually has excellent information and gets the most from his internet experience, however he isn't one of the more entertaining personalities on the internet. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Jeremiah Johnson&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Jeremiah is one of the oldest posting survivalist types and is typically found on the sites in existence before this one. He sees survival through the rose colored glasses of 1840 and the classic mountain man. His solution to most things leans towards minimal technology and nature. Jeremiah tends to shun technology and high tech gear. The fact the average mountain man was lucky to live beyond age 35 is totally lost on him. All he needs to survive is a good knife. This is a loner type or in very small numbers. Though Jeremiah believes in guns as a defensive weapon by far his tactic preference is guerilla in nature or avoiding confrontation. Long-term food production, farming/husbandry, isn't on his list of priorities for nature will supply his needs. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Hermit &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Hermit too is one of the older Internet survival types. This is the classic loner approach to survivalist. His approach to everything is I'm on my own and will live in a cave, compound, or bomb shelter while the world goes to hell around me. He totally ignores that no man is island. His approach to society is to withdraw from it completely. Unlike Jeremiah, the Hermit usually depends on long-term food production in his planning but not bartering. This type also favors the gun however usually defensive only with a stratagem of shoot them first and let God sort them out. The Hermit usually gets along pretty well with the Jeremiah on the Internet and is often found on the same sites. The Hermit and Jeremiah are probably the first to condemn others on the Internet. They're there primarily for others to praise their knowledge but not really teach others for others don't fit in their personal plans. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Mr. Conspiracy &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Another of the older types, Mr. Conspiracy has some secret knowledge only known to him about this master plan to enslave human beings in one way or another. He often uses the words "They" and "Them" to describe the unknown masterminds of this dastardly plan. He has a real problem with authority and almost incapable of teamwork. Mr. Conspiracy is the first to throw up the flag of revolution but probably the last to ever partake. His take on survival is based on paranoia and fear. Nuclear winter, a massive asteroid strike, civil war, government oppression, and EOTWAWKI in general are typically favorite topics. Given enough data this guy would believe we didn't land the moon. Paranoia is his life and his tool. He's a very entertaining read on the Internet but really offers little actual preparation information.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Gear Whore &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;This guy totally sees the answer to all survival issues as equipment or gear. He usually has the best of the best brand name based on what someone told him on the net was the best or the coolest image. Having and collecting the gear is often more important than using it and typically he's long on advice and short on practical experience. His BOB is typically at superhuman strength weight load. Although you can typically count the times he's used his gear on one hand, he's quick to be the expert for after all he has the gear. Although he can quote specification after specification on gear, he tends to fall short on the mundane such as cooking or even making a fire for there is little gear involved. The Internet feeds the Gear Whore's ego and he seeks attention and approval of his approach. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Rambo &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Rambo sees survival as the gun. He typically has the state of the art tactical hardware including weapon systems and vests but wouldn't last a week should Walmart close its doors. He lives for the invasion and ultimate warfare. He looks towards this ultimate warfare as almost romantics dream that he desires above all else. Oddly he is hardly ever a veteran. Rambo tends to lean towards weapons training almost to exclusion of all other preparations. Although this site has had its share, the majorities of Rambos is typically on the newer gun sites and often don't post in the Survival sections due to the mundane topic matter. Rambo's favorite color is camo. Rambo's solution to survival is the gun and he doesn't even realize that if he implemented his plan the odds would be very high that he'd be shot on sight or hung from a tree. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Poser &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;This is the most dangerous type on the net. The Poser is totally convinced he knows the secret to survival and is the expert based primarily on what he has read and not what he has lived. He is the ultimate pretender for he believes it. They are the hardest to find out unless you meet them. He won't be comfortable outdoors or using his gear. He typically will have too much gear and once again the top of the top in tactical hardware. If this guy went hunting one day, he's the expert. If he goes camping, he's the expert. The Poser and expert go hand and hand. It's your first indicator. Since his experience is primarily on the Internet, he's one of the first to start his own site or take a dominant role in a new site on the web. They tend to be long on advice but seldom if ever actually go out of their way to meet people. Usually a couple times they will since they believe their expertise is real. After that they decline due to the negative responses afterwards. Anonymity is his ally and as he realizes the extent of this anonymity, his experience at least on the Internet becomes more extensive. He seeks attention and admiration above all else even at the sake of reality. The Poser is often caught up in his lies and exposed by others. I've met some real winners in this category from fake military to fake LEO. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Farmer Bob &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Way too few of this sort on the web. This is the guy who has dirt under his fingernails. He isn't planning for survival but living it on the farm. He visits the Internet for tidbits of information but really doesn't have time to spend a lot of time on the web. He's a fountain of information. If he's on the web, he tends to be all over it but seldom a notable web personality.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Ships Captain &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;This is Mr. Bugin is my only plan. Totally dedicated to "The Titanic Syndrome" (my plan is invincible), he'll have unbelievable amounts of supplies but about all his planning is lost with the striking of a match. He's determined like the captains of a ship of yore to die with his gear if the need calls for it. The Ships Captain approaches almost every topic except the destruction of his home or the eventuality of leaving it.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Mr. Fincial &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;This guy sees finical security as the secret to survival. Historically he has a good basis for his opinion. He's usually a good source of information on finical planning but a tad short on anything outside the home such as wilderness skills or bugging out. He tends to be more practical in his planning with it based on the most likely economic scenarios. Typically this type has something to worry about in this regard and why he's such a good source of information. You see the really rich don't worry about such things. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;BOBby &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;BOBby is very prevalent on the web. He sees his backpack as the ultimate survival tool and only tool anyone will ever need. He realizes the need for a prepared lifestyle but lacks the dedication to go beyond a backpack. BOBby is usually new to the survival scene and not bad guy, just inexperienced. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Wannabe &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Wannabe could probably be called "The Wish I Had" just as easily. He's the guy who understands the need for preparation but uses the movement to live that aspect of his life he wished he had such as military, LEO, outdoorsman, or doctor. He usually gets along quite well with Rambo or say Jeremiah Johnson but typically not both. In this regard is bias is a tad hypocritical. They are usually quite entertaining Internet personalities and often have lot's of good information. The difference between the Poser and the Wannabe is the Wannabe knows he isn't and just wants to learn or experience what he missed. The Poser is convinced he is what he dreams of. Though typically an amusing Internet character, the Wannabe really rubs the real things the wrong way. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Jaded &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Most posters become jaded with time and then many get over it but some never do. They have learned to ignore the entertainment value of survival forums and feel the information repetitive. Simply put, they are bored. They tend to progress from high entertainment forums to more technical forums until they realize they are even more boring. Its then they either drop off the web or slowly go back to the high entertainment forum. The Jaded will often call for large volumes of technical information not even realizing that should a forum be nothing but lists of information, they'd read it once and never read it again. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Newbie &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Newbie has just come to realize being prepared is a wise thing to do. He simply doesn't know where to start. Like a bull in China shop, he wades right in. He's a delicate poster still influenced by non-preparation types that early acceptance or denial heavily influence his decision to continue posting or not. He tends to approach topics seen a million times before. The Jaded tends to be his nemesis since they bored with the topics. Every Newbie has the potential to be become one of the other personas. He is the future growth of a forum an essential to the flow of information for every fresh eyes approach to even an old topic reveals new information. His threads are usually a wealth of information if you take time to see it for every time you review the basics, you are actually reviewing your own preparations. Many of the old forums don't have patience with the Newbie and is why they are so stagnant. You see survival isn't an elite club but a way of life. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Heckler &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Last and by no means least is the Heckler. This guy visits the survival forums just so he can feel superior making light of others. The Heckler thinks most survivalist are nutcases and finds what he perceives as their ramblings entertaining. He thinks by ridicule he gains Internet personality status and does not see survival forums as information sources. They live their lives comfortable in their safe zone confident their world will never be shattered and anyone who tries to tell them it will be shattered has to be a nutcase. The media often heavily influences the Heckler or what is popular. Truth be known, they will probably be the first one loaded on a bus in a crisis. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Summation &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;It's a combination of these personas that give a survival forum its entertainment factor. It's the core of this entertainment that keeps bringing people back to read and to post. Otherwise, we'd all just go to the library or browse the net for specific topics. Like a soap opera where you have characters you love to hate, they draw the reader to come back like a light draws bugs. For the average reader, its actually an enlightening experience to realize that the entertainment factor in a forum is what brings them back to the forum. All of the personas play a role.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-6402881641270418543?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/6402881641270418543/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=6402881641270418543' title='3 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/6402881641270418543'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/6402881641270418543'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2010/01/types-you-find-in-survival-forum-or.html' title='The Types you find in a Survival Forum or email list...'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>3</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-8875348766525070183</id><published>2009-09-05T09:42:00.001-07:00</published><updated>2009-10-12T09:15:25.383-07:00</updated><title type='text'>Some great information for Permaculture</title><content type='html'>&lt;span class="Apple-style-span"   style="  ;font-family:Verdana;font-size:12px;"&gt;1. Change the way you look at everything. Rethink your entire lifestyle.&lt;br /&gt;2. Develop discernment about people.&lt;br /&gt;3. When you invest, invest first in the right people.&lt;br /&gt;4. Honesty, look at yourself, your strengths and your weaknesses.&lt;br /&gt;5. Seek the counsel of others you trust.&lt;br /&gt;6. Find like-minded people who can be part of a mutual support group and who you can cooperate with.&lt;br /&gt;7. Find alternate methods for doing everything.&lt;br /&gt;8. Develop an instinct for what doesn't feel right. No matter how good something looks or sounds on the surface, go with your gut feeling, with your instinct, with your intuition.&lt;br /&gt;9. Eliminate non-essentials from your life. Eliminate all time wasters and money wasters, and things you don't need - i.e. clothes, furniture, junk, etc. Eliminate television from your life.&lt;br /&gt;10. Simplify your lifestyle - learn to say 'no' to things or activities which do not make you self-sufficient. Learn to place&lt;br /&gt;God and yourself, and not other people.&lt;br /&gt;11. Develop physical, mental and spiritual disciplines.&lt;br /&gt;12. Learn to treat everything as if it were irreplaceable.&lt;br /&gt;13. Buy things that will last, even if they cost more.&lt;br /&gt;14. Acquire tools that do not depend upon electric power.&lt;br /&gt;15. Learn to spend time alone with yourself in total silence - think, reflect, reminisce, and plan [or strategize] in silence.&lt;br /&gt;16. Learn to spend time alone with yourself and your family, apart from superficial entertainment and distractions.&lt;br /&gt;17. Learn something from every situation you are in everything you hear, see, touch, or feel has a lesson in it. Learn a principle from every mistake you make, from everyday life situations.&lt;br /&gt;18. Make sure your trust is in the Lord and not your own preparedness. Pattern your preparedness according to the guidance of the Lord. Listen to what the Lord puts in your heart - don't use only your&lt;br /&gt;reasoning power.&lt;br /&gt;19. Learn to enjoy simple pleasures from the smallest things - have measure of joy and happiness that doesn't come from creature comforts or entertainment.&lt;br /&gt;20. Store up memories for times of isolation or separation from your loved ones.&lt;br /&gt;21. Establish priorities for all of life [i.e. relationship, needs, present needs, future needs.] Set goals for areas you'll be proficient or self-sufficient in. Set a schedule or time line based on money and time you can invest in self-sufficiency.&lt;br /&gt;22. Examine the concept of civil disobedience [from the Bible and history.] At what point should the people of Egypt have said 'no' to killing the male babies in Moses' day? At what point should the&lt;br /&gt;people of colonial America have said 'no' to King George? At what point should the people of Germany have said 'no' to Hitler? At what point do we say 'no' to despots in our day - when they take&lt;br /&gt;over money, our property, our guns, our children, our freedom? Decide what is your choke point - when do you move to civil disobedience? [For many throughout history - it was when evil&lt;br /&gt;leaders handed down edicts that were directly contrary o God's Word or commands.] Don't set your choke point too early or too quickly, nor too late, nor never. Think through or calculate a&lt;br /&gt;strategy - then never look back.&lt;br /&gt;23. Learn to ask the right questions in every situation. [In 'Operation Waco,' nobody asked the right questions.]&lt;br /&gt;24. Bring orderliness into your life. If you live in disorder it will pull you down, it will break your focus. Think focus versus distraction. Eliminate the distractions from your life.&lt;br /&gt;25. Self-sufficiency [or survival] principles are learned on a day-to-day basis and must be practical.&lt;br /&gt;26. Always have more than one way to escape, more than one way to do something. Have a plan B and a plan C.&lt;br /&gt;27. Everyday life [and especially crisis] requires 'up-front systems' and 'back-up systems' if the first line of defense or 'up-front systems fails.&lt;br /&gt;28. Real education [or learning] only takes place when change occurs in our attitudes, actions, and way of life.&lt;br /&gt;29. Wisdom is making practical applications of what you know. It is not enough to know everything you need to know. It will only serve you and others if practical application is made of that knowledge.&lt;br /&gt;30. Fix in your own mind the truth about your capabilities. In a crisis situation this principle will keep you from cockiness [or overconfidence] and will provide you with confidence.&lt;br /&gt;31. Decide ahead of time before a crisis arrives, how you will react in a given situation so that you are not swayed by the circumstances, the situation, or your emotions.&lt;br /&gt;32. Beware of being spread too thin in your life. Decide on the few things in life that you must do and do them well. Think focus versus distraction. Make sure that unimportant, non-essential distractions don't keep you from achieving your important objectives.&lt;br /&gt;33. Learn to quit wasting things. Be a good steward of all that God provides.&lt;br /&gt;34. Buy an extra one of everything you use regularly and set the extra one aside for the time when such items may be difficult or impossible to obtain.&lt;br /&gt;35. In every situation, train yourself to look for what doesn't fit, for what's out of place, for what doesn't look right.&lt;br /&gt;36. Teach your children [and yourself] that they are not obligated to give information to a stranger. You don't have to answer questions [not even to a government official] that are none of their business.&lt;br /&gt;37. Sell or give away things you do not use or need. Consider giving away or selling 50% of your 'stuff,' [i.e. the non-essentials.] Simplify and streamline your life, lifestyle and possessions.&lt;br /&gt;38. Find someone who lived through the Great Depression and learn from them how they were self-sufficient, how they made do with little, and how they found joy and contentment in the midst of hard times. An excellent book on this subject is &lt;a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B000NZDNRE?ie=UTF8&amp;amp;tag=survivalcom-20&amp;amp;linkCode=as2&amp;amp;camp=1789&amp;amp;creative=9325&amp;amp;creativeASIN=B000NZDNRE" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 204); text-decoration: none; "&gt;We Had Everything But Money: Priceless Memories of the Great Depression&lt;/a&gt;&lt;img src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=survivalcom-20&amp;amp;l=as2&amp;amp;o=1&amp;amp;a=B000NZDNRE" width="1" height="1" border="0" alt="" style="border-top-style: none !important; border-right-style: none !important; border-bottom-style: none !important; border-left-style: none !important; border-width: initial !important; border-color: initial !important; margin-top: 0px !important; margin-right: 0px !important; margin-bottom: 0px !important; margin-left: 0px !important; " /&gt;.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-8875348766525070183?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/8875348766525070183/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=8875348766525070183' title='1 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/8875348766525070183'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/8875348766525070183'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2009/09/some-great-information-from-survival.html' title='Some great information for Permaculture'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>1</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-9120564070630153729</id><published>2009-07-30T15:10:00.000-07:00</published><updated>2009-07-30T15:11:07.134-07:00</updated><title type='text'>100 things....</title><content type='html'>&lt;span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: 'Times New Roman'; "&gt;&lt;div style="font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; background-color: white; border-top-style: none; border-right-style: none; border-bottom-style: none; border-left-style: none; border-width: initial; border-color: initial; "&gt;so I joined a new Survival Retreat Group today... ( like I NEED another email list to keep up with )&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style="font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; background-color: white; border-top-style: none; border-right-style: none; border-bottom-style: none; border-left-style: none; border-width: initial; border-color: initial; "&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style="font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; background-color: white; border-top-style: none; border-right-style: none; border-bottom-style: none; border-left-style: none; border-width: initial; border-color: initial; "&gt;good information here...&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style="font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; background-color: white; border-top-style: none; border-right-style: none; border-bottom-style: none; border-left-style: none; border-width: initial; border-color: initial; "&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style="font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; background-color: white; border-top-style: none; border-right-style: none; border-bottom-style: none; border-left-style: none; border-width: initial; border-color: initial; "&gt;take it to heart...&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style="font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; background-color: white; border-top-style: none; border-right-style: none; border-bottom-style: none; border-left-style: none; border-width: initial; border-color: initial; "&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style="font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; background-color: white; border-top-style: none; border-right-style: none; border-bottom-style: none; border-left-style: none; border-width: initial; border-color: initial; "&gt;mel&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style="font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; background-color: white; border-top-style: none; border-right-style: none; border-bottom-style: none; border-left-style: none; border-width: initial; border-color: initial; "&gt;&lt;br /&gt;This list is based upon the "Top 100 Things that Dissapear First in a Crisis"&lt;br /&gt;list which has been circulating in various forms for several years.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Members of Survivalretreat and JerichoCBS on &lt;span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1248991771_0" style="border-bottom-style: dashed; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 102, 204); cursor: pointer; background-image: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; -webkit-background-clip: initial; -webkit-background-origin: initial; background-color: transparent; background-position: initial initial; "&gt;yahoo groups&lt;/span&gt; added to this and catagorized them to make them easier to follow as an outline and shopping list to check against your preparations.  Please refer to it every now and then, as it serves as a good reminder that you have considered at least these things.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Water:&lt;br /&gt;Water Filters/Purifier, Water containers, &lt;span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1248991771_1" style="cursor: pointer; background-image: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; -webkit-background-clip: initial; -webkit-background-origin: initial; background-color: transparent; border-bottom-style: none; border-bottom-width: initial; border-bottom-color: initial; background-position: initial initial; "&gt;Bottled Water&lt;br /&gt;Hand&lt;/span&gt; pumps &amp;amp; siphons (for water and for fuels)&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Sanitation, Laundry, Cleaning:&lt;br /&gt;Portable Toilets, TP, related supplies&lt;br /&gt;Washboards, Mop Bucket w/wringer (for Laundry)&lt;br /&gt;Bleach (plain, NOT scented: 4 to 6% sodium hypochlorite), Vinegar&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1248991771_2"&gt;Laundry detergent&lt;/span&gt;, soaps, cleaning products&lt;br /&gt;Clothes pins/line/hangers&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Energy/Heat.Cooking:&lt;br /&gt;Generators, Solar Panels, Windmill generator&lt;br /&gt;Gasoline containers, Stabil (or other additive for fuel storage)&lt;br /&gt;Mini Heater head &amp;amp; Propane Cylinders&lt;br /&gt;Seasoned Firewood (or fuel you use that can be stored)&lt;br /&gt;Cook stove (Charcoal, Propane, Coleman &amp;amp; Kerosene) &amp;amp; &lt;span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1248991771_3"&gt;Lighter fluid&lt;/span&gt;,&lt;br /&gt;Matches (thousands)&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Food Production/Gardening&lt;br /&gt;Garden seeds (Non-hybrid preferred)&lt;br /&gt;Garden tools &amp;amp; supplies, orchard pickers, etc.&lt;br /&gt;Goats/chickens/rabbits (easiest animals to raise on small farm)&lt;br /&gt;Fencing, chicken wire, animal feed in bulk, salt licks&lt;br /&gt;Beer, wine making, syrup making (ie. maple syrup)&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Pantry &amp;amp; Kitchen:&lt;br /&gt;Milk - Powdered &amp;amp; Condensed&lt;br /&gt;Rice - Beans – Wheat -&lt;span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1248991771_4"&gt;Vegetable oil&lt;/span&gt; , Flour, yeast &amp;amp; salt&lt;br /&gt;Tuna Fish (in oil)&lt;br /&gt;Canned Fruits, Veggies, Soups, stews, etc.)&lt;br /&gt;Honey (stores well) / Syrups / white, &lt;span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1248991771_5"&gt;brown sugars&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1248991771_6"&gt;Graham crackers&lt;/span&gt;, saltines, pretzels, Trail mix/Jerky&lt;br /&gt;Popcorn, Peanut Butter, Nuts&lt;br /&gt;Garlic, spices &amp;amp; vinegar, baking supplies, Baking soda, powder&lt;br /&gt;Soysauce, vinegar, boullions/gravy/soup base, &lt;span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1248991771_7"&gt;cooking oils&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Teas, Coffee, Cigarettes, Wine/Liquors (for bribes, medicinal, etc.)&lt;br /&gt;Chewing gum/candies&lt;br /&gt;Chocolate/Cocoa/Tang/Punch (water enhancers)&lt;br /&gt;Hand-Can openers &amp;amp; hand egg beaters, whisks&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1248991771_8"&gt;Cast iron cookware&lt;/span&gt; (sturdy, efficient)&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1248991771_9" style="border-bottom-style: dashed; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 102, 204); cursor: pointer; "&gt;Canning supplies&lt;/span&gt; (Jars/lids/wax)&lt;br /&gt;Reusable &lt;span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1248991771_10" style="border-bottom-style: dashed; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 102, 204); cursor: pointer; "&gt;Plastic food containers&lt;/span&gt; air tight&lt;br /&gt;Aluminum foil Reg. &amp;amp; Hvy. Duty&lt;br /&gt;Kitchen utensils, pots, pans, necessary for cooking from scratch&lt;br /&gt;Grain Grinder (Non-electric)&lt;br /&gt;Knife set and sharpener, butcher set, &lt;span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1248991771_11"&gt;fish fillet knife&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Defense&lt;br /&gt;Guns, &lt;span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1248991771_12"&gt;Ammunition&lt;/span&gt;, Pepper Spray, Knives, Clubs, Archery, Bats &amp;amp;&lt;br /&gt;Slingshots&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Pharmacy, Health &amp;amp; Hygiene:&lt;br /&gt;Stock up on your prescriptions as much as you can….&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1248991771_13" style="border-bottom-style: dashed; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 102, 204); cursor: pointer; "&gt;First aid kits&lt;/span&gt; and more supplies, cold and flu medicine, aspirin,&lt;br /&gt;Tylenol, etc.&lt;br /&gt;Vitamins, Food Supplements (such as fiber)&lt;br /&gt;Alcohol (IsoPro), Hydro C, Iodine, witch hazel, etc.&lt;br /&gt;Baby Supplies: Diapers/formula/ointments/aspirin, Baby Wipes&lt;br /&gt;Soap (bar and other), shampoo, tooth paste and brushes, floss,&lt;br /&gt;waterless &amp;amp; Anti-bacterial soap&lt;br /&gt;Feminine Hygiene/Haircare/Skin products, tampons, oils, creams&lt;br /&gt;Men's Hygiene: Shaving supplies (razors &amp;amp; creams, talc, after shave)&lt;br /&gt;Mouthwash, nail clippers, &lt;span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1248991771_14" style="border-bottom-style: dashed; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 102, 204); cursor: pointer; "&gt;hair clippers&lt;/span&gt; and hair cutting products&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1248991771_15"&gt;Toilet Paper&lt;/span&gt;, Kleenex, paper towels&lt;br /&gt;Reading glasses&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Camping:&lt;br /&gt;Insulated ice chests&lt;br /&gt;Flashlights/LIGIITSTICKS &amp;amp; torches, "No. 76 Dietz" Lanterns underwear&lt;br /&gt;Bow saws, axes and hatchets &amp;amp; Wedges&lt;br /&gt;Mosquito coils/repellent sprays/creams&lt;br /&gt;Fishing supplies/tools&lt;br /&gt;Knives &amp;amp; Sharpening tools: files, stones, steel&lt;br /&gt;Backpacks &amp;amp; Duffle bags&lt;br /&gt;Sleeping bags &amp;amp; blankets/pillows/mats, misquote netting&lt;br /&gt;Paper plates/cups/utensils (stock up, folks...)&lt;br /&gt;Rain gear, rubberized boots, etc.&lt;br /&gt;Cots &amp;amp; &lt;span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1248991771_16"&gt;Inflatable&lt;/span&gt; mattresses (for extra guests)&lt;br /&gt;Tarps/stakes/twine/nails/rope/spikes&lt;br /&gt;Lantern Hangers&lt;br /&gt;Hats &amp;amp; cotton neckerchiefs&lt;br /&gt;Lamp Oil, Wicks, Lampsm, Coleman Fuel&lt;br /&gt;Mantles: Aladdin, Coleman&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Clothing and Linens (appropriate for your region, esp. for winter):&lt;br /&gt;Winter coats, boots, gloves/mits, hats, appropriate for your winters&lt;br /&gt;or worse&lt;br /&gt;Workboots, belts, Levis &amp;amp; durable shirts&lt;br /&gt;Gloves: Work/warming/gardening, etc., hats, scarf&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1248991771_17"&gt;Woolen clothing&lt;/span&gt;, scarves/ear-muffs/mittens&lt;br /&gt;Socks, Underwear, T-shirts, etc. (extras)&lt;br /&gt;Thermal underwear/sweat shirts and pants&lt;br /&gt;Wool blankets, down blankets,&lt;br /&gt;Scissors, fabrics &amp;amp; sewing supplies&lt;br /&gt;Sunglasses/eye protection&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Books and Reading:&lt;br /&gt;Journals, Diaries &amp;amp; Scrapbook&lt;br /&gt;Writing paper/pads/pencils/solar calculators&lt;br /&gt;Home Schooling basics, books, etc.&lt;br /&gt;Board Games Cards, Dice&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Transportation:&lt;br /&gt;Bicycles... Tires/tubes/pumps/chains, oil etc.&lt;br /&gt;Wagons &amp;amp; carts (for transport to &amp;amp; from open Flea markets)&lt;br /&gt;Compass, good maps (Gazettes, topo, showing great detail and&lt;br /&gt;elevations)&lt;br /&gt;Tools, parts, supplies to keep what you have working as long as&lt;br /&gt;possible&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Misc. Household and Supplies:&lt;br /&gt;Batteries, Strike anywhere Matches (thousands of them), Long Burning&lt;br /&gt;Candles&lt;br /&gt;Garbage cans Plastic (great for storage, water transporting - if with&lt;br /&gt;wheels)&lt;br /&gt;Big &lt;span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1248991771_18"&gt;plastic storage bins&lt;/span&gt;, as air and water tight as possible&lt;br /&gt;Garbage bags; Duct tape&lt;br /&gt;Fire extinguishers&lt;br /&gt;Carbon Monoxide Alarm (battery powered)&lt;br /&gt;d-Con &lt;span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1248991771_19"&gt;Rat poison&lt;/span&gt;, MOUSE PRUFE II, Roach Killer&lt;br /&gt;Mousetraps, Ant traps &amp;amp; cockroach magnets&lt;br /&gt;Roll-on Window Insulation Kit (MANCO)&lt;br /&gt;Lumber (all types)&lt;br /&gt;Screen Patches, glue, nails, screws, nuts &amp;amp; bolts&lt;br /&gt;Paraffin wax&lt;br /&gt;Glue, nails, nuts, bolts, screws, etc.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Tools:&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1248991771_20"&gt;Chain saws&lt;/span&gt;, Wood saw, axe, wood splitter&lt;br /&gt;Basic tool kit, and auto tool kit&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1248991771_21" style="border-bottom-style: dashed; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 102, 204); cursor: pointer; "&gt;Bolt cutter&lt;/span&gt;, crow bar, jack, winch&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;TIPS FOR THE FRUGAL:&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1248991771_22"&gt;Buy in Bulk&lt;/span&gt; – Sam's, Costco, Big Box Stores&lt;br /&gt;Shop Discount Stores&lt;br /&gt;Watch for sales, coupons, clearance&lt;br /&gt;Be a pack rat – save your old stuff that may not look perfect but is&lt;br /&gt;still useful&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Consider:&lt;br /&gt;Good Will Stores&lt;br /&gt;Local Garage and rummage sales&lt;br /&gt;Auctions and Estate sales&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a target="_blank" href="http://ebay.com/"&gt;&lt;span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1248991771_23"&gt;Ebay.com&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/a&gt; (or similar)&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a target="_blank" href="http://craigslist.org/"&gt;&lt;span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1248991771_24"&gt;Craigslist.org&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a target="_blank" href="http://freecycle.org/"&gt;&lt;span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1248991771_25"&gt;Freecycle.org&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;And finally, other's people's trash…..&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-9120564070630153729?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/9120564070630153729/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=9120564070630153729' title='1 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/9120564070630153729'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/9120564070630153729'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2009/07/100-things.html' title='100 things....'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>1</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-3840057145507124455</id><published>2008-12-01T13:13:00.000-08:00</published><updated>2008-12-01T13:15:11.085-08:00</updated><title type='text'>Crop Insurance Failures and Propane shortages at grain elevators...</title><content type='html'>This does not bode well....&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Thu Nov 27, 2008 at 0815 AM PSTLast week I received a very concerned call from South Dakota farmer and agronomist Bryan Lutter. "Neal, we're out of propane!" I figured this was personal distress – he and his family farm over three square miles of land and I know this has been a tough year for many people. He promptly corrected my misconception when I tried to console him. "No, everybody is out, all three grain elevators, we can't get fuel for the bins, and we're coming in real wet this year."There are equally dramatic issues due to the bankruptcy of Verasun and the apparent insolvency of the nation's largest private crop insurance program. Payments that would have come in June or July of a normal year are still not dispersed at the end of November and this has grim implications for next year's crop.I started digging into the details and unless I'm badly mistaken people are going to be starving in 2009 over causes and conditions being set down right now. It's a complex, interlocking issue, and I hope I've done a good job explaining it below the fold ...(I just submitted my personal story and a vision for the nation at change.gov - you can see my vision for this problem here.)* Stranded Wind's diary :: ::*The Dakotas have faced fuel restrictions for at least the last two years. They're at the far end of the pipeline network and after complete outages in 2007 everyone orders their diesel well in advance. Vehicle tanks are kept fuller and the on farm tanks are not allowed to run low. Gasoline supply dynamics have changed as well; British Petroleum shuttered three hundred stations in the area, citing the high cost of trucking fuel to the locations from the pipeline terminals.This year propane is in short supply. Rural homes in that part of the world are heated with propane and the grain elevator and on farm drying require it to bring corn moisture down for storage. There is no sense that homes will go cold this year, at least not due to supply issues; the grain drying season is a short period of intense usage that will draw to an end within the next week. Pray to whatever higher power you recognize that the unheard of figure of 18% of the crop still in the field is brought in before the snow flies.The Dakotas were very wet this year and the corn is coming in at 22% moisture. A more usual number would be 18% and for long term storage it must be dried to 14% to avoid spoilage. That doubling in the moisture reduction needed, an 8% drop instead of 4%, pretty much doubles the amount of propane used. Right now the harvest is at a dead stop. What can be dried has been and what is left can't even be combined without the fuel to make it ready for storage; it would all just spoil in the bin if put up wet.I wondered if this was a spot problem in that particular part of South Dakota, but Bryan said it was widespread – he'd talked to farmers as far away as St. Louis and they were reporting similar issues. I made a few calls to try to figure out how broad the problem was. I ended up talking to Rollin Tiefenthaler at fuel dealer Al's Corner in Carroll, Iowa about the issue.The Iowa crop comes matures earlier and is brought in earlier, so that is done, but he confirms that propane is being trucked long distances because local terminals have outages. They did have one farmer's cooperative run out of propane and they scrambled to get them enough, but in general it wasn't a problem. These are plains cooperatives, operations with thirty employees, dozens of vehicles, and tens of millions of dollars in inventory and commodities under management, so one running out of fuel is a problem that would affect a whole county.Diesel has been a bigger concern for them – instead of the thirty mile drive to the Magellan pipeline terminal in Milford they're running as far as Des Moines or Omaha, each about two hours away, and the added time and cost for running more trucks is eating them alive.The die has already been cast in the Dakotas, they'll either get the crop in or they won't. If they don't and it winters in the field they not only lose 40% of the yield on that ground they lose 20% of next year's yield in soy beans. The corn makes an excellent snow fence, trapping drifts six feet high, and they're slow to clear in the spring. The farmers have to wait until it's dry enough to plant before they can finish bringing in the corn crop, then they plant their soy, and that delay cuts into the growing degree days available for the soy beans and thusly we see the yield drop.A few of you might not be from farm state and thusly won't know the normal work flow. The corn crop is still partially in the field, but the soy beans are already done. Soy matures and dries earlier, so it gets tended first. There would never been an instance of soy being left to overwinter just based on crop timing and I don't think the small, thin stocks with relatively fragile pods would prove to be terribly durable under snow banks.I wrote earlier about the famine potential we face due to the underfertilization of the wheat crop. Wheat that gets enough ammonia is 14% protein, if it is unfertilized closer to 8%, and that 43% reduction in total plant protein is going to cause unimaginable suffering in places like Egypt, where half of the population gets subsidized bread. Global end of season per capita wheat stocks have been about seventy pounds my entire life, except the last three years where they've dropped to only forty pounds. One mistake in this area and one of the four horsemen gets loose, certainly dragging his brothers along behind. That mistake may already have been made in the lack of wheat fertilization this fall.The fall nitrogen fertilizer application has been 10% of the norm. A typical year would see 50% put on in the fall and 50% in the spring. During fertilizer application season the 3,100 mile national ammonia pipeline network runs flat out and the far points on the network experience low flow both fall and spring. If they try to jam 90% of the fertilization into a period of time when the system can only flow a little more than half of the need much of our cropland will go without in the spring of 2009.Finances as much as weather are the issue with regards to fertilization this fall. Crop prices have fallen to half of what they were, ammonia prices have dropped but ammonia suppliers here, receiving 75% of their supply from overseas, still have product in their storage tanks purchase at the historical highs last spring and summer.When farmers plant they record the acreage and they purchase crop insurance - $20 to $40 an acre depending on the crop. If they have a failure they file a claim, an adjustor contacts them, and they get a check to cover the deficit. Some of this runs through the U.S. Department of Agriculture and some of it is through private insurers.My conversations with farmers earlier this week lead me to believe that the largest private insurer, Des Moines Iowa's Rain and Hail Agricultural Insurance may be insolvent. Flooding claims from this spring were filed and payments would have typically been received by the end of June or beginning of July. It's now the end of November and payments are not being dispersed. Individual farmers are told there was something wrong with their paperwork, but this is nonsense – some of these guys have been farming thirty years and they all didn't forget how to fill out a simple form all at the same time. Iowa did have its second five hundred year flood in a decade and a half this spring which certainly has something to do with the situation, but I suspect Wall Street's sticky fingers got hold of Rain &amp;amp; Hail's assets, just as they've done to every pension fund and state run municipal investment pool.So, we're already facing what Bryan Lutter calls "the mother of all fertilizer shortages" next spring and on top of that local banks won't lend to farmers.The local bank was quite willing to lend to a farmer on a crop despite the weather related risks just like they'd lend on a car despite the driving risks. So long as the asset was insured the risk was deemed manageable. There were sure to be losses here and there, but they'd be administrative hassles associated with well known risks. If the auto insurance companies were viewed as untrustworthy no one would be getting a car without 100% down at the dealership and the same rule is now in effect for farmers.Farmers without financing can't afford nitrogen fertilizer at $1,000 a ton, which translates to $100 an acre at current application rates. They won't be paying $300 for a bag of 80,000 hybrid corn kernels, again a $100 per acre expense. The average farm size in Iowa is four hundred acres and planting to harvesting would run about $120,000.This looks incredibly bad. Bryan and I are both puzzled as to why the mainstream media isn't covering this. Perhaps the need to sell Christmas season advertising trumps the need for the public to know about the troubles that are brewing.This is already 1,600 words and I haven't even touched Verasun. Executive summary? The nation's second largest ethanol maker took corn from farmers, went bankrupt without paying many of them, and a whole lot of family farms are going to be foreclosed upon in short order if something isn't done.Take ActionThe instant the Obama administration and the 111th Congress take their seats, before anything is done about Detroit, before anything is done about pension funds caught up in Wall Street's massive fraud, yes, even before they touch universal health care SOMETHING has to be done to protect our agriculture system from the volatility flowing from Wall Street's death contortions. This won't be a giveaway – it'll be a genuine investment with known risks and known returns for products that will experience ongoing demand. We, as a nation must provide our farmers with a fair, stable financing and insurance system or we're all going to pay a terrible price.If you're not in an agricultural state and you see something come up about a plan to address these issues please take the time to call or write your delegation members and let them know that you realize how important this is, even though it doesn't directly affect your state.My Personal ActionPerhaps this is the first time you've ever noticed my work. I'm the executive director for the Stranded Wind Initiative, an organization founded to develop local uses for renewable energy in places that don't have transmission lines available. A few months back a small group of the volunteers from SWI formed Third Mode Energy, a commercial venture aimed at building renewable ammonia fertilizer plants. We're working on projects in New York, Iowa, South Dakota, Indiana, and I think one is going to start in Ohio. We're looking for about fifteen more sites nationally and we need local leaders to take these projects in hand. We're going to be producing a package of information on this for legislators and media figures active in environmental and economic issues which will be ready in the first few days of January, with the intent of getting some of that stimulus money directed at local, renewable ammonia production.If your town is down and hurting we might just have a partial solution to the need for jobs and energy. We've got a group for more detailed discussion on Kossacks Networking.If you look here you will see an article from last spring - our first attempt at plant development for renewable ammonia. That one didn't go but we learned a lot and the story should give you a sense of the renewable fertilizer, greenhouse produce, and other good things that come from such development.If you look here you will see an article I did on wheat fertilization on The Cutting Edge News.(UPDATE:I've received the usual class of complaints about my dairy: You're trying to start a panic! You're totally not right about the facts! Etc, etc, etc. My only answer to this would be to point out the diary I did regarding Iceland's crash ... which called that one five months ahead of the real thing. Or all of the other stuff I've picked up from The Oil Drum or The Automatic Earth and written about well in advance of the Meat Stick Media(tm) picking up the story. I have a nice quick reference page with my first 192 diaries on it so you can flip through the titles on one screen if you'd care to go looking ...I've received the usual suggestions about how our large scale grain production should be done organically. I have no ideological opposition to this and in fact I'm generally vegetarian and eat organic as much as I can lay my hands on it. The problem is that none of the proponents can describe to me what it would look like to cultivate an entire square mile in that fashion, let alone defining a plan that would allow a neat conversion of all of the forty to fifty thousand square miles of the state of Iowa to such methods. It's an admirable concept, but it doesn't seem executable. I do not at all accept that it's "big agriculture" keeping the farmers down. If there was a way to get similar yields without paying $100/acre for fertilizer and another $100/acre for seed the typical Iowa farmer with his 400 acres would be busy stuff an extra $80,000 a year into the bank. This is not the case today.Kossack cordgrass is going to be disappeared to Guantanamo or worse for speaking the truth. Let's wish he or she a fond farewell:Real news, useful news that could predict the future is no longer in the MSM, precisely because hedge fund managers and people like that make money on the future. Knowing what is going to happen in the future is money in the bank. The more people who know the future, the less money the investor will make.Here is an article from The Grand Forks Herald about the propane shortage.And here is a direct quote regarding the wheat fertilization. The set of numbers indicate a fertilizer with 18% nitrogen, 46% phosphorus, and in this case no potassium. The source was Bryan Lutter, my agronomist friend in South Dakota. I redacted the farmer's name because I don't have permission to publish it.Neal,It's very frustrating there is not enough news on the lack of newssurrounding the under-fertilization of USA wheat. Example, NAME REDACTED is a large farmer in New Underwood, SD. He normally uses 5 semi loads of MAP (18-46-0) in the fall for his wheat. He used just 1 this year. The wheat is in the ground, and the die cast.He explained his reasoning for reduced use very well. The extra yield boost costs too much. It's actually cheaper to simply buy the extra bushels which the fertilizer would provide.Bryan(UPDATED UPDATE:Giving credit where credit is due, none of the work we've done this year to set our fertilizer industry on a renewable footing would have happened without the assistance of Jerome a Paris, who provided advice on the path we're taking.The guy behind our plant designs, Kossack nb41 is a member of Energize America 2020 and Kossack A. Siegel introduced us.I'd have died last spring without the timely assistance of Alan from Big Easy over at The Oil Drum. Seriously, dead and buried.Dr. John Holbrook and Dr. Norm Olson invited us to appear at the fifth annual ammonia fuel network conference and they've otherwise been a tremendous resource for us as we've tried to set our nitrogen fertilizer business on a renewable footing. I should also point at that ammonia powered truck that was driven from Detroit to San Francisco last year - the first bank deposit I ever made for work in this area came from NH3car.com.[&lt;a href="http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/11/27/11143/168/114/667032" target="_new" rel="nofollow"&gt;link to www.dailykos.com&lt;/a&gt;]&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-3840057145507124455?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/3840057145507124455/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=3840057145507124455' title='3 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/3840057145507124455'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/3840057145507124455'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2008/12/crop-insurance-failures-and-propane.html' title='Crop Insurance Failures and Propane shortages at grain elevators...'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>3</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-987085206470968722</id><published>2008-09-17T09:47:00.000-07:00</published><updated>2008-09-17T09:48:45.623-07:00</updated><title type='text'>9th Annual Renewable Energy Roundup in Fredericksburg</title><content type='html'>9th Annual &lt;a href="http://theroundup.org/"&gt;Renewable Energy Roundup &amp;amp; Green Living Fair&lt;/a&gt;September 26-28, 2008 Fredericksburg, Texas&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://theroundup.org/index.php?module=page&amp;amp;p=Speakers"&gt;Speakers&lt;/a&gt;&lt;a href="http://theroundup.org/index.php?module=page&amp;amp;p=Schedule"&gt;Schedule&lt;/a&gt;&lt;a href="http://theroundup.org/index.php?module=page&amp;amp;p=Exhibitors"&gt;Exhibitors&lt;/a&gt;&lt;a href="http://theroundup.org/index.php?module=page&amp;amp;p=Advertise"&gt;Advertise&lt;/a&gt;&lt;a href="http://theroundup.org/index.php?module=page&amp;amp;p=Volunteer"&gt;Volunteer&lt;/a&gt;&lt;a href="http://theroundup.org/index.php?module=page&amp;amp;p=Sponsor"&gt;Sponsor&lt;/a&gt;&lt;a href="http://theroundup.org/index.php?module=page&amp;amp;p=Travel"&gt;Travel &amp;amp; Lodging&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Come learn solutions to global warming: You can make a difference!&lt;br /&gt;Solar - Wind - Geothermal - Water Use &amp;amp; Reuse - Energy Conservation - Rainwater Harvesting - Green &amp;amp; Sustainable Building - Organic Growing - Alternative Transportation - Straw Bale Construction - Exhibits - Free Guest Speakers - Natural Food - Family Activities&lt;br /&gt;Gate entry fee $10 for Friday or Sunday, $12 for Saturday or $20 for a 3-day pass (children under 12 free)&lt;br /&gt;Advance ticket packages including a 3-day pass, water bottle, t-shirt, VIP exclusive dinner invitation, and more are available. &lt;a href="http://www.theroundup.org/index.php?module=page&amp;amp;p=Special" target="_blank"&gt;Click here to purchase.&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;General admission tickets sold at the gate only.&lt;br /&gt;Gate fee includes:&lt;br /&gt;Exhibits and on-going demonstrations&lt;br /&gt;Speakers and workshops&lt;br /&gt;Fun learning activities for kids&lt;br /&gt;Musical performances&lt;br /&gt;Many NEW Exhibitors and Speakers! It's all on the grounds, for ONE fee!&lt;br /&gt;For an added fee, there's more fun:&lt;br /&gt;Bio-diesel fueled "Jiggle Bug" train ride&lt;br /&gt;New Belgium, 100% wind-powered brewery's beers &amp;amp; ales for sale&lt;br /&gt;Please bring your own refillable water bottle or buy a lovely Roundup stainless steel water bottle for $10! We have learned that 150,000 barrels of oil a year are used to make over 189 million bottles in the U.S. alone, only 23% of which make it to the recycler. Good conscience prevents us from continuing to support this cavalier use of bottled water. Instead we are happily giving away water! Thanks to Pure Quality Water for providing the set up.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://theroundup.org/RideShare/" target="_blank"&gt;Travel Green! Carpool or Find a Roommate!&lt;/a&gt;Are there two people and four seats in your car? Please Fill Every Seat!The Roundup is a planet-friendly event. Please find your neighbors and &lt;a href="http://theroundup.org/RideShare/" target="_blank"&gt;carpool&lt;/a&gt;! You can also find hotel roommates.&lt;br /&gt;Missed a past Roundup? Or just missed some of the talks? We have the solution! &lt;a href="http://theroundup.org/index.php?module=page&amp;amp;p=CD2005" target="_self"&gt;CDs from the 2006 and 2007 Roundups&lt;/a&gt; are now available. A compilation of 50 talks from the 2006 Roundup or 53 talks from the 2007 Roundup can be purchased now. (Follow the link for details.)&lt;br /&gt;Pet PolicyThe Market Square is City of Fredericksburg property. Pets are not allowed on the Roundup (Market Square) grounds unless they are aides to the impaired. Owners of such personal assistance animals are responsible for controlling their animal, cleaning up after it, and for the safety of others in attendance. Please make arrangements for the care of your pets before leaving home, then come on out to the Fair.&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-987085206470968722?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/987085206470968722/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=987085206470968722' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/987085206470968722'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/987085206470968722'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2008/09/9th-annual-renewable-energy-roundup-in.html' title='9th Annual Renewable Energy Roundup in Fredericksburg'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-4569526172942234305</id><published>2008-04-07T09:16:00.000-07:00</published><updated>2008-04-07T09:19:54.237-07:00</updated><title type='text'>RIOT for Austerity</title><content type='html'>( editors note... this is from riot4austerity.com and a person named Sharon posted it )&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.riot4austerity.org/blog/?p=3450"&gt;http://www.riot4austerity.org/blog/?p=3450&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Most of us raised in a Biblical religion have some vague memory of the story of Joseph and his brothers, if only from the Donny Osmond musical. Genesis 39-47 will refresh your memory if you are interested in the details. In the story, Joseph who was sold into Egypt becomes the powerful advisor of Pharoah, who is having bad dreams. In one of the dreams, Pharoah dreams of seven fat cows, devoured by seven starving cows. In the second, seven ripe, healthy sheaves of wheat are devoured by seven shrivelled, dry ones. Joseph correctly predicts that this means,&lt;br /&gt;“Immediately ahead are seven years of great abundance in all the land of Egypt. After them will come seven years of famine and all the abundance in the land of Egypt will be forgotten. As the land is ravaged by famine, no trace of the abundance will be left in the land…And let Pharoah take steps to appoint overseers over the land, and organize by taking a fifth part of the land’s produce in the seven years of plenty. Let all the food of those good years that are coming be gathered and let the grian be collected under Pharoah’s authority as food to be stored in cities. Let that food be a reserve for the land for the seven years of famine which will come upon the land of Egypt, so that the land may not perish in the famine.”&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Joseph’s understanding and forethought enable Egyptians, and ultimately his own family to survive the famine, in which “…there was no bread in all the world.“&lt;br /&gt;One of the fascinating things about the way that this story is told is the linguistic linking of land and people here - that is, we are told that we should store food so that “the land may not perish.” Of course, this means the people of the land, but it also is a reminder that famine is enormously destructive to the land itself - in the face of famine, land that should not be cultivated is brought into cultivation (we are seeing this already in the US as Crop Protection Land is brought into production and elsewhere as the world’s poor are pressed onto increasingly marginal land), and desperately hungry people will eat whatever they can, including protected animals and plants. Famine isn’t just destructive to the hungry, but to the earth they devastate in the quest for food. In a real sense, the preservation of the people can be the preservation of the land itself.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Whatever anyone can say about Pharoahs ;-), this one seems to have a laudible sense of obligation to his own populace - a sense of obligation that wildly exceeds the leaders of many nations, who have allowed stockpiles to collapse in times of comparative prosperity. Right now world grain reserves are well below what is considered to be a “safe” level to keep populations fed in a time of shortage - and this can be seen by the concern that nations are showing about expanding and safeguarding what reserves they do have in the present crisis. For example, Thailand recently announced it will not consider selling grain from its stockpiles, and the Philippines negotiated a deal with the US and Vietnam to buy a large reserve.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;I bring this up not to make you feel like you are back in Sunday school, but because of a &lt;a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/04/03/AR2008040304054.html"&gt;Washington Post article I just read&lt;/a&gt;, which struck me because while it is perfectly possible that this is an accident, what purports to be a news story about fears of unrest caused by high grain prices, particularly rice, turns out to have what looks like a strong propaganda component, warning people about the danger of stockpiling grain.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;“Cambodian Finance Minister Keat Chhon last week called for people to be calm. He urged them “not to stock up on foods, which could make the situation even harder.”&lt;br /&gt;Some experts say that building reserves to protect against future shortages only makes the problem worse.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;‘Of course, if every country, or individual consumer, acts the same way, the hoarding causes a panic and extreme shortage in markets, leading to rapidly rising prices,” said Peter Timmer, a visiting professor at &lt;a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/related/topic/Stanford+University?tid=informline"&gt;Stanford University&lt;/a&gt;’s program on food security and the environment.&lt;br /&gt;For example, he said, “the newly elected populist government in &lt;a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/related/topic/Thailand?tid=informline"&gt;Thailand&lt;/a&gt; did not want consumer prices for rice to go up, so they started talking about export restrictions from Thailand, the world’s largest rice exporter. . . . So last Friday, rice prices in Thailand jumped $75 per metric ton. This is the stuff of panics.” “&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Now there is some real truth here - if billions of people attempt to build up a food reserve in a time of short supplies, they will make the situation worse, driving up prices and increasing shortages. It is also true, however, that the root cause of these shortages is not people trying to buy now so that they can be sure that they will have rice to eat if the price continues to jump (it went up by 10% on Friday alone). The problem is a combination of climate change, aquifer depletion (especially in China) and biofuels growth - with a heavy emphasis on that last one.&lt;br /&gt;Now the difference between hoarding and stockpiling is this - once you are already in a crisis AND there is a meaningful and rational system for ensuring people have access to food, building up stores can disrupt the existing system and its fairness.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;This is hoarding, and it is problematic. That is, if there’s just enough rice to around, *and it is going around in a fairly just way* those who are wealthy enough to build up private stocks can disrupt the system, and shouldn’t. That, however is not the case now. First of all, there’s more than enough food to go around, and second of all, justice has not been the major concern.&lt;br /&gt;How do we know this? Well, in 2007, the world produced enough calories to feed everyone in the world half again more calories in grain than they need. With 6.6 billion people, we could feed 1/3 more people, raising the world’s population up to 10 million on present agricultural yields of grain alone - this excludes all vegetables, fruits, grass fed meats and forageable plants. That is, right now we are not experiencing shortages of food in any absolute sense.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;This, I think is a deeply important point. When I observe things like this, people usually not that there is no such thing as perfectly fair food distribution, and that is, of course true. It is also true that we are so far away from even a remotely just system of distribution that if we could even approximate a level of concern for the world’s populace that exeeded our concern for our cars, I’d be happy. The reality is that rich people eat three times - they eat some grain. Then they eat meat, fed on enough grain to feed an ordinary person many times over, and then they feed their cars, their pets, the birds and occasionally burn some grain and legumes in their stoves. We entirely lack a system that simply says “humans get the first products of agricultural labor” - that is, that people outrank the cars, dogs, and desire for steak of the average rich world denizen.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Building up supplies in times of comparative prosperity and surplus is not hoarding - it is simply a wise idea, and has been since Pharoah and Joseph were doing it. Keeping a solid reserve of food means that you are not as vulnerable to disruptions and crises. But national stockpiles have been falling steadily for the last decade, with world reserves presently at their lowest since records have been kept. Just as we’re not saving money any more, we are not presently reserving our staple foods for hard times.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Not only is building supplies in times of comparative prosperity morally ok, it is not ethically speaking hoarding if there is no system of equitable distribution. That is, hoarding is the retention of food stores *when things are being distributed fairly* that disrupts an already fair system. Hoarding is not an accurate way to describe the attempt of desperately poor and hungry people to make sure that they are a little less desperately poor and hungry next week, nor is stockpiling an unreasonable response to a crisis in which there is no just system of making sure that the hungry are fed. In that case, when governments and larger institutions are not ensuring fair distribution, it is more than reasonable for people to try and make sure they and theirs are fed. Can this cause problems? Absolutely. Is this root cause of present problems, and should those who inadvertantly exacerbate problems with deeper root causes be held up as responsible? Hell no.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;There are some food sources, notably rice, that are experiencing absolute food shortages. But food in general is plentiful - so what’s the problem? Well, Lester Brown announced yesterday that the total amount of US biofuels production could have fed *250 million* people every bite of grain they needed for a year. Think hard about that fact next time you are in the market for some E10. Note, however, that the UN and World Bank, both primary enthusiasts of the world biofuels boom, are arguing that we should give &lt;a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2008/apr/05/food.biofuels"&gt;more money to the World Food Program &lt;/a&gt;(and we should - they are already desperate and things are only going to get worse), but not that we should stop biofuel production. The one bright spot in what is otherwise a humanitarian and ecological disaster is that Germany seems finally ready to slow the madness - it announced earlier this week that it would remove its own ethanol mandate. Here’s hoping that that’s the first in a trend!&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;This is, I think, an important point because articles like the one I cited above suggest that a great deal more of the responsibility rests on poor rice consumers than is just. Years of being taught to read closely makes me think that the Washington Post article is more than just a piece of reporting - that is, its level of balance on the subject of stockpiling is low - there is no discussion about, for example, how those who bought rice before the price jump are doing in comparison to others, or why government and world reserves are as low as they are - and whether consumers have the right to compensate for absent state stockpiles of staples. Other than one brief mention of biofuels there is no discussion of rich world hoarding in the form of meat consumption or reduced exports because of biofuels.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The extended discussion of individual hoarding, which takes up nearly half the article, implies that political unrest is primarily caused by governments acknowledging their is a problem, and by people who want to eat trying to continue doing so. Moreover, while I hate to get all conspiracy-theoryish, I cannot help thinking that such an extended discussion of stockpiling in an article that is supposed to be primarily about political unrest due to food prices (and it isn’t like there isn’t anything to write about on that subject) is also beginning to create an American anti-stockpiling narrative.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;I’ve had several people email me recently about the ethics of building stockpiles during a time of famine. And I agree, were we really seeing extremely tight supplies of grains, and a system for just distribution, it would be perfectly reasonable to expect to work with it, and limit reserve building right now. But that is not the case - we are presently seeing a vast excess of grain production - mostly going straight into gas tanks and CAFO meat. As economist Amartya Sen has observed, famines are usually about access to food, not absolute supply. Well, for billions of people in the poor world and millions in America can walk into stores filled to overflowing with food - and cannot touch any of it, because they cannot afford it. It is that experience of hunger in a world of plenty that millions of people are experiencing for the first time now.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Moreover, the kind of stockpiling most of the people I’m talking about are doing is not only ok, it is great for the development of local food systems. People are searching out local grain and legume growers, and buying direct, or at worst, buying direct when possible from small scale producers in someone else’s locality. There are, of course, people who can’t do that - but generally speaking, most of my readers with extra money are essentially investing it in local staple food systems, and that is an extremely good use of money.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Even if you are not able to buy local and organic, you should remember that your use of food is the real purpose of the food - you aren’t buying your grains to feed to feedlot cows, or to burn in your car. You are buying food to *EAT* it. Eaters should always have first rights to food. Moreover, those of us who are concerned about the failure of our nations or regions to stockpile food during our fat years have a reason and a responsibility to take on that role for themselves.&lt;br /&gt;The thing is, organizing and keeping grain reserves is one of those “comparatively good uses for government” things.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Thus, moves by nations to stabilize or increase their reserves, while a day late or a dollar short, again, are not the root problem - yes, they are driving short term price rises. But they are also responding, not to an imaginary problem, but to the real danger that people will starve to death and die. Market analysts who talk about the problem of people holding back food and creating subsidies are ignoring the fact that nations are responding because a substantial portion of their populace is in danger of death from hunger and hunger related disease.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;“To calm increasingly concerned Chinese consumers — for whom prices rose 8.7 percent in February from a year earlier, the biggest increase in 12 years — the government froze the prices of some grains, meat and eggs. Premier &lt;a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/related/topic/Wen+Jiabao?tid=informline"&gt;Wen Jiabao&lt;/a&gt; announced this week that China is largely self-sufficient in rice production and has stockpiled 40 to 50 million tons of rice.&lt;br /&gt;The Chinese government also has run picture after picture in local newspapers of its “strategic reserves” of frozen meat, sacks of grain and barrels of cooking oil.”&lt;br /&gt;Today a &lt;a href="http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2008/04/05/EDLTVQVQ8.DTL"&gt;San Francisco Chronicle editor&lt;/a&gt;ial argued that “hoarding” only makes things worse for everyone. In&lt;a href="http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/Government_panic_stokes_inflation/articleshow/2929336.cms"&gt; The Times of India&lt;/a&gt;, Swaminathan S. Anklesaria argues that “national hoarding” or curbing exports is itself a major problem, and that governments should not try to mitigate hunger by restraining exports.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;“The lesson is clear. Curbing exports is a form of national hoarding. If every country tries to hoard food, food prices will naturally rise. Governments would like to believe that hoarding by traders is terrible, whereas hoarding by governments promotes the public interest. But the impact on prices is exactly the same in both cases. Indeed, when governments start to hoard food out of panic, the panic itself stokes further inflationary fears.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;That is why I am not optimistic about the Indian government’s anti-inflation package. The government thinks it is improving domestic supplies and hence bringing down prices. In fact the government is adding to the global hoarding problem, and stoking panic too. So, expect food inflation to keep rising in coming months.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;When and how will it end? The roots of today’s food inflation are global, and cannot be tackled by the Indian government in isolation. Inflation will come down only when world food production rises, and world prices fall. That cannot happen immediately. “&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;But implicit in this assumption is the belief that it would be better to let some people starve than to start the cycle of driving up prices, or having governments stabilize them. This is a form of free market orthodoxy that doesn’t tolerate any dissent - people dropping dead of starvation? Well, the solution is to let the market handle it, which, of course, it will - in due course. Pay no attention to the corpses on the side of the road. Wanting people to eat and worrying they won’t, well, that’s a form of panic!&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Crazy, crazy panic.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;This orthodoxy also does not distinguish between forms of national hoarding - storing the food your country produces to feed its population is described as national hoarding - but no such description is given to the production of biofuels, almost always used within nations, to feed the cars of people who are already well fed. If there is a form of hoarding going on, it can be best seen in ethanol and other grain production - we are hoarding our food for our cars. We could make the same about meat production - heavy meat consumption results in the removal of potential exports from markets that, in this case, desperately need them.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Worldwide, the costs are already rising in human terms. The UK Guardian reports:&lt;br /&gt;“Cameroon At least 24 people killed and 1,600 people arrested in February. Taxes slashed on food imports and public sector wages increased by 15%.&lt;br /&gt;Indonesia 10,000 demonstrated outside the presidential palace in Jakarta after soya bean prices rose more than 50% in a month and more than 125% over the past year.&lt;br /&gt;Egypt Seven people have died in fights or of exhaustion queuing for subsidised bread. Dairy products are up 20%, oil 40%.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Burkina Faso Riots in three towns after the government promised to control the price of food but failed.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Guinea Five anti-government riots over cost of living in past 18 months.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Pakistan Thousands of troops have been deployed to guard trucks carrying wheat and flour.”&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Earlier this week, the World Food Program head reported in Ethiopia that the problem is not absolute shortages, but growing urban hunger, as urban dwellers, pushed off the land by globalized practices of food dumping and now dependent on imported food, can no longer buy it. African nations that were once nearly food self-sufficient now depend on cheap imports for 40% or more of their food - and there are no more cheap imports.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;So should you stop buying food to store? No. What you should stop doing, if you haven’t already is this. Stop eating CAFO meat - period. Don’t buy any meat that isn’t grassfed and local, and sustainably raised. Go vegetarian if you can’t get good local meat. And everyone who has more than they need needs to both redouble their charitable giving and their advocacy against biofuel growth. But don’t be ashamed of feeding your family, or planning ahead for tight supplies - instead, donate what you can so that someone in Asia or Africa can buy a little extra for their families. Let the cars worry about whether there will be enough grain in reserve.&lt;br /&gt;There is a Mishnah (a Rabbinical expansion of a Biblical Story) that says that after Joseph and his brothers were reunited, Jacob and his sons made their way to Egypt where there was food in the famine. On the way to Egypt, one day, Jacob awakens and tells his sons to get up and plant cedars in the desert. They ask him why? And Jacob answers that someday they will come out of Egypt again at the end of some terrible times, and when they do, their descendents will need those cedars. “So rise up now and plant seeds. For you are planting on this day the seeds of your own deliverance”&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;If you want to help in the world food crisis, give what you can, protest biofuels, and eat lower on the food chain. And at the same time, turn your efforts, the work of your hands and heart and time and energy to doing as Jacob and his sons did - planting seeds, the seeds of our own deliverance. The time is not so far that we will need them.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Sharon&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.riot4austerity.org/blog/?p=3450"&gt;http://www.riot4austerity.org/blog/?p=3450&lt;/a&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-4569526172942234305?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/4569526172942234305/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=4569526172942234305' title='1 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/4569526172942234305'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/4569526172942234305'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2008/04/riot-for-austerity.html' title='RIOT for Austerity'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>1</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-7089933032521750990</id><published>2008-02-26T19:09:00.000-08:00</published><updated>2008-02-26T19:11:59.612-08:00</updated><title type='text'>It’s the thinnest material ever and could revolutionise computers and medicine!!</title><content type='html'>&lt;a href="http://www.timesonline.co.uk/" target="_new" rel="nofollow"&gt;link to www.timesonline.co.uk&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Scientists have created the thinnest material in the world and predict that it will revolutionise computing and medical research. A layer of carbon has been manufactured in a film only one atom thick that defies the laws of physics. Placed in layers on top of each other it would take 200,000 membranes to reach high enough to match the thickness of a human hair.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The substance, graphene, was created two years ago but could be made only when stuck to another material. Researchers have now managed to manufacture it as a film suspended between the nanoscale bars of scaffolding made from gold. Such a feat was held to be impossible by theorists, backed up by experimentation, because it is in effect a two-dimensional crystal that is supposed to be destroyed instantly by heat.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Background&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The nano state is here Troops to test liquid armour Leading article: Nanoo, nanoo The crystalline membrane, comprising carbon atoms formed into hexagonal groups of six to create a honeycomb pattern, is thought to be able to exist because rather than lying flat it undulates slightly. Un- dulation provides the structure with a third dimension that gives it the strength to hold together, the researchers have reported in the journal Nature. The graphene membrane has proved to be so stable that it holds together in vacuums and at room temperature. All other known materials oxidise, decompose and become unstable at sizes ten times the thickness. It was created by scientists at the University of Manchester, working with the Max Planck Institute in Germany.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;“This is a completely new type of technology — even nanotechnology is not the right word to describe these new membranes,” said Professor Andre Geim, of the University of Manchester. “We have made proof-of-concept devices and believe that the technology transfer to other areas should be straightforward. The real challenge is to make such membranes cheap and readily available for large-scale applications.”&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Kostya Novoselov, of the University of Manchester, said that its main applications were expected to be in vastly increasing the speed at which computers could make calculations and in researching new drugs. The membrane could also be used as a microscopic sieve to separate gases into their constituent parts. In medical research the membrane, which at single atom thickness measures 0.35 nanometres, could be used as the support for molecules being analysed by electron microscopes. At present the definition of the images provided by electron microscopes is limited by the thickness of the material that the sample molecules rest on.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The thinness of graphene membranes is such that the electrons would have much less irrelevant material to pass through and so be able to give a clearer picture of the structure of molecules, especially the proteins believed to hold the key to a generation of medicines. Graphene membranes could eventually replace silicon because they have the potential to be a far more effective transistor. Used as a transistor, essentially a switch that stops or lets in an electric current, they have proved to be faster than silicon and use less power.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The transistor experiments were reported in the journal Nature Materials. Leonid Ponomarenko, of the University of Manchester, is optimistic that it can be turned into a commercial success.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;“The technology has managed to progress steadily from millimetre-sized transistors to current microprocessors with individual elements down to ten nanometres in size. The next logical step is true nanometre-sized circuits.”&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-7089933032521750990?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/7089933032521750990/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=7089933032521750990' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/7089933032521750990'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/7089933032521750990'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2008/02/its-thinnest-material-ever-and-could.html' title='It’s the thinnest material ever and could revolutionise computers and medicine!!'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-6904188106978070973</id><published>2008-02-09T23:08:00.000-08:00</published><updated>2008-02-09T23:15:15.000-08:00</updated><title type='text'>damn does this guy tell the truth or WHAT!!!!!!!!!!!</title><content type='html'>Could Iran's New "Oil Bourse" Spark a War with the US or Israel?If tiny bubbles floating up from the ocean floor could tell tales, we might learn a thing or two on the surface. On the heels of Iran announcing the grand opening of its new "Oil Bourse," not many US financial institutions are cutting colorful ribbons or breaking Champaign bottles in celebration over this announcement.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;In fact, Wall Street is painfully developing acid reflex because this could very well be the beginning of the end for monopolizing "Texas Tea" exclusively being sold using only American dollars. In truth, this could very well plummet the American dollar deeper into the abyss of nothingness.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Having said that, strange things are surreptitiously happening on the ocean floor with scant reporting in the US corporate mainstream news media...sneaky little devils. Since the end of January – nine (or more) major fiber optic cables – on the ocean floors have suspiciously been cut, disrupting most or all telecommunications/internet capabilities for the Middle East, North Africa and South Asia. From Egypt to India and most points in between, cable cuts in the Persian Gulf, Egypt, Malaysia and France have predominately affected Muslim nations. Bottom line, this is keeping them "off-the-communication grid" slowing their international markets for trade and commerce to a standstill.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;And, this has delayed the grand opening for the Oil Bourse. To no surprise in these days of worthless news reporting competing with Hollywood Bimbo Slut alerts, little attention was afforded in the corporate media about this little tidbit. And when it was mentioned or ticker-taped, a few lame excuses were offered, such as...&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;1) Was this a multiple million to one natural caused anomaly?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2) Was it a multiple ship mishap coincidently dragging their anchors along the ocean floor causing the breaks?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;3) (the unmentioned) Was it a blatant ocean espionage mission orchestrated to prevent Iran from opening their new Oil Bourse? Gee, I'm so undecided... Well, after much skull scratching on my itchy, analytical head, and after a simple internet search giving detail how the US Navy has many sophisticated submarine teams specially out-rigged with cable cutting capability (for doable secret covert espionage missions such as this), those tiny little bubbles floating to the surface truly found their voice for me.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;However, I have to admit, I do believe part of the "bogus anchor-drag-fairytale." It truly is unfortunate for us that real soon, US war ships will probably start launching smart missiles and mini nukes at Iran because of nervous Wall Street investors and crazy war hawks...and that in itself is an "anchor drag" of magnanimous misfortune for everyone involved.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;I guess you could say the proverbial periscope is now fully topside for all the world to see! Just another day in the corporate hood watching US imperialism run amuck practically caught with cutting torches in their hand. So much for fairness in the spirit of competition for Iran (or others) to freely sell their goods in the global marketplace with a currency of their choosing. Indeed, how dare they fairly compete against US interests with an oil tycoon at the helm holding a cash register in his lap wanting to make another war killing at our expense!&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;King Junior will have no part of that! So says He! Just like Iraq, I'm sure the good Lord did not whisper a soft-spoken message into the village idiot's dementia ear for him to quickly open the Bombay doors, yet again -- heck, I can almost hear the psycho's celestial conversation -- Yes my Lord, the communication cables are cut and our war machine is gearing up for the wonderful crusade.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Yes God, keep the pearly gate ajar for the many floaters coming to heaven. Yes Sir, the nukes are ready to fly like angels in the mist. Yes Lord, The targets were laser-tagged by our Special Ops and Israel's Mossad agents (your favored ones) over a year ago...yes my Holiness, the twins wrote a sweet little prayer on the first fifty missiles ready to launch. They would have done a hundred (as requested) but, the darn pen ran out of holy ink. Also Lord, Please excuse my little dumplings many misspellings...but it's the thought that counts? Right Lord? Humorous?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;I wish it was, but this a very serious matter at hand. And we're not the only ones gearing up for the next war. Israel's been banging the war drum for some time now, and seems adamant in taking precautionary defense measures for it as well. The USS San Jacinto, an Anti Missile AEGIS cruiser is scheduled to dock in Haifa, Israel, in the next day or so. Logic would suggest that such a measure would only be necessary if you expect some incoming missiles to be launched at you from say...Iran or North Korea?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;I wonder how our Commander and Thief dreamed this one up -- Hey Dick, how will we get this wrecking-ball swinging on Iran? So many darn false-flag operations to choose from! I wonder if some dead incubator babies floating on the open seas would stir em up? It worked pretty good for pops, except the little suckers weren't floating in the Persian Gulf. Or maybe I'll just order a similar bogus Gulf of Tonkin incident with a Mediterranean twist? Hey, that's a keeper! I think I'll name my next drink after that one. Or perhaps, I'll just keep the press corps bombarding the sheeple with more of the same recycled rhetoric about how Iran is sending arms to Iraq to kill US soldiers?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Ha, ha, Yeah, that's the ticket -- plus I'll keep repeating how they're enriching uranium for launching nuclear bombs at Israel. Hmm, so much poison to choose from, I'll have to drink another six pack of Lonestar (hic) to get my decision-cap on for this one. Gee, being a war president is so much work (burp). Ah heck with it -- I think I'll just let Israel start the darn war -- it was after all, their idea in the first place! I'll just let their bombers sneak in through Iraqi airspace and get this going as suggested from ol' Ehud Olmert...&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Laughable cynicism?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Seriously though, history has proven time and again that the politics of repeated fear molds foreign policy and US aggressiveness quite effectively. Yeah, think about it, we always were suckers for a good hate object to embrace -- Kooks, Chinks, Japs...Kill a commie for mommie...a good rag-head is dead rag-head, etc. Anything to get those daddy war bucks flowing into the war-chest. It's called the prep-rally factor, and it works like a charm every time. I used to have a little hope that with all the millions of people who live in this great country, surely by now, we would have found the grit to rise up and stop these guys. But that was simply not the case.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;So why should this next fiasco be any different? Heck, we've already swallowed so much hubris, it's sickening. For example, look how fast we accepted the inside demolition job of September 11, 2001! And what a superb cover-up to boot!Truth is, I'm sure Mr. FOX news watcher will march quite orderly for Sir Dubya. I guess we better suck-it-up and get ready to digest the next chapter of this grand canard for Bush's famous war legacy.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Hmm, are we the land of gas guzzling simpletons who love to play games at anyone's expense? Perhaps. Games? Simon says -- attack our own nation. Done deal. Simon says -- blame others for it. Done. Simon says -- launch two false wars. Done. Simon says -- start a third one called "the war on terror."&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Checkmate.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Are we enjoying this yet? I wonder, because we have allowed these vicious power brokers to murder with impunity three thousand innocent Americans here at home, and thousands more soldiers abroad with hundreds of thousands civilians wiped-out globally. Can you feel the warm embrace of Old Glory caressing your wholesome servitude? Is Uncle Sam making you proud yet as our glorious bombs bust in air over civilian targets? Are the power freaks among us feeling erections as the Bombay doors get ready to open yet again in Iran and elsewhere?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;How pathetic...Point blank -- painful as it may be, my once honored America has become a disgraceful nation. My soul is worn thin from all of this -- and my participation in any future activism is winding down for anything short of a revolution.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;I'm sad to say – I hope we pay dearly for allowing this rampage to continue unabated for so long. And I would add, we are dead as a nation, and deservingly so. I'm tired of beating my head against this keyboard night after night trying to convince my fellow citizens how stupid we are for letting these guys get away with this crap. I truly am ashamed of myself and others. We are now the land of the enslaved.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;But get ready to reap what we have sowed. A pissed-off world is recoiling at our inaction in controlling our own leaders. And by God, we deserve it. I welcome the world's combined effort to plummet our economy. I welcome their victory over us.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;May it be harsh and swift leaving us penniless.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Only then will this greedy nation full of soggy-bottom do-nothing brainwashed minions evolve into something more deserving of such amenities as freedom, democracy, wealth and honor.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Only then, will the cycle of war perish within our midst and the chains of corporate slavery be broken.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Only after reaping the global whirlwinds from a vengeful world taking us down in disgust, will we finally learn our lesson.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Perhaps, after the many stings of worldly whips have left their painful scars will we sink to our knees and beg for forgiveness to live with others in peace and harmony without selfishness as our sole motivation for survival. God speed my world. May we pay dearly for forcing our unfettered capitalism under the black banner of free trade to steal your lands. Forgive us for the many brilliant social experiments in other nations we destroyed that may have evolved, had we not intervened and meddled. Let the heavy hammer of hard justice punish my America in the name of peace for the sanctity of world survival.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;"Vincent L Guarisco is a freelance writer from Bullhead City AZ., a contributing writer for many web sites, and a lifetime founding member of the Alliance of Atomic Veterans. Reprint permission is given as long as article content is not altered or changed and credit is given to the author. Replies welcomed at: &lt;a href="mailto:vincespainting1@hotmail.com"&gt;vincespainting1@hotmail.com&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;( editorial note... I don't know Vincent, but his word do indeed strike me as having a ring of truth )&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-6904188106978070973?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/6904188106978070973/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=6904188106978070973' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/6904188106978070973'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/6904188106978070973'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2008/02/damn-does-this-guy-tell-truth-or-what.html' title='damn does this guy tell the truth or WHAT!!!!!!!!!!!'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-4376397798461359494</id><published>2008-02-08T10:38:00.000-08:00</published><updated>2008-02-08T10:41:18.599-08:00</updated><title type='text'>An ode to the sacrifices of the past...</title><content type='html'>and I wonder of the reality we have created...&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;I had a dream the other night, I did not understand.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;There was a figure walking through the mist with a flintlock in his hand.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;His clothes were torn and tattered, as he stood there by my bed.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;He took off his three cornered hat, and speaking low, he said: "We fought a revolution to secure our liberty, and we wrote the constitution as a shield from tyranny.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;For our future generations, this legacy we gave, in this the land of the free, and home of the brave.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The freedom we secured for you, we hoped you'd always keep. But tyrants labored endlessly while your parents were asleep.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Your freedom gone, your courage lost, you're no more than a slave in this land of the free and home of the brave.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;You buy "permits" to travel, and "permits" to own a gun, "permits" to start a business, and "permits" to build a home.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;You live on land you believe to be your own, but you pay a yearly rent, just to keep a home.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Your children attend a school that doesn't educate, and your moral values can't be taught, according to the state.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;You read about news in a very biased press, and you pay a tax you do not owe to please the IRS.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Your money is no longer made of silver or of gold; you have traded your wealth for paper, so your life can be controlled.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;You are just a number, there's no family honor that you hold.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;You've given government control, to those who do you harm, as they padlock your businesses and steal the family farm.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Can you regain the freedom for which we fought and died?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Or don't you have the courage, or the faith to stand with pride?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Just what would you fight to save?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Aren't you sick of being just a government slave?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Sons of the Republic, arise and take a stand! Defend our Constitution, the supreme law of the land.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Preserve our great republic, and each God given right!&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;And pray to God to keep the torch of freedom burning bright."As I awoke he vanished in a mist from whence he came.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;His words were true, we are not free, and we have ourselves to blame.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;For even now as tyrants trample our God given rights, we only stand and tremble, too afraid to stand and fight.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;If he stood by your bedside in a dream while you were asleep, and asked you what had happened to the rights he died to keep, What would be your answer if he called out from the grave?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;"Is This Still The Land Of The Free And The Home Of The Brave?"&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;This poem written by Thelen Paulk.&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-4376397798461359494?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/4376397798461359494/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=4376397798461359494' title='1 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/4376397798461359494'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/4376397798461359494'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2008/02/ode-to-sacrifices-of-past.html' title='An ode to the sacrifices of the past...'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>1</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-5865134526425701346</id><published>2007-12-26T15:16:00.000-08:00</published><updated>2007-12-26T15:19:13.294-08:00</updated><title type='text'>Nanosolar Ships</title><content type='html'>&lt;b&gt;Nanosolar Ships First Panels&lt;/b&gt;&lt;br /&gt;December 18, 2007&lt;br /&gt;Posted by Martin Roscheisen, CEO&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;img src="http://www.nanosolar.com/media/NanosolarPanelsRMRhead_web.jpg" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Image credit: &lt;a class="snap_shots" href="http://www.nanosolar.com/"&gt;Nanosolar&lt;img id="snap_com_shot_link_icon" class="snap_preview_icon" style="border: 0pt none ; margin: 0pt ! important; padding: 1px 0pt 0pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-family: &amp;quot;trebuchet ms&amp;quot;,arial,helvetica,sans-serif; float: none; position: static; left: auto; top: auto; line-height: normal; background-image: url(http://i.ixnp.com/images/v3.8/theme/silver/palette.gif); background-color: transparent; width: 14px; height: 12px; background-position: -944px 0pt; background-repeat: no-repeat; text-decoration: none; visibility: visible; vertical-align: top; display: inline;" src="http://i.ixnp.com/images/v3.8/t.gif" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;b&gt;"&lt;/b&gt;After five years of product development – including aggressively pipelined science, research and development, manufacturing process development, product testing, manufacturing engineering and tool development, and factory construction – we now have shipped first product and received our first check of product revenue...&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Our product is defining in more ways I can enumerate here but includes:&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;- the world’s first printed thin-film solar cell in a commercial panel product;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;- the world’s first thin-film solar cell with a low-cost back-contact capability;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;- the world’s lowest-cost solar panel – which we believe will make us the first solar manufacturer capable of profitably selling solar panels at as little as $.99/Watt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;- the world’s highest-current thin-film solar panel – delivering five times the current of any other thin-film panel on the market today and thus simplifying system deployment;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;- an intensely systems-optimized product with the lowest balance-of-system cost of any thin-film panel – due to innovations in design we have included...&lt;b&gt;"&lt;/b&gt; &lt;a class="snap_shots" href="http://www.nanosolar.com/blog3/2007/12/18/nanosolar-ships-first-panels/"&gt;(Link to full story)&lt;/a&gt;&lt;a class="snap_shots" href="http://www.nanosolar.com/blog3/2007/12/18/nanosolar-ships-first-panels/"&gt;&lt;img id="snap_com_shot_link_icon" class="snap_preview_icon" style="border: 0pt none ; margin: 0pt ! important; padding: 1px 0pt 0pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-family: &amp;quot;trebuchet ms&amp;quot;,arial,helvetica,sans-serif; float: none; position: static; left: auto; top: auto; line-height: normal; background-image: url(http://i.ixnp.com/images/v3.8/theme/silver/palette.gif); background-color: transparent; width: 14px; height: 12px; background-position: -944px 0pt; background-repeat: no-repeat; text-decoration: none; visibility: visible; vertical-align: top; display: inline;" src="http://i.ixnp.com/images/v3.8/t.gif" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;( MySolarVillage Note : we'll see if this ever trickles into the comsumer realm... right now they can presell all they make to the big power companies... So we'll see if WE ever get to buy any to make our OWN electricity... the PTB would like to MAKE SURE THEY are they only ones that can generate power, and they will outbid the consumer EVERYTIME)&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-5865134526425701346?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/5865134526425701346/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=5865134526425701346' title='1 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/5865134526425701346'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/5865134526425701346'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2007/12/nanosolar-ships.html' title='Nanosolar Ships'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>1</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-6331950625516882003</id><published>2007-09-07T10:11:00.000-07:00</published><updated>2007-09-07T10:12:38.008-07:00</updated><title type='text'>The coming Food Crisis</title><content type='html'>&lt;span style="font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:180%;"&gt;&lt;b&gt;The looming food crisis &lt;/b&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:100%;"&gt;&lt;p&gt;Land that was once used to grow food is increasingly being turned over to biofuels. This may help us to fight global warming - but it is driving up food prices throughout the world and making life increasingly hard in developing countries. Add in water shortages, natural disasters and an ever-rising population, and what you have is a recipe for disaster.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Geneva,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:85%;"&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The mile upon mile of tall maize waving to the horizon around the small Nebraskan town of Carleton looks perfect to farmers such as Mark Jagels. He and his father farm 2,500 acres (10m sq km), the price of maize - what the Americans call corn - has never been higher, and the future has seldom seemed rosier. Carleton (town motto: "The center of it all") is booming, with $200m of Californian money put up for a new biofuel factory and, after years in the doldrums, there is new full-time, well-paid work for 50 people.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Geneva,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:85%;"&gt;But there is a catch. The same fields that surround Jagels' house on the great plains may be bringing new money to rural America, but they are also helping to push up the price of bread in Manchester, tortillas in Mexico City and beer in Madrid. As a direct result of what is happening in places like Nebraska, Kansas, Indiana and Oklahoma, food aid for the poorest people in southern Africa, pork in China and beef in Britain are all more expensive.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Geneva,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:85%;"&gt;Challenged by President George Bush to produce 35bn gallons of non-fossil transport fuels by 2017 to reduce US dependency on imported oil, the Jagels family and thousands of farmers like them are patriotically turning the corn belt of America from the bread basket of the world into an enormous fuel tank. Only a year ago, their maize mostly went to cattle feed or was exported as food aid. Come harvest time in September, almost all will end up at the new plant at Carleton, where it will be fermented to make ethanol, a clear, colourless alcohol consumed, not by people, but by cars.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Geneva,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:85%;"&gt;The era of "agrofuels" has arrived, and the scale of the changes it is already forcing on farming and markets around the world is immense. In Nebraska alone, an extra million acres of maize have been planted this year, and the state boasts it will produce 1bn gallons of ethanol. Across the US, 20% of the whole maize crop went to ethanol last year. How much is that? Just 2% of US automobile use.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Geneva,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:85%;"&gt;"Probably hasn't looked any better than it looks right now," Jerry Stahr, another Nebraskan farmer, told his local paper recently.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Geneva,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:85%;"&gt;Jagels and Stahr are part of a global green rush, one of the greatest shifts that world agriculture has seen in decades. As the US, Europe, China, Japan and other countries commit themselves to using 10% or more alternative automobile fuels, farmers everywhere are rushing to grow maize, sugar cane, palm oil and oil seed rape, all of which can be turned into ethanol or other biofuels for automobiles. But that means getting out of other crops.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Geneva,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:85%;"&gt;The scale of the change is boggling. The Indian government says it wants to plant 35m acres (140,000 sq km) of biofuel crops, Brazil as much as 300m acres (1.2m sq km). Southern Africa is being touted as the future Middle East of biofuels, with as much as 1bn acres (4m sq km) of land ready to be converted to crops such as Jatropha curcas (physic nut), a tough shrub that can be grown on poor land. Indonesia has said it intends to overtake Malaysia and increase its palm oil production from 16m acres (64,000 sq km) now to 65m acres (260,000 sq km) in 2025.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Geneva,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:85%;"&gt;While this may be marginally better for carbon emissions and energy security, it is proving horrendous for food prices and anyone who stands in the way of a rampant new industry. A year or two ago, almost all the land where maize is now being grown to make ethanol in the US was being farmed for human or animal food. And because America exports most of the world's maize, its price has doubled in 10 months, and wheat has risen about 50%.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Geneva,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:85%;"&gt;The effect on agriculture in the UK is price increases all round. "The world price [of maize] has doubled," says Mark Hill, food partner at the business advisory firm Deloitte. "In June, wheat prices across the US and Europe hit their highest levels in more than a decade. These price hikes are likely to trigger inflation in food prices, as processors are forced to pay increased costs for basic ingredients such as corn and wheat."&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Geneva,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:85%;"&gt;UK flour millers, for example, need 5.5m tonnes of wheat to produce the 12m loaves sold each day in the UK. The majority of this wheat is grown in the UK, and in the last year milling wheat prices moved from around £100 a tonne to £200 a tonne. Hovis raised the price of a standard loaf from 93p to 99p in February and has said more increases are on the way. In France, consumers have also been warned that their beloved baguette will become more expensive.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Geneva,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:85%;"&gt;The era of cheap food is over, says Hill. World commodity prices of sugar, milk and cocoa have all surged, prompting the biggest increase in retail food prices in three decades in some countries. "Meat, too, will cost more because chicken and pigs are fed largely on grain," says Hill. "And while anyone growing grains will be better off, dairy and livestock producers may well struggle in this environment."&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Geneva,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:85%;"&gt;But the surge in demand for agrofuels such as ethanol is hitting the poor and the environment the hardest. The UN World Food Programme, which feeds about 90m people mostly with US maize, reckons that 850m people around the world are already undernourished. There will soon be more because the price of food aid has increased 20% in just a year. Meanwhile, Indian food prices have risen 11% in a year, the price of the staple tortilla quadrupled in Mexico in February and crowds of 75,000 people came on to the streets in protest. South Africa has seen food-price rises of nearly 17%, and China was forced to halt all new planting of corn for ethanol after staple foods such as pork soared by 42% last year.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Geneva,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:85%;"&gt;In the US, where nearly 40 million people are below the official poverty line, the Department of Agriculture recently predicted a 10% rise in the price of chicken. The prices of bread, beef, eggs and milk rose 7.5 % in July, the highest monthly rise in 25 years.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Geneva,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:85%;"&gt;"The competition for grain between the world's 800 million motorists, who want to maintain their mobility, and its two billion poorest people, who are simply trying to survive, is emerging as an epic issue," says Lester Brown, president of the Washington-based Worldwatch Institute thinktank, and author of the book Who Will Feed China?&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Geneva,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:85%;"&gt;It is not going to get any better, says Brown. The UN's World Food Organisation predicts that demand for biofuels will grow by 170% in the next three years. A separate report from the OECD, the club of the world's 30 richest countries, suggested food-price rises of between 20% and 50% over the next decade, and the head of Nestlé, the world's largest food processor, said prices would remain high as far as anyone could see ahead.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Geneva,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:85%;"&gt;A "perfect storm" of ecological and social factors appears to be gathering force, threatening vast numbers of people with food shortages and price rises. Even as the world's big farmers are pulling out of producing food for people and animals, the global population is rising by 87 million people a year; developing countries such as China and India are switching to meat-based diets that need more land; and climate change is starting to hit food producers hard. Recent reports in the journals Science and Nature suggest that one-third of ocean fisheries are in collapse, two-thirds will be in collapse by 2025, and all major ocean fisheries may be virtually gone by 2048. "Global grain supplies will drop to their lowest levels on record this year. Outside of wartime, they have not been this low in a century, perhaps longer," says the US Department of Agriculture.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Geneva,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:85%;"&gt;In seven of the past eight years the world has actually grown less grain than it consumed, says Brown. World stocks of grain - that is, the food held in reserve for times of emergency - are now sufficient for just over 50 days. According to experts, we are in "the post- food-surplus era".&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Geneva,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:85%;"&gt;The food crisis, Brown warns, is only just beginning. What worries him as much as the new competition between food and fuel is that the booming Chinese and Indian populations - the two largest nations in the world, with nearly 40% of the world's population between them - are giving up their traditional vegetable-rich diets to adopt typical "American" diets that contain more meat and dairy products. Meat demand in China has quadrupled in 30 years, and in India, milk and egg products are increasingly popular.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Geneva,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:85%;"&gt;In itself, this is no problem, say Brown and others, except that it means an accelerated demand for water to grow more food. It takes 7kg of grain to produce 1kg of beef, and increased demand will require huge amounts of grain-growing land. Much of this, of course, will need to be irrigated. "Water tables are now falling in countries that contain over half the world's people," Brown points out. "While numerous analysts and policymakers are concerned about a future of water shortages, few have connected the dots to see that a future of water shortages means a future of food shortages."&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Geneva,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:85%;"&gt;New figures from the World Bank, he says, show that 15% of the world's present food supplies, on which 160 million people depend, are being grown with water drawn from rapidly depleting underground sources or from rivers that are drying up. In large areas of China and India, the water table has fallen catastrophically.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Geneva,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:85%;"&gt;Scientists are becoming increasingly alarmed. Earlier this year, water specialists from hundreds of institutes around the world published the biggest ever assessment of water and food. Their conclusions were chilling. With the earth's water, land and human resources, it would be possible to produce enough food for the future, they said. "But it is probable that today's food production and environmental trends will lead to crises in many parts of the world," said David Molden, deputy director general of the International Water Management Institute.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Geneva,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:85%;"&gt;Climate change, meanwhile, is leading to more intense rains, unpredictable storms, longer-lasting droughts, and interrupted seasons. In Britain, the recent floods will result in a shortage of vegetables such as potatoes and peas, and cereals such as wheat. This comes on top of a 4.9% rise in food prices in the year to May - well over consumer price inflation - and a 9.6% hike in vegetable prices.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Geneva,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:85%;"&gt;Britain can get by, but elsewhere climate change is proving disastrous. "I met leaders from Madagascar reeling from seven cyclones in the first six months of the year," Josette Sheeran, new director of the World Food Programme, told colleagues in Rome recently. "I asked them when the season ends and was told that such questions are becoming more difficult to answer. Farmers know that predictable patterns in weather are becoming a thing of the past. How does the global food supply system deal with such changing risk?"&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Geneva,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:85%;"&gt;The answer is: with ever greater difficulty. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change predicts that rain-dependent agriculture could be cut in half by 2020 as a result of climate change. "Anything even close to a 50% reduction in yields would obviously pose huge problems," said Sheeran. Within a week, Lesotho had declared a food emergency after the worst drought in 30 years and greatly reduced harvests in neighbouring South Africa pushed prices well beyond the reach of most of the population.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Geneva,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:85%;"&gt;All this is far too gloomy, say other analysts and politicians. Earlier this year, Brazil's president, Luiz Lula, told the Guardian that there was no need for world food shortages, or any destruction of forests to grow more food at all. "Brazil has 320m hectares [3.2m sq km] of arable land, only a fifth of which is cultivated. Of this, less than 4% is used for ethanol production ... This is not a choice between food and energy."&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Geneva,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:85%;"&gt;Others say that the food price rises now being seen are temporary and will fall back within a year as the market responds. Technologists pin their faith on GM crops, or drought- resistant crops, or trust that biofuel producers will develop technologies that require less raw material or use non-edible parts of food. The immediate best bet is that countries such as Argentina, Poland, Ukraine and Kazakhstan will grow more food for export as US output declines.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Geneva,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:85%;"&gt;Back on the great plains, meanwhile, ethanol fever is running high. This time last year, there were fewer than 100 ethanol plants in the whole United States, with a combined production capacity of 5bn gallons. There are now at least 50 more new plants being built and over 300 more are planned. If even half of them are finished, they will help to rewrite the politics of global food.&lt;/span&gt;    &lt;/p&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-6331950625516882003?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/6331950625516882003/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=6331950625516882003' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/6331950625516882003'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/6331950625516882003'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2007/09/coming-food-crisis.html' title='The coming Food Crisis'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-7893402342274575781</id><published>2007-08-24T11:26:00.000-07:00</published><updated>2007-08-24T11:32:38.018-07:00</updated><title type='text'>Local Harvest</title><content type='html'>&lt;table  style="text-align: left;font-family:arial;" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="600"&gt;&lt;tbody&gt;&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td colspan="1" rowspan="1"&gt;&lt;span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size:100%;" &gt;&lt;table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="400"&gt;&lt;tbody&gt;&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td colspan="1" rowspan="1" align="left" valign="bottom"&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt; &lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;     &lt;div&gt;&lt;hr noshade="noshade"&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"&gt;LocalHarvest Newsletter&lt;/span&gt;   &lt;div&gt; &lt;span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"&gt;August 24, 2007&lt;/span&gt; &lt;/div&gt;    &lt;div&gt;&lt;hr noshade="noshade"&gt;&lt;/div&gt;        &lt;/span&gt;&lt;div style="text-align: justify;"&gt;&lt;span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size:100%;" &gt;&lt;p&gt; &lt;img src="http://www.localharvest.org/newsletter/20070824/images/hawaii-farmland.jpg" align="right" border="0" hspace="8" vspace="5" /&gt; Is it just us or is 'buy local' being promoted everywhere this summer? We couldn't be more pleased. As we continue to look for new ways to support family farmers while conserving environmental resources, we are interested in stories of how the growing interest in food sources is playing out in different communities. In this month's newsletter we look at the complex food system in &lt;span style="border-bottom: 1px dashed rgb(0, 102, 204); cursor: pointer; height: 1em;" id="lw_1187979785_0"&gt;Hawaii&lt;/span&gt;, which has been shaped by its geographical isolation and weighty political/social influences. There, a movement toward &lt;i&gt;ho'ea ea&lt;/i&gt;, or "food sovereignty" is taking root. Matt Jacobson, a longtime fan of family farms and LocalHarvest, introduces the idea in his article below.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size:100%;" &gt;    &lt;/span&gt; &lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;    &lt;tr&gt; &lt;td colspan="1" rowspan="1"&gt; &lt;span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size:100%;" &gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"&gt; Hawaiian Food Sovereignty: &lt;i&gt;Ho'ea ea&lt;/i&gt; &lt;div&gt;&lt;hr noshade="noshade"&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;/span&gt;    &lt;a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=vh4k6dcab.0.hsxn6dcab.sbjsvpbab.28095&amp;ts=S0278&amp;amp;p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.localharvest.org%2Fnewsletter%2F20070824%2Ffood-sovereignty.jsp%3Fr%3Dnl" shape="rect"&gt;&lt;img src="http://www.localharvest.org/newsletter/20070824/images/taro_field_thumb.jpg" align="left" border="0" hspace="5" vspace="5" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;       As a transplant to &lt;span style="border-bottom: 1px dashed rgb(0, 102, 204); cursor: pointer; height: 1em;" id="lw_1187979785_1"&gt;Hawaii&lt;/span&gt;, I often wonder about the origins of the food I eat in my new home state. Comprising tiny specks of land amidst the vast Pacific, &lt;span style="border-bottom: 1px dashed rgb(0, 102, 204); cursor: pointer; height: 1em;" id="lw_1187979785_2"&gt;Hawaii&lt;/span&gt; has the most isolated population in the world. Yet, we import more than two-thirds of all the food we eat. The garlic I buy at the farmers market in &lt;span style="border-bottom: 1px dashed rgb(0, 102, 204); cursor: pointer; height: 1em;" id="lw_1187979785_3"&gt;Hilo&lt;/span&gt; may have come from somewhere north of town, or, more often, somewhere north of &lt;span style="border-bottom: 1px dashed rgb(0, 102, 204); cursor: pointer; height: 1em;" id="lw_1187979785_4"&gt;Shanghai&lt;/span&gt;. Even on the Big Island, whose arable acreage dwarfs all the other islands combined, I can normally count on only getting local macadamia nuts and papayas, even at the 'farmers' market. Although watermelon and tomatoes are both raised on-island, the ones from the Mainland are far cheaper. Subsidized oil and/or cheap labor make it profitable to ship in food grown in the rich and enviably deep soils of the Mainland and &lt;span style="border-bottom: 1px dashed rgb(0, 102, 204); cursor: pointer; height: 1em;" id="lw_1187979785_5"&gt;China&lt;/span&gt;. Thus, giant container ships, their holds laden with the bounty of &lt;span style="border-bottom: 1px dashed rgb(0, 102, 204); cursor: pointer; height: 1em;" id="lw_1187979785_6"&gt;California&lt;/span&gt; and Sichuan, deliver most of the food consumed in &lt;span style="border-bottom: 1px dashed rgb(0, 102, 204); cursor: pointer; height: 1em;" id="lw_1187979785_7"&gt;Hawaii&lt;/span&gt;. Should the barges stop coming though, &lt;span style="border-bottom: 1px dashed rgb(0, 102, 204); cursor: pointer; height: 1em;" id="lw_1187979785_8"&gt;Oahu&lt;/span&gt;, home to &lt;span style="border-bottom: 1px dashed rgb(0, 102, 204); cursor: pointer; height: 1em;" id="lw_1187979785_9"&gt;Honolulu&lt;/span&gt; and 98% of the State's population, only has enough food to last three days.           &lt;p&gt;     &lt;a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=vh4k6dcab.0.isxn6dcab.sbjsvpbab.28095&amp;ts=S0278&amp;amp;p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.localharvest.org%2Fnewsletter%2F20070824%2Ffood-sovereignty.jsp%3Fr%3Dnl%23continue" shape="rect" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 255);"&gt;Read on...&lt;/a&gt;     &lt;/p&gt;  &lt;/span&gt; &lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;           &lt;tr&gt; &lt;td colspan="1" rowspan="1"&gt; &lt;span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size:100%;" &gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"&gt; From the LocalHarvest Catalog &lt;div&gt;&lt;hr noshade="noshade"&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;/span&gt;             &lt;a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=vh4k6dcab.0.jsxn6dcab.sbjsvpbab.28095&amp;ts=S0278&amp;amp;p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.localharvest.org%2Fstore%2Fitem.jsp%3Fid%3D5647%26r%3Dnl" shape="rect"&gt;&lt;img src="http://www.localharvest.org/newsletter/images/passionfruit_thumb.jpg" align="left" border="0" height="120" hspace="5" vspace="5" width="120" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;            The passion fruit season is here! We have been selling these beauties by the boxful this month. Sweet, purple yumminess. &lt;a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=vh4k6dcab.0.jsxn6dcab.sbjsvpbab.28095&amp;ts=S0278&amp;amp;p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.localharvest.org%2Fstore%2Fitem.jsp%3Fid%3D5647%26r%3Dnl"&gt;Get yours&lt;/a&gt; before they're gone for another year!              &lt;p&gt;         Does fall's impending arrival have you wanting to store up some food for winter? Now's a great time to order a big box of grassfed beef to feed your family well for months to come. We've got a &lt;a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=vh4k6dcab.0.5dca6ccab.sbjsvpbab.28095&amp;ts=S0278&amp;amp;p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.localharvest.org%2Fstore%2Fbeef.jsp%3Fr%3Dnl"&gt;great selection&lt;/a&gt; from farms all over the country.         &lt;/p&gt;              &lt;p&gt;         And please do visit our catalog for &lt;a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=vh4k6dcab.0.s5kgs9bab.sbjsvpbab.28095&amp;ts=S0278&amp;amp;p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.localharvest.org%2Fstore%2F%3Fr%3Dnl"&gt;more goodies&lt;/a&gt;!         &lt;/p&gt;           &lt;p&gt;          &lt;/p&gt;   &lt;/span&gt;     &lt;/td&gt; &lt;/tr&gt;          &lt;tr&gt;     &lt;td colspan="1" rowspan="1"&gt;  &lt;span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size:100%;" &gt;&lt;br /&gt;  &lt;span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"&gt;   Video Worth Watching   &lt;div&gt;&lt;hr noshade="noshade"&gt;&lt;/div&gt;   &lt;/span&gt;                 &lt;a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=vh4k6dcab.0.ksxn6dcab.sbjsvpbab.28095&amp;ts=S0278&amp;amp;p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.localharvest.org%2Fnewsletter%2F20070824%2Fpower-of-community.jsp%3Fr%3Dnl" shape="rect"&gt;&lt;img src="http://www.localharvest.org/newsletter/images/cornman.jpg" align="left" border="0" height="120" hspace="5" vspace="5" width="120" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;            "&lt;a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=vh4k6dcab.0.ksxn6dcab.sbjsvpbab.28095&amp;ts=S0278&amp;amp;p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.localharvest.org%2Fnewsletter%2F20070824%2Fpower-of-community.jsp%3Fr%3Dnl"&gt;The Power of Community&lt;/a&gt;" was shown at the &lt;i&gt;ho'ea ea&lt;/i&gt; conference mentioned in the article above, and after watching it ourselves we had to pass it on to you. It's a gem. The video describes how Cubans have worked together to feed themselves since being cut off from the global food supply in the early 1990s. Though the Cubans' situation is unique, we all need examples of how humans can pull together and work toward a common good when crisis strikes. (&lt;a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=vh4k6dcab.0.ksxn6dcab.sbjsvpbab.28095&amp;ts=S0278&amp;amp;p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.localharvest.org%2Fnewsletter%2F20070824%2Fpower-of-community.jsp%3Fr%3Dnl"&gt;Watch the Video...&lt;/a&gt;)           &lt;p&gt;          &lt;/p&gt;   &lt;/span&gt;     &lt;/td&gt; &lt;/tr&gt;    &lt;tr&gt;     &lt;td colspan="1" rowspan="1"&gt;  &lt;span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size:100%;" &gt;&lt;br /&gt;  &lt;span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"&gt;   Nancy's Nutrition Corner: Glorious Garlic   &lt;div&gt;&lt;hr noshade="noshade"&gt;&lt;/div&gt;   &lt;/span&gt;                 &lt;a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=vh4k6dcab.0.lsxn6dcab.sbjsvpbab.28095&amp;ts=S0278&amp;amp;p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.localharvest.org%2Fnewsletter%2F20070824%2Fgarlic.jsp" shape="rect"&gt;&lt;img src="http://www.localharvest.org/newsletter/20070824/images/garlic-jar-thumb.jpg" align="left" border="0" height="120" hspace="5" vspace="5" width="120" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;            Garlic has a long history of culinary and medicinal use and has been cultivated for over 5000 years. A member of the Allium family, garlic is rich in sulfur containing compounds. These constituents are the source of garlic's strong odor; they are also responsible for its many health enhancing properties. Garlic is also a good source of manganese, vitamin B6, vitamin C, and selenium.           &lt;p&gt;     &lt;a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=vh4k6dcab.0.msxn6dcab.sbjsvpbab.28095&amp;ts=S0278&amp;amp;p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.localharvest.org%2Fnewsletter%2F20070824%2Fgarlic.jsp%3Fr%3Dnl" shape="rect" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 255);"&gt;Read on...&lt;/a&gt;     &lt;/p&gt;   &lt;/span&gt;     &lt;/td&gt; &lt;/tr&gt;    &lt;tr&gt;     &lt;td colspan="1" rowspan="1"&gt;  &lt;span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size:100%;" &gt;&lt;br /&gt;  &lt;span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"&gt;   Recipe Corner: Garlic - By Lorna Sass   &lt;div&gt;&lt;hr noshade="noshade"&gt;&lt;/div&gt;   &lt;/span&gt;                 &lt;a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=vh4k6dcab.0.nsxn6dcab.sbjsvpbab.28095&amp;ts=S0278&amp;amp;p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.localharvest.org%2Fnewsletter%2F20070824%2Frecipes.jsp%3Fr%3Dnl" shape="rect"&gt;&lt;img src="http://www.localharvest.org/newsletter/20070824/images/garlic-on-counter.jpg" align="left" border="0" height="120" hspace="5" vspace="5" width="120" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;            I love what Alice May Brock says about garlic in Alice's Restaurant Cookbook, made infamous by Arlo Guthrie in song:              &lt;p&gt;         &lt;i&gt;"Tomatoes and oregano make it Italian; wine and tarragon make it French. Sour cream makes it Russian; lemon and cinnamon make it Greek. Soy sauce makes it Chinese; garlic makes it good." &lt;/i&gt;         &lt;/p&gt;           &lt;p&gt;     &lt;a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=vh4k6dcab.0.nsxn6dcab.sbjsvpbab.28095&amp;ts=S0278&amp;amp;p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.localharvest.org%2Fnewsletter%2F20070824%2Frecipes.jsp%3Fr%3Dnl" shape="rect" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 255);"&gt;Read on...&lt;/a&gt;     &lt;/p&gt;   &lt;/span&gt;     &lt;/td&gt; &lt;/tr&gt;    &lt;tr&gt;     &lt;td colspan="1" rowspan="1"&gt;  &lt;span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size:100%;" &gt;&lt;br /&gt;                       As always, thanks for your interest in and support of &lt;a target="_blank" href="http://localharvest.org/"&gt;&lt;span id="lw_1187979785_10"&gt;LocalHarvest.org&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/a&gt;! See you next month, and until then, take good care and eat well!           &lt;p&gt;          &lt;/p&gt;   &lt;/span&gt;     &lt;/td&gt; &lt;/tr&gt;           &lt;tr&gt;     &lt;td colspan="1" rowspan="1"&gt;  &lt;span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-size:100%;" &gt;     &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;        &lt;span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"&gt;   Contact Information   &lt;/span&gt;   &lt;div&gt;&lt;hr noshade="noshade"&gt;&lt;/div&gt;                   &lt;div&gt;         email:         &lt;a rel="nofollow" ymailto="mailto:newsletter@localharvest.org" target="_blank" href="http://us.f326.mail.yahoo.com/ym/Compose?To=newsletter@localharvest.org" shape="rect" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"&gt;newsletter@localharvest.org&lt;/a&gt;     &lt;/div&gt;                      &lt;div&gt;         web:         &lt;a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=vh4k6dcab.0.dlio8pbab.sbjsvpbab.28095&amp;ts=S0278&amp;amp;p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.localharvest.org" shape="rect" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"&gt;http://www.localharvest.org&lt;/a&gt;     &lt;/div&gt;        &lt;div&gt;&lt;hr noshade="noshade"&gt;&lt;/div&gt;     &lt;/span&gt; &lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt; &lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;&lt;div  style="text-align: left;font-family:verdana;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size:100%;"&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-7893402342274575781?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/7893402342274575781/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=7893402342274575781' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/7893402342274575781'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/7893402342274575781'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2007/08/local-harvest.html' title='Local Harvest'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-6875266325288465407</id><published>2007-08-16T09:28:00.000-07:00</published><updated>2007-08-16T09:30:15.362-07:00</updated><title type='text'>Peak Oil and EcoVillages</title><content type='html'>My Solar Village is planned to be an EcoVillage.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;this is something from the Oil Drum i read today and this lady is RIGHT ON...&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;and she MENTIONS EcoVillages...&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;cheers!&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;mel&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;div class="summary"&gt; &lt;h2 class="title"&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.theoildrum.com/node/2857"&gt;Peak Oil Booklet - Chapter 4: What Should We Do Now?&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/h2&gt; &lt;p class="submitted"&gt;Posted by &lt;span class="username"&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.theoildrum.com/user/Gail+the+Actuary" title="View user profile."&gt;Gail the Actuary&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/span&gt; on August 16, 2007 - 10:00am&lt;br /&gt;Topic: &lt;a href="http://www.theoildrum.com/topic/environment_sustainability"&gt;Environment/Sustainability&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Tags: &lt;a href="http://www.theoildrum.com/tag/food_security"&gt;food security&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.theoildrum.com/tag/gardens"&gt;gardens&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.theoildrum.com/tag/investments"&gt;investments&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.theoildrum.com/tag/tverberg_book"&gt;tverberg book&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.theoildrum.com/tag/water_security"&gt;water security&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p class="widgets"&gt; &lt;a href="http://blogsearch.google.com/blogsearch?hl=en&amp;q=link%3Awww.theoildrum.com/node/2857" title="Google trackback"&gt;&lt;img alt="Google" src="http://www.theoildrum.com/images/google.png" border="0" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a class="tr-linkcount" href="http://www.technorati.com/search/www.theoildrum.com/node/2857" title="Technorati trackback"&gt;&lt;img alt="Technorati" src="http://www.theoildrum.com/images/technorati.png" border="0" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a title="del.icio.us" href="http://del.icio.us/post?url=http://www.theoildrum.com/node/2857&amp;amp;title=Peak%20Oil%20Booklet%20-%20Chapter%204:%20What%20Should%20We%20Do%20Now?"&gt;&lt;img alt="del.icio.us" src="http://www.theoildrum.com/images/delicious.png" border="0" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a title="StumbleUpon" href="http://www.stumbleupon.com/submit?url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.theoildrum.com%2Fnode%2F2857&amp;title=Peak+Oil+Booklet+-+Chapter+4%3A+What+Should+We+Do+Now%3F"&gt;&lt;img src="http://www.theoildrum.com/images/su.gif" alt="StumbleUpon" border="0" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;div class="content"&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;i&gt;This is a draft of Chapter 4 of my proposed book. The link to previous chapters is &lt;a href="http://www.theoildrum.com/tag/tverberg_book" title="http://www.theoildrum.com/tag/tverberg_book"&gt;http://www.theoildrum.com/tag/tverberg_book&lt;/a&gt; .&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;We know that peak oil will be here soon, and we feel like we should be doing something. But what? It is frustrating to know where to start. In this chapter, we will discuss a few ideas about what we as individuals can do.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;b&gt;1. What will the first few years after peak oil be like?&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;It is hard to know for certain, but a reasonable guess is that the impact will be like a major recession or depression. Many people will be laid off from work. Gasoline is likely to be very expensive ($10 a gallon or more) and may not be available, except in limited quantities after waiting in line for a long time. Fewer goods of all types will be available in stores. Imports from third-world countries are likely to be especially unavailable, because of the impact of the oil shortage on their economies.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;/div&gt;&lt;!-- close summary --&gt; &lt;a name="more"&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;div class="more"&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Money may not have the same value as previously--opinion is divided as to whether deflation or rampant inflation will be a problem. Investments, even those previously considered safe, are likely to lose value. Things we take for granted--like bottled water, fast food restaurants, and dry cleaners--may disappear fairly quickly. Electricity may become less reliable, with more frequent outages. Airplane tickets are likely to be extremely expensive, or only available with a special permit based on need. &lt;p&gt;&lt;b&gt;2. If a scenario like this is coming, what can a person do now?&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Here are a few ideas:&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Visit family and friends now, especially those at a distance. This may be more difficult to do in the future.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Learn to  know your neighbors. It is likely that you will need each other's help more in the future.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• If you live by yourself, consider moving in with friends or relatives. In tough times, it is better to have others to rely on. It is also likely to be a lot cheaper.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Buy a bicycle that you can use as alternate transportation, if the need arises.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Start walking or jogging for exercise. Get yourself in good enough physical condition that you could walk a few miles if you needed to.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Take care of your physical health. If you need dental work or new glasses, get them. Don't put off immunizations and other preventive medicine. These may be more difficult to get, or more expensive, later.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Move to a &lt;a href="http://www.walkscore.com/get-score.shtml?street=500+7th+street%2C+arcata%2C+ca&amp;amp;go=Go" rel="nofollow"&gt;walkable neighborhood&lt;/a&gt;. If it seems likely that you will be able to keep your job, move closer to your job.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Trade in your car for one with better mileage. If you have a SUV, you can probably sell it at a better price now than in the future. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• If you have two cars powered by gasoline, consider trading one for a diesel-powered vehicle. That way, if gasoline (or diesel) is not available, you will still have one car you can drive. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Make sure that you have at least a two-week supply of food and water, if there is some sort of supply disruption. It is always good to have some extra for an emergency--the likelihood of one arising is greater now.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Keep reasonable supplies of things you may need in an emergency--good walking shoes, boots, coats, rain wear, blankets, flashlights and batteries (or wind-up flashlights).&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Take up hobbies that you will be able to continue in a low energy world, such as gardening, knitting, playing a musical instrument, bird watching, or playing cards with neighbors. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Join a local sustainability group or "permaculture" group and start learning about sustainable gardening methods.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;b&gt;3. Do I need to do more than these things?&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;It really depends on how much worse things get, and how quickly. If major services like electricity and water remain in place for many years, and if gasoline and diesel remain reasonably available, then relatively simple steps will go a a long way. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Some steps that might be helpful to add once the crunch comes include:&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Join a carpool for work, or make arrangements to work at home. If public transportation is available, use it.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Cut out unnecessary trips. Eat meals at home. Take your lunch to work. Walk or jog in your neighborhood rather than driving to the gym. Order from the internet or buy from stores you can walk to, rather than driving alone to stores. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• If you live a distance from shopping, consider forming a neighborhood carpool for grocery and other shopping. Do this for other trips as well, such as attending church. If closer alternatives are available, consider them instead.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Plant a garden in your yard. Take out existing trees, and put in fruit or nut trees. Make a compost pile, and use it in your garden. Put to use what you learned in sustainability or permaculture groups. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Meat is likely to be very expensive. Learn to prepare meals using less meat. Make casseroles like your grandmother's, making a small amount of meat go a long way. Or make soup using a little meat plus vegetables or beans. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Use hand-me-down clothing for younger children. Or have a neighborhood garage sale, and trade clothing with others near you.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;b&gt;4. Should families continue to have two, three, or four children, as they often do today?&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;With the uncertainties ahead, it would be much better if families were very small--one child, or none at all. The world's population has grown rapidly in the last 100 years. Part of the reason for growth is the fact that with oil and natural gas, it was possible to grow much more food than in the past. As we lose the use of these fossil fuels, it is likely that we will not be able to &lt;a href="http://www.amazon.com/Eating-Fossil-Fuels-Coming-Agriculture/dp/0865715653/ref=pd_bbs_sr_1/103-2191911-5834223?ie=UTF8&amp;s=books&amp;amp;qid=1187096138&amp;sr=8-1" rel="nofollow"&gt;produce as much food&lt;/a&gt; as in the past, because of reduced ability to irrigate crops, and reduced availability of fertilizers, insecticides, and herbicides. In addition, manufactured goods of all types, including clothing and toys, are likely to be less available, with declining fossil fuel supply. Having smaller families will help fit the population to the available resources.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;If couples have completed their families, it would probably be worthwhile for them to consider a permanent method of contraception, since birth control may be less available or more expensive.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;b&gt;5. Are there any reasons why steps such as those outlined in Question 3 might be too little to handle the problem?&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Besides the decline in oil production, there are a number of other areas of concern. Hopefully, most of these will never happen, or if they do happen, will not occur for several years. If they do happen, greater measures than those outlined in Question 3 are likely to be needed. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• &lt;u&gt;Collapse of the financial system&lt;/u&gt;. Our financial system needs growth to sustain it, so that loans can be paid back with interest. Once peak oil hits, growth will be gone. Economic growth may even be replaced with economic decline. It is not clear our financial system can handle this. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• &lt;u&gt;Collapse of foreign trade&lt;/u&gt;. Many factors may come into play: The cost of transportation will be higher. Airline transport may not be available at all. Fewer goods are likely to be produced by third world countries, because of power outages related to high oil prices. Rapid inflation/deflation may make monetary transactions more difficult. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• &lt;u&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.aip.org/history/climate/rapid.htm" rel="nofollow"&gt;Rapid climate change&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/u&gt;. Recently, scientists have discovered that climate change can take place over a very short period of time--as little as a decade or two. Temperature and precipitation changes may cause crop failures, and may make some areas no longer arable. Sea levels may also rise.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• &lt;u&gt;Failure of the electrical grid&lt;/u&gt;. The grid tends to be vulnerable to many kinds of problems--including deterioration due to poor maintenance, damage during storms, and attacks in times of civil unrest. Maintenance is currently very poor (grade of D) according to the "&lt;a href="http://www.asce.org/reportcard/2005/page.cfm?id=92" rel="nofollow"&gt;Report Card on America's Infrastructure&lt;/a&gt;" by the American Society of Civil Engineers. If we cannot maintain the grid, and upgrade it for the new wind and solar capacity being added, we will all be in the dark. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• &lt;u&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.earth-policy.org/" rel="nofollow"&gt;Water shortages&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/u&gt;. There are several issues--We are drawing down some aquifers at unsustainable rates, and these may be depleted. Climate change may reduce the amount of water available, by melting ice caps and changing storm patterns. City water and sewer systems require considerable energy inputs to continue functioning. If these are not provided, the systems will stop. Finally, systems must also be adequately maintained--something that &lt;a href="http://www.asce.org/reportcard/2005/page.cfm?id=92" rel="nofollow"&gt;is neglected&lt;/a&gt; currently. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• &lt;u&gt;Road deterioration&lt;/u&gt;. If we don't have roads, it doesn't matter whether we have cars. In the future, asphalt (a petroleum product) is expected to become more and more expensive and less available. It is not clear whether recycling asphalt from lesser-used roads will overcome this difficulty.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• &lt;u&gt;Decline in North American natural gas production&lt;/u&gt;. Natural gas is especially used for home heating, making plastics and making fertilizer. It is also used in electrical generation, particularly for extra load capacity when demand is high. Conventional natural gas &lt;a href="http://downloads.connectlive.com/events/npc071807/pdf-downloads/Facing_Hard_Truths-Report.pdf" rel="nofollow"&gt;is declining&lt;/a&gt;, and it is not clear that supply from other sources can make up the gap.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• &lt;u&gt;Inadequate mineral supplies&lt;/u&gt;. A number of minerals are becoming less avaialble, including &lt;a href="http://www.sciam.com/article.cfm?articleID=000CEA15-3272-13C8-9BFE83414B7FFE87" rel="nofollow"&gt;copper&lt;/a&gt; (used in electric wiring), &lt;a href="http://www.theminingnews.org/news.cfm?newsID=800" rel="nofollow"&gt;platinum&lt;/a&gt; (used in catalytic converters),&lt;a href="http://www.energybulletin.net/33164.html" rel="nofollow"&gt;phosphorous&lt;/a&gt; (used in fertilizer).&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• &lt;u&gt;Fighting over available supplies&lt;/u&gt;. This could happen at any level. Individuals with inadequate food or gasoline may begin using violence. Or there may be fighting among groups within a nation, or between nations.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;b&gt;6. Are there any reasons for optimism?&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Yes. We know that people throughout the ages have gotten along successfully with far fewer resources than we have now, and with much less foreign trade. Financial systems have gotten into trouble in the past, and eventually new systems have replaced them. If nothing else, barter works.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;We know that among the countries of the world, the United States, Canada, and Russia have reasonably good resource endowments in relation to their populations. They have fairly large amounts of land for crops, moderate rainfall, reasonable amounts of fossil fuels remaining, and populations that are not excessively large. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;We also know that Cuba successfully made a transition from high oil usage to much lower oil usage, through the development of local gardens, increased public transit, and bicycles. A &lt;a href="http://www.powerofcommunity.org/cm/index.php?option=com_content&amp;amp;task=view&amp;id=35&amp;amp;Itemid=49" rel="nofollow"&gt;movie&lt;/a&gt; has been made about the Cuban experience.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;b&gt;7. What should we do, if we want to do more than described in Question 3?&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Some web sites (such as &lt;a href="http://www.lifeaftertheoilcrash.net/" rel="nofollow"&gt;Life After the Oil Crash &lt;/a&gt;and &lt;a href="http://wtdwtshtf.com/" rel="nofollow"&gt;wtdwtshtf.com&lt;/a&gt;) advocate moving to a farming area, buying land and hand tools, and learning to farm without fossil fuels. Typically, an individual purchases an existing farmhouse and adds solar panels or a windmill. The web sites generally recommend storing up large supplies of food, clothing, medicine, tools, guns, and ammunition, and learning a wide range of skills. These sites also suggest storing some things (liquor, razor blades, aspirin, etc.) for purposes of barter.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;This approach may work for a few people, but it has its drawbacks. Making such a big move is likely to be expensive, and will most likely involve leaving one's job. The individual will be alone, so security may be a problem. The individual may be dependent on his or her own resources for most things, especially if the farm is in a remote location. If the weather is bad, crops may fail. Living on the edge of a small town may prevent some problems, but such a move would still be a major undertaking. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;b&gt; 8. How about &lt;a href="http://gen.ecovillage.org/" rel="nofollow"&gt;Ecovillages&lt;/a&gt;? What are they?&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;These are communities dedicated to the idea of sustainable living. These communities were set up in response to many issues facing the world, including global warming, resource depletion, and lifestyles that are not fulfilling. They were generally not formed with peak oil mind. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Each ecovillage is different. Organizers often buy a large plot of land and lay out a plan for it. Individuals buy into the organization. Homes may be made from sustainable materials, such as bales of hay. Gardening is generally done using "permaculture"- a sustainable organic approach. Individuals may have assigned roles in the community. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;The few ecovillages I investigated did not seem to truly be sustainable--they bought much of their food and clothing from outside, and made money by selling tours of their facilities. The ecovilliage approach could theoretically be expanded to provide self-sustaining post-peak oil communities, but would require some work. Some adventuresome readers may want to try this approach. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;b&gt; 9. Is there a middle ground? What should be people be doing now, if they want to do more than outlined in Questions 2 and 3, but aren't ready to immerse themselves in a new lifestyle?&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;As a middle ground, people need to start thinking seriously about how to maintain their own food and water security, and start taking steps in that direction. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;u&gt; Food security&lt;/u&gt;. We certainly hope our current system of agriculture will continue without interruption, but there is no guarantee of this. Our current method is very productive, but uses huge amounts of energy. If we can keep our current system going, its productivity would likely be higher than that of a large number of individual gardens. The concern is that eventually the current system may break down due to reduced oil supply and need to be supplemented. Vulnerabilities include:&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Making hybrid seed, and transporting it to farmers&lt;br /&gt;• Getting diesel fuel to the farmers who need it&lt;br /&gt;• Transporting food to processing centers by truck&lt;br /&gt;• Creating processed food in energy-intensive factories&lt;br /&gt;• Making boxes and other containers for food&lt;br /&gt;• Transporting processed food to market&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;If diesel fuel is allocated by high price alone, farmers may not be able to afford fuel, and may drop out. Or truck drivers may not be able to get what they need.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;It is in our best interest to have a back-up plan. The one most often suggested is growing gardens in our yards--even front yards. Another choice is encouraging &lt;a href="http://www.localharvest.org/about.jsp" rel="nofollow"&gt;local farms&lt;/a&gt;, so that transportation is less of an issue. It takes several years to get everything working well (new skills learned, fruit trees to reach maturity), so we need to start early. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;One type of crop that is particularly important is grain, since grain provides a lot of calories and stores well. In some parts of the country, potatoes might be a good substitute. It would be good if people started planting grain in gardens in their yards. There is a lot to learn in order to do this, including learning which grains grow well, how much moisture and nutrients the grains need, and how to process them. If the grain that grows well is unfamiliar, like &lt;a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amaranth" rel="nofollow"&gt;amaranth&lt;/a&gt;, there is also a need to learn how to use it in cooking.   &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Individuals (or local farms) should also begin growing other foods that grow well in their areas, including fruits and nuts, greens of various types, and other more traditional garden crops. For all types of gardening, non-hybrids seeds (sometimes called &lt;a href="http://www.heirloomseeds.com/" rel="nofollow"&gt;heirloom seeds&lt;/a&gt;) are probably best for several reasons:&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• It makes storing seeds after harvest possible, and reduces dependence on hybrid seeds.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• There is less uniformity, so the harvest is spread over a longer period.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• The reduced uniformity also helps prevent crop failure in years with drought or excessive rain. Some seeds will not grow, but others will. (Hybrids are all or nothing.)&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Imported foods are likely to shrink in supply more quickly than other foods. If you live in a country that is dependent on imported foods, you may want to consider moving elsewhere.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;u&gt;Water Security&lt;/u&gt;. Here, the largest issue is whether there is likely to be sufficient supply in your area. Another issue is whether there will be sufficient water for your garden, at appropriate times. A third issue is whether there will be disruptions in general, because of poor maintenance or because the process of treating fresh water (and sewage) is energy-intensive.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;With respect to sufficient water in your area, if it looks like there is a problem (desert Southwest, for example), relocating now rather than later is probably a good idea. Transporting water is energy intensive, and new efforts at developing energy (like shale oil or more ethanol) are likely to make the water supply situation even worse.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;With respect to water for gardening, consider a &lt;a href="http://www.arcsa-usa.org/" rel="nofollow"&gt;rainwater catchment system&lt;/a&gt; for your roof. Runoff water is saved in barrels, and can be used for irrigation in dry periods.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;General disruptions of water supply are more difficult. Keep some bottled water on hand. You may also want to consider a tank for greater storage supply. Rainwater catchment can be used for drinking water, with the correct type of roofing (not asphalt shingles!) and proper treatment, but this is not generally legal in the United States.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;b&gt;10. What kind of investments should I be making?&lt;/b&gt;      &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;A person's first priority should be buying at least a little protection for a rainy day - some extra food and water, comfortable clothing, blankets and flashlights. I suggested two weeks worth in Question 2. If you have money and space, you may want to buy more.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Paying down debt is probably a good idea, if only for the peace of mind it brings. There are some possible scenarios where debt is not a problem (hyper-inflation but you keep your existing job and get a raise). In many other scenarios (deflation; job lay-offs; rising food and energy prices) debt is likely to be even harder to pay off than it is now. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Land for a garden is probably a good investment, as well as garden tools. You will want to invest in gardening equipment, some books on permaculture, and perhaps some heirloom seeds. You may also want to consider a &lt;a href="http://www.arcsa-usa.org/" rel="nofollow"&gt;rainwater catchment system&lt;/a&gt;, to collect water from your roof. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;You may also want to invest in solar panels for your home. If you want round-the-clock solar energy, you will also need back-up batteries. Buying these is questionable--they tend to be very expensive, require lots of maintenance, and need to be replaced often. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;There is a possibility that the financial system will run into difficulty in the not-too-distant future. Some ideas for investments that may protect against this are&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• &lt;a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treasury_security" rel="nofollow"&gt;Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS)&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;• Bank accounts protected by the FDIC&lt;br /&gt;• Gold coins&lt;br /&gt;• Silver coins&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;If you want to invest in the stock market, we know that there will be more and more drilling done for oil and gas done in the next few years, so companies making drilling equipment are likely to do well. Small independent oil and gas companies may also do well, doing "work-over" business. We know that there are likely to be shortages in some metals in the years ahead (copper, platinum, uranium), so shares in companies mining these types of metals may do well. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Investments in biofuels should be considered with caution. Most ethanol from corn appears to be heavily dependent on subsidies. If it should ever have to compete with other fuels on a level playing ground, it is likely to do poorly. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;I would be cautious about buying insurance policies, except for short-term needs such as automobile coverage, homeowners coverage, and term life insurance. If we encounter a period of significant deflation, insurance companies are likely to fail, because bondholders cannot pay their debt. If we run into a period of rapid inflation, the life insurance or long term care coverage you buy may have very little real value when you come to use it. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;b&gt;11. Should I move to a different location?&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;There are many reasons you might want to consider moving to a different location:&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• To find something less expensive. If times are going to be difficult, you do not want to be paying most of your income on a mortgage or rent.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• To be closer to friends or family, in the difficult times ahead.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• To share a house or apartment with friends or family.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• To be closer to work or public transportation.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• To be closer to a type of employment that you believe will have a better chance of continuing in the future.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• To have better fresh water supplies. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• To join a community with similar interests in sustainability.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• To leave a community that you feel may be prone to violence, in time of shortage.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;b&gt;12. We hear a lot about various things we can do to be "green", like buying fluorescent light bulbs. Do these save oil?&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Most of the "green" ideas you read about save energy of some kind, but not necessarily oil. Even so, they are still a good idea. If there is a shortage of one type of energy, it tends to affect other types of energy as well. Doing “green” things is also helpful from a global warming perspective.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Here are some green ideas besides using fluorescent light bulbs:&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Move to a smaller house or apartment.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Insulate your house, and have it &lt;a href="http://www.southface.org/" rel="nofollow"&gt;professionally sealed&lt;/a&gt; to keep out drafts.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• If any rooms are unused, do not heat and cool them.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Keep your house warmer in summer, and cooler in winter.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• If you no longer need a big refrigerator, buy a smaller one. Be sure it is an &lt;a href="http://www.energystar.gov/" rel="nofollow"&gt;"Energy Star"&lt;/a&gt; refrigerator.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• If you have more than one refrigerator, get rid of the extra(s). Refrigerators are a big source of energy use. For parties, use ice in a tub.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Separate freezers are also big energy users. Consider doing without.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Eat less meat. Also avoid highly processed foods and bottled water. All of these require large amounts of energy for production.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Get power strips and turn off appliances that drain energy when not in use.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Turn off lights that are not needed.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Rewire lights into smaller "banks", so you do not need to light up the whole basement when all you want is light in a small corner.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Get a clothes line, so you do not need to use your clothes dryer.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• When cooking, use the microwave whenever possible.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Reduce air travel to a minimum. Air travel results in a &lt;i&gt;huge&lt;/i&gt; number of miles of travel with corresponding fuel use.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Recycle whenever you can.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Eliminate disposables as much as possible (coffee cups, napkins, plastic bags, etc.)&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;b&gt;13. Should we be talking to our local government officials about these problems?&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Yes! At the local level, there are many changes that would be helpful:&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Laws permitting people to put up clothes lines in their yards.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Laws encouraging gardens to be grown, even in the front yards of homes.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Laws permitting multiple occupancy of houses by unrelated individuals.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• New local public transportation plans, particularly ones that do not require large outlay of funds. For example, a plan that is more like a glorified car pool might work.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;• Allocation of funds to study the best crops to be grown in the area, and the best cultivation methods, if energy supplies are much lower in the future.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;It would also be helpful to make changes at higher levels of government, but these are beyond the scope of the discussion in this chapter. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;b&gt;14. What other resources might we look at to get ideas about what is ahead what we might do now?&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.communitysolution.org/index.html" rel="nofollow"&gt;The Community Solution&lt;/a&gt; is an organization that puts on an annual &lt;a href="http://www.communitysolution.org/conference.html" rel="nofollow"&gt;sustainability conference&lt;/a&gt; and issues&lt;a href="http://www.communitysolution.org/nsreports.html" rel="nofollow"&gt; reports&lt;/a&gt; on energy-related solutions.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Global Public Media has a number of talks on &lt;a href="http://globalpublicmedia.com/topics/relocalization" rel="nofollow"&gt;relocalization&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;a href="http://energybulletin.net/23259.html" rel="nofollow"&gt;Closing the Collapse Gap&lt;/a&gt; is a humorous talk by Dmitry Orlov. The Soviet Union collapsed in 1990, and its oil production dropped about that time. Dmitry compares the US situation to that of the USSR.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Rolling Stone has a short &lt;a href="http://www.rollingstone.com/news/story/7203633/the_long_emergency" rel="nofollow"&gt;summary &lt;/a&gt; of The Long Emergency, a book by James Howard Kunstler.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;b&gt;Links by Question:&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Q2: Calculate a "walk score" for any neighborhood - Learn about walkable neighborhoods&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.walkscore.com/get-score.shtml?street=500+7th+street%2C+arcata%2C+ca&amp;go=Go" title="http://www.walkscore.com/get-score.shtml?street=500+7th+street%2C+arcata%2C+ca&amp;amp;go=Go"&gt;http://www.walkscore.com/get-score.shtml?street=500+7th+street%2C+arcata...&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Q4: Eating Fossil Fuels: Oil, Food, and the Coming Crisis in Agriculture by David Allen Pfeiffer, New Society Publishers, 2006&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.amazon.com/Eating-Fossil-Fuels-Coming-Agriculture/dp/0865715653/ref=pd_bbs_sr_1/103-2191911-5834223?ie=UTF8&amp;s=books&amp;amp;qid=1187096138&amp;sr=8-1" title="http://www.amazon.com/Eating-Fossil-Fuels-Coming-Agriculture/dp/0865715653/ref=pd_bbs_sr_1/103-2191911-5834223?ie=UTF8&amp;amp;s=books&amp;qid=1187096138&amp;amp;sr=8-1"&gt;http://www.amazon.com/Eating-Fossil-Fuels-Coming-Agriculture/dp/08657156...&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Q5-1: Rapid Climate Change, American Institute of Physics&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.aip.org/history/climate/rapid.htm" title="http://www.aip.org/history/climate/rapid.htm"&gt;http://www.aip.org/history/climate/rapid.htm&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Q5-2: Report Card for America's Infrastructure by American Society of Civil Engineers&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.asce.org/reportcard/2005/page.cfm?id=92" title="http://www.asce.org/reportcard/2005/page.cfm?id=92"&gt;http://www.asce.org/reportcard/2005/page.cfm?id=92&lt;/a&gt; &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Q5-3: Earth Policy Institute, Lester Brown President&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.earth-policy.org/" title="http://www.earth-policy.org/"&gt;http://www.earth-policy.org/&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Q5-4: Report Card for America's Infrastructure by American Society of Civil Engineers&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.asce.org/reportcard/2005/page.cfm?id=92" title="http://www.asce.org/reportcard/2005/page.cfm?id=92"&gt;http://www.asce.org/reportcard/2005/page.cfm?id=92&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Q5-5: National Petroleum Council - Hard Truths about America's Energy Supply, 2007&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://downloads.connectlive.com/events/npc071807/pdf-downloads/Facing_Hard_Truths-Report.pdf" title="http://downloads.connectlive.com/events/npc071807/pdf-downloads/Facing_Hard_Truths-Report.pdf"&gt;http://downloads.connectlive.com/events/npc071807/pdf-downloads/Facing_H...&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Q5-6: Measure of Metal Supply Finds Future Shortage, David Biello, Scientific American, January 17, 2006.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.sciam.com/article.cfm?articleID=000CEA15-3272-13C8-9BFE83414B7FFE87" title="http://www.sciam.com/article.cfm?articleID=000CEA15-3272-13C8-9BFE83414B7FFE87"&gt;http://www.sciam.com/article.cfm?articleID=000CEA15-3272-13C8-9BFE83414B...&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Q5-7: Carmakers Gear Up for the Next Shortage-Platinum, The Mining News, July 6, 2005&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.theminingnews.org/news.cfm?newsID=800" title="http://www.theminingnews.org/news.cfm?newsID=800"&gt;http://www.theminingnews.org/news.cfm?newsID=800&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Q5-8: Peak Phosphorus by Patrick Dery and Bart Anderson, August 13, 2007&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.energybulletin.net/33164.html" title="http://www.energybulletin.net/33164.html"&gt;http://www.energybulletin.net/33164.html&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Q6: The Power Community: How Cuba Survived Peak Oil, Movie Directed by Faith Morgan, The Community Solution&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Q7-1: Life After the Oil Crash&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.lifeaftertheoilcrash.net/" title="http://www.lifeaftertheoilcrash.net/"&gt;http://www.lifeaftertheoilcrash.net/&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Q7-2: What to Do When the Shit Hits the Fan&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://wtdwtshtf.com/" title="http://wtdwtshtf.com/"&gt;http://wtdwtshtf.com/&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Q8: Global Ecovillage Network&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://gen.ecovillage.org/" title="http://gen.ecovillage.org/"&gt;http://gen.ecovillage.org/&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Q9-1: Local Harvest directory of local food sources&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.localharvest.org/about.jsp" title="http://www.localharvest.org/about.jsp"&gt;http://www.localharvest.org/about.jsp&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Q9-2: Amaranth, Wikipedia&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amaranth" title="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amaranth"&gt;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amaranth&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Q9-3: Heirloom Seeds&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.heirloomseeds.com/" title="http://www.heirloomseeds.com/"&gt;http://www.heirloomseeds.com/&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Q9-4: American Rainwater Catchment Systems Association&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.arcsa-usa.org/" title="http://www.arcsa-usa.org/"&gt;http://www.arcsa-usa.org/&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Q10-1: American Rainwater Catchment Systems Association&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.arcsa-usa.org/" title="http://www.arcsa-usa.org/"&gt;http://www.arcsa-usa.org/&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Q10-2: Treasury Securities, Wikipedia&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treasury_security" title="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treasury_security"&gt;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treasury_security&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Q12-1: Southface: Responsible Solutions for Environmental Living&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.southface.org/" title="http://www.southface.org/"&gt;http://www.southface.org/&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Q12-2: Energy Star by US Environmental Protection Agency and US Department of Energy&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.energystar.gov/" title="http://www.energystar.gov/"&gt;http://www.energystar.gov/&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Q14-1: The Community Solution Home Page&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.communitysolution.org/index.html" title="http://www.communitysolution.org/index.html"&gt;http://www.communitysolution.org/index.html&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Q14-2: The Community Solution Conference, October 26-28, 2007 Yellow Springs, Ohio&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.communitysolution.org/conference.html" title="http://www.communitysolution.org/conference.html"&gt;http://www.communitysolution.org/conference.html&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Q14-3: The Community Solution Reports&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.communitysolution.org/nsreports.html" title="http://www.communitysolution.org/nsreports.html"&gt;http://www.communitysolution.org/nsreports.html&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Q14-4: Closing the Collapse Gap: The Soviet Union Was Better Prepared for Collapse than the US, by Dmitry Orlov, December 4, 2006&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://energybulletin.net/23259.html" title="http://energybulletin.net/23259.html"&gt;http://energybulletin.net/23259.html&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Q14-5: Summary of The Long Emergency by James Howard Kunstler, March 24, 2005&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.rollingstone.com/news/story/7203633/the_long_emergency" title="http://www.rollingstone.com/news/story/7203633/the_long_emergency"&gt;http://www.rollingstone.com/news/story/7203633/the_long_emergency&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;b&gt;PDF&lt;/b&gt; This is a link to a &lt;a href="http://www.theoildrum.com/files/What%20Should%20We%20Do%20Now%20%28Chap%204%29.pdf" rel="nofollow"&gt;PDF&lt;/a&gt; of this chapter.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-6875266325288465407?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/6875266325288465407/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=6875266325288465407' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/6875266325288465407'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/6875266325288465407'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2007/08/peak-oil-and-ecovillages.html' title='Peak Oil and EcoVillages'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-4386623941554324500</id><published>2007-08-08T12:17:00.000-07:00</published><updated>2007-08-08T12:23:44.989-07:00</updated><category scheme='http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#' term='Folding Containers'/><title type='text'>Re-usable folding cloths and bags...</title><content type='html'>We all should be looking at reusable ideas for food transport, as the packaginig industry is Killing the Environment.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.env.go.jp/en/focus/attach/060403-5.gif"&gt;&lt;img style="FLOAT: left; MARGIN: 0px 10px 10px 0px; WIDTH: 430px; CURSOR: hand; HEIGHT: 548px" height="320" alt="" src="http://www.env.go.jp/en/focus/attach/060403-5.gif" border="0" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;This comes from the ministry in japan...&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;strong&gt;VERY GOOD IDEA&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.env.go.jp/en/focus/attach/060403-5.html"&gt;http://www.env.go.jp/en/focus/attach/060403-5.html&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-4386623941554324500?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/4386623941554324500/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=4386623941554324500' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/4386623941554324500'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/4386623941554324500'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2007/08/re-usable-folding-cloths-and-bags.html' title='Re-usable folding cloths and bags...'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-223677907121119004</id><published>2007-07-13T08:08:00.000-07:00</published><updated>2007-07-13T08:09:13.041-07:00</updated><title type='text'>FIC</title><content type='html'>&lt;strong&gt;&lt;div align="left"&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Intentional Community is an inclusive term for ecovillages, cohousing, residential land trusts, communes, student co-ops, urban housing cooperatives, and other projects where people strive together with a common vision.&lt;br /&gt;This web site serves the growing communities' movement, providing resources for finding a community home and creating more community in your life.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align="left"&gt;This website courtesy of the &lt;a href="http://fic.ic.org/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow"&gt;Fellowship for Intentional Community&lt;/a&gt;. &lt;a href="http://store.ic.org/membership/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow"&gt;Join the FIC&lt;/a&gt; today to support the Communities' movement!&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align="left"&gt;News: &lt;a href="http://store.ic.org/directory/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow"&gt;New Edition of the Communities Directory&lt;/a&gt; The 2007 edition of our Communities Directory is at the printer and should be available in late July. This new edition contains listings from over 900 communities in North America and over 325 more worldwide. Plus, for the first time we are including maps of communities worldwide in addition to our North American maps. &lt;a href="http://store.ic.org/directory/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow"&gt;You can preorder it now on our online store&lt;/a&gt;. &lt;a href="http://store.ic.org/catalog/product_info.php?products_id=359" target="_blank" rel="nofollow"&gt;New book on finding community by Diana Leafe Christian &lt;/a&gt;Diana's second book, &lt;a href="http://store.ic.org/catalog/product_info.php?products_id=359" target="_blank" rel="nofollow"&gt;Finding Community: How to Join an Ecovillage or Intentional Community&lt;/a&gt;--about how to research communities thoroughly, visit enjoyably, evaluate intelligently, and join gracefully-- is fresh off the press and available now from the &lt;a href="http://store.ic.org/catalog/product_info.php?products_id=359" target="_blank" rel="nofollow"&gt;FIC Community Bookshelf&lt;/a&gt;. &lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align="left"&gt; &lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align="left"&gt;&lt;a href="http://wiki.ic.org/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow"&gt;ICWiki&lt;/a&gt; - New Intentional Communities Wiki at &lt;a href="http://wiki.ic.org/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow"&gt;wiki.ic.org&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align="left"&gt; &lt;/div&gt;&lt;div align="left"&gt;We are proud to present the newest and most collaborative part of our site the &lt;a href="http://wiki.ic.org/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow"&gt;Intentional Communities Wiki&lt;/a&gt; (ICWiki). Wikis are user-created web sites; written and edited by their online community of users - &lt;a href="http://wikipedia.org/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow"&gt;Wikipedia&lt;/a&gt; is the best known example. Browse the ICWiki for information related to Intentional Communities and consider helping out by adding or editing content if you have information or resources to share. New feature on the &lt;a href="http://directory.ic.org/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow"&gt;Online Communities Directory&lt;/a&gt; - Reader CommentsWe now provide a feature for readers of our &lt;a href="http://directory.ic.org/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow"&gt;Online Communities Directory&lt;/a&gt; can make comments on communities they have visited or have direct contact with. Look at the bottom of each listing for a place to add your comments or to see what other readers have to say.&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-223677907121119004?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/223677907121119004/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=223677907121119004' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/223677907121119004'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/223677907121119004'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2007/07/fic.html' title='FIC'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-1149919598359782866</id><published>2007-07-09T16:48:00.000-07:00</published><updated>2007-07-09T16:52:13.759-07:00</updated><title type='text'></title><content type='html'>Live Earth Concerts came and went...&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;We hosted a Live Earth house party, and had quite a few strangers show up. As a social experiment, I invited no one I know, and still had an interesting party.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Many were political and social activists, and lot of them Al Gore fans, as I myself am....&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;for many reasons... besides the internet...&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;YOU should make a pledge to the live earth campaign.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.liveearthpledge.org/"&gt;http://www.liveearthpledge.org/&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;say yes and follow through...&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;and PLEASE go by 500 watts of solar panels...&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;yoou be glad someday.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;REALLY glad.&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-1149919598359782866?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/1149919598359782866/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=1149919598359782866' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/1149919598359782866'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/1149919598359782866'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2007/07/live-earth-concerts-came-and-went.html' title=''/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-1585461956008690177</id><published>2007-06-07T11:03:00.000-07:00</published><updated>2007-06-07T11:06:22.293-07:00</updated><title type='text'>Solar Information</title><content type='html'>&lt;strong&gt;YOU SHOULD READ THIS&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;There's been some interesting discussion since the revision of the Olduvai Hypothesis about gridcrash and blackouts as a likely indicator of infrastructure crisis. Personally, I don't really have a strong opinion about whether the grid as a single entity will live or die.I do think that there are some compelling reasons to worry about the ability of the existing grid to satisfy the needs of a society that, because of oil and gas depletion and carbon reduction, is moving more and more of its energy burden to electricity.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;That is, many of the proposals to clean up carbon involve changing the source of energy away from oil to either nuclear energy or coal plants with scrubbers and sequestration (I will have more to say about the problems of carbon sequestration from coal plants in another post - I am less sanguine than many people that we can actually do this).In many proposals we would begin powering our transportation with electric cars, buses and trains, replacing the heat we generate in our homes, schools, offices, etc... with oil and natural gas with electric heat, etc... While I have my doubts about whether we will ever do all of these things, if we did, it would certainly place enormous pressure on the grid, and require enormous investments in infrastructure. It is no big deal to recharge a few thousand electric cars - if everyone had one, this would be something of an issue.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;But regardless, I think it is also possible that we could accomplish this, or that we could fail to convert our infrastructure quickly enough (this is an enormous economic undertaking) thus not overburdening the grid. I officially take no strong position here.But what I do have a strong opinion on (you knew there had to be something ;-), is this: I think most of us ought to be preparing for a life without electricity, regardless of whether we believe that peak oil may cause disruptions in the electrical grid.I believe this for purely practical reasons. Peak oil, for most of us, will be less about geopolitics and large scale infrastructure crisis than it will be about what I call (riffing on Freud) ordinary human poverty. That is, we're going to be poorer, many of us much, much poorer.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Even economists who dismiss peak oil acknowledge that significant oil shocks of any kind - caused either by depletion or by political crisis, would cause a major economic crisis. The things that many of us (by no means all) have been able to be certain of - a certain kind of stability and comfort, are going to go away. The economic problems created by oil and gas depletion are likely to create a serious, and deep economic crisis, much more serious than anything we've seen in my lifetime.During the last depression, 29% of American schoolchildren suffered some form of malnutrition.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Herbert Hoover famously said, "at least no one has starved" only to be caught out as cases of starvation appeared around the nation and mothers in cities rioted because they had nothing for their children to eat. The classic image of stockbrokers selling apples on the street and bread lines going around the block doesn't even quite convey how desperately poor many people were. It is not unlikely this view of our past is part of our future.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;One of the useful things about having been crazily poor for some years during college and graduate school (living illegally in school buildings, apartments with no hot water, eviction notices, no phone, no power, etc...), which is not something I generally remember with fondness, is that it gives me some experience with what living poor is like.And one of the things it is like is never being able to pay all your bills. So you play bill roulette. You pay the one with the most urgent exclamation points and potent threats first, and then you pay the next one. And you can go on like this for some time. But it is very hard to maintain when you don't have enough money to meet your basic expenses. And eventually, you get caught out - the check bounces, the next payment doesn't arrive in time, you have an unexpected crisis, or the bill collectors threaten you into paying out of order, and something happens.This isn't just my experience - in the years I volunteered with various poverty abatement programs, I saw thousands of people in the same situation. And when you let one of the balls fall, the next step is to set you back even further. Because getting your vehicle back from the impound, or your phone turned back on, or contesting your eviction, or whatever is expensive. Those things cost money you don't have, and you end up further behind.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Peak oil will hit most of us where it hurts - in our jobs, our pocketbooks, in the homes where we won't be able to make the rent or mortgage payment, in our health because we'll no longer be able to afford routine care, in our choices - instead of "vacation fund or 401K, we'll be wondering "shoes or groceries." Add in that we can expect the price of electricity to rise - carbon sequestration is expensive, nuclear power is expensive initially and dealing with its wastes is very expensive, much of the easily accessible, cheap coal is gone, investment in renewables is not cheap either - we can expect the price of our electricity to rise steadily.So whether or not we ever have rolling blackouts again or grid failure, lots of us will be having our power turned off. And since electricity for the most part runs luxury items (although we are not accustomed to thinking of them as luxuries) like refrigeration and lights, if it comes down to hard choices like "food or electric," "lights or medicine" we should all recognize that electricity is not essential to (most) human life, and prepare to function well and comfortably without it.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Now private renewable energy (and I do not mean pyramid scams, such as Citizens RE) is an option for some people. But the systems are expensive and somewhat complicated, and in the northern part of the country, we can expect periods where there isn't enough sun to run our solar systems. I am not trying to discourage anyone who can afford it from investing in renewable energy systems, in fact, quite the contrary. But the process of adapting our homes to operate on less is a large and expensive one. In a nation with a negative total savings rate, enormous quantites of mortgage and credit card debt, and a shaky currency, a lot of us, probably a majority, aren't going to be able to go solar, and probably shouldn't, because it really doesn't return the most bang for our bucks.If you have $2000 to spend, you could choose between several things. For that money, you could add significant insulation to your leaky house, make or purchase insulating curtains for all windows, and buy four solar lanterns, a couple of battery powered lanterns, a solar battery charger and some rechargeable batteries. The rechargeable batteries and the lanterns would provide you with light and music for your existing CD player, and the insulation and curtains would provide a lifetime reduction in your heating and cooling needs. Or, for that same $2000, you could get a battery backup solar system that sat on your roof, and run four lights and a CD player.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;I know which one I would choose.For those who are way ahead of the game, and already have their insulation and everything else they need, great, and if you have tens of thousands of dollars to spend on your house, you don't need my advice as to how to use it. But for the rest of us, solar panels on your roof or a wind generator in your yard is probably not the best use of your money (if you have the right spot for microhydro, you might have a better deal, and I'm envious). Because if you triage your life, and think about what is most important, it will be making sure you can live as comfortably as possible and as securely as possible, while, in hard times, needing to buy as few things as possible.In addition, solar systems generally cannot heat houses, run conventional refrigerators (the kind they can run are usually well above $1000, and the cost of the system to run them is quite significant as well), run toasters, electric stoves or, except with the largest systems, air conditioning. So if you live beyond the gas lines, or, say have some reason to believe that natural gas might rise in price and drop in availability, you will still have many needs unmet, after you've invested thousands and thousands of dollars in your private RE system. T&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;hat is, you'd have to buy the solar panels, and still buy the woodstove, the insulation, etc...If you are like us, that's just out the question economically. We can't afford to preserve electricity at all costs when there are so many more urgent needs, and both household wind and household solar are not totally reliable where I live. We'd have to have non-electric backups for the times when the skies were cloudy or the wind wasn't blowing - or we'd need a generator, which is also pricey, depends on outside gas and produces a lot of carbon. We cannot afford to do both, and I think that's true of many or most people. There's also the issue of mobility - like it or not, in economic hard times some of us will lose our houses, or having family combine housing with them. It is not very hard to pick up your solar crank radio, or to pack your hand-washing machine. It is something of a bigger project to get the solar panels unwired from your house and moved.For those of us who need the most bang for our buck, we need to prioritize.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Electricity is nice - I'm very fond of it. But most of us should have homes that function well without it, just in case. And non-electric, human powered solutions, and stand-alone renewables (that is, things like solar calculators, solar battery chargers, solar radios, etc... that are cheap, last a long time and can serve many of the functions we normally rely on wall plugs for), are overwhelmingly more reliable, cheaper and more secure than dependency on the grid or on house-sized renewable energy systems.In the cold climates, we need water, heat, light, a source of food and some way to prepare it, and toileting and washing facilities. A means of keeping food cool is helpful too, but a bucket of water taken from the ground and a mason jar will keep your dinner overnight. Laundry facilities would be great, but if you don't get to that, you can wash your clothes in a bucket and hang them on a $2 clothesline. I&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;f you are prepared to scavenge, can build a lot of stuff and don't require new things, all these needs can probably be fufilled for less than $2000. If you buy everything new, it might cost you four, depending on your circumstances. Even if you don't own your home, many of these items are usable in rental housing, and a landlord might well let you install, say, rainwater cachement onto existing drains.In the West, water is a bigger issue. Most of the rest of us can capture rainwater, but horribly, in part of the west it is illegal to capture the rainwash off your roof. Very deep wells cannot be pumped manually. For you, solar direct pumps are probably the best option, or perhaps we will return to windmills. Changing the water laws so that you can collect your own rainwater would probably help.In the hot states (an expanding number), cooling is a much bigger issue than heating.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;And while a lot can be done with good insulation, heavy curtains and shades, and a good solar attic fan, some people may still need air conditioning. In this case, if air conditioning is a life or death issue, house-attached solar might make sense. But for poor people, swamp coolers and battery powered fans, changes in lifestyle (do work in the early morning and evening), cool baths and showers and a change in pace will probably do it.Our plan is to make our house functional and comfortable without electric power. That means a manual pump on our well, as well as (because I'm lazy and want water in my house) a cistern tank with a hand pump at my kitchen sink). We have two solar lanterns, two solar battery chargers, and a crank/solar radio for lighting and music (we consider music an essential). I can do my laundry in a bucket, but I'm coveting a James Handwasher and wringer - I'm hoping to add one this year. Refrigeration will be natural during the winter (we have an insulated area that stays plenty cold but does not freeze) and water based during the summer.It will also mean changing the way we cook in warm weather, but that's no tragedy - the planet is full of people without fridges, and they created some of the best cuisines on earth without them.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;We have a wood cookstove and a regular woodstove, and plenty of warm clothes and blankets for the unheated sleeping areas. We had a homemade outdoor masonry oven, but we'll need to build a new one this year, which will be fun. I've got two homemade solar cookers, but am coveting a professionally made one, which will achieve higher temperatures. But I could get along with my homemade ones.Our baling-wire and glue composting toilet set up is about to be replaced with something new and pretty, but the original worked fine, the bucket was free and the commode bought at a yard sale for $5. We buy sawdust now and again, but could use old leaves. We're reinsulating, which is not cheap, but we could, if necessary, just get used to the cold. It would not kill us.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Homemade insulated curtains, tapestries or blankets hung over underinsulated walls, reusable bubble wrap on windows, even styrofoam insulation covered with bookshelves, and handmade draft dodgers would do the same job for much, much less money, as would moving more and faster and putting on more clothes. We should not confuse issues of comfort with issues of necessity.My writing requires I have a computer. I could, if worst came to worst, write things out longhand or put them on the ancient typewriter I inherited, but I suspect we will purchase a stand-alone solar panel and a laptop for me eventually, assuming I ever get paid for doing this. But that, again, is a matter of convenience and having the money, not necessity.Ultimately, we may turn the power off for other reasons than necessity.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;If our nation fails to cut its emissions, and our electricity is increasingly created by dirty coal, or by nuclear plants that endanger our communities, turning it all off may be the only possible way to avoid participating in the harm we're doing. It is important to me that I keep in mind that electricity for private homes (I am not speaking here about electricity for hospitals), is something that was not necessary through most of human history, and is not truly essential today.&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-1585461956008690177?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/1585461956008690177/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=1585461956008690177' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/1585461956008690177'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/1585461956008690177'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2007/06/solar-information.html' title='Solar Information'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-6911195366642286737</id><published>2007-05-22T07:21:00.000-07:00</published><updated>2007-05-22T07:23:37.814-07:00</updated><title type='text'>Solar Lights for Africa</title><content type='html'>&lt;div id="aColumn"&gt; &lt;div id="article"&gt;  &lt;h1&gt; &lt;nyt_headline version="1.0" type=" "&gt; Solar Flashlight Lets Africa’s Sun Deliver the Luxury of Light to the Poorest Villages&lt;/nyt_headline&gt;&lt;a id="emailThis" onclick="s_code_linktrack('Article-Tool-EmailSignIn');" href="http://www.nytimes.com/auth/login?URI=http://www.nytimes.com/2007/05/20/world/africa/20lights.html"&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/h1&gt;I met this guy at the Solar Venture Conference, and he gave me a flashlight!&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;GREAT Product&lt;br /&gt;&lt;nyt_byline version="1.0" type=" "&gt;&lt;/nyt_byline&gt;&lt;div class="byline"&gt;By WILL CONNORS  and &lt;a href="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/b/ralph_blumenthal/index.html?inline=nyt-per" title="More Articles by Ralph Blumenthal"&gt;RALPH BLUMENTHAL&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;  &lt;div class="timestamp"&gt;Published: May 20, 2007&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div id="articleBody"&gt;    &lt;!--NYT_INLINE_IMAGE_POSITION1 --&gt;        &lt;nyt_text&gt;     &lt;/nyt_text&gt;&lt;p&gt;FUGNIDO, Ethiopia — At 10 p.m. in a sweltering refugee camp here in western Ethiopia, a group of foreigners was making its way past thatch-roofed huts when a tall, rail-thin man approached a silver-haired American and took hold of his hands.&lt;/p&gt;  &lt;div id="articleInline"&gt; &lt;div id="inlineBox"&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2007/05/20/world/africa/20lights.html?ex=1180324800&amp;en=06344e684c3f3a00&amp;amp;ei=5070&amp;emc=eta1#secondParagraph" class="jumpLink"&gt;Skip to next paragraph&lt;/a&gt;        &lt;div class="image"&gt; &lt;img src="http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2007/05/20/world/20070520_LIGHTS_MAP.gif" alt="" border="0" height="234" width="190" /&gt; &lt;div class="credit"&gt;The New York Times&lt;/div&gt; &lt;p class="caption"&gt; A Houston oilman brought the solar flashlight to Fugnido camp.  &lt;/p&gt; &lt;/div&gt;        &lt;/div&gt; &lt;/div&gt;&lt;a name="secondParagraph"&gt;&lt;/a&gt;  &lt;p&gt;The man, a Sudanese refugee, announced that his wife had just given birth, and the boy would be honored with the visitor’s name. After several awkward translation attempts of “Mark Bent,” it was settled. “Mar,” he said, will grow up hearing stories of his namesake, the man who handed out flashlights powered by the sun.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Since August 2005, when visits to an Eritrean village prompted him to research global access to artificial light, Mr. Bent, 49, a former foreign service officer and Houston oilman, has spent $250,000 to develop and manufacture a solar-powered flashlight. &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;His invention gives up to seven hours of light on a daily solar recharge and can last nearly three years between replacements of three AA batteries costing 80 cents.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Over the last year, he said, he and corporate benefactors like &lt;a href="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/news/business/companies/exxon_mobil_corporation/index.html?inline=nyt-org" title="More information about Exxon Mobil Corporation"&gt;Exxon Mobil&lt;/a&gt; have donated 10,500 flashlights to &lt;a href="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/organizations/u/united_nations/index.html?inline=nyt-org" title="More articles about the United Nations."&gt;United Nations&lt;/a&gt; refugee camps and African aid charities.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt; Another 10,000 have been provided through a sales program, and 10,000 more have just arrived in Houston awaiting distribution by his company, SunNight Solar. &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;“I find it hard sometimes to explain the scope of the problems in these camps with no light,” Mr. Bent said. “If you’re an environmentalist you think about it in terms of discarded batteries and coal and wood burning and kerosene smoke; if you’re a feminist you think of it in terms of security for women and preventing sexual abuse and violence; if you’re an educator you think about it in terms of helping children and adults study at night.”&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Here at Fugnido, at one of six camps housing more than 21,000 refugees 550 miles west of Addis Ababa, the Ethiopian capital, Peter Gatkuoth, a Sudanese refugee, wrote on “the importance of Solor.” &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;“In case of thief, we open our solor and the thief ran away,” he wrote. “If there is a sick person at night we will took him with the solor to health center.”&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;A shurta, or guard, who called himself just John, said, “I used the light to scare away wild animals.” Others said lights were hung above school desks for children and adults to study after the day’s work.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt; Mr. Bent’s efforts have drawn praise from the United Nations, Africare, &lt;a href="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/organizations/r/rice_university/index.html?inline=nyt-org" title="More articles about Rice University"&gt;Rice University&lt;/a&gt; and others. &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt; Kevin G. Lowther, Southern Africa director for Africare, the largest American aid group for Africa, said his staff was sending 5,000 of his lights, purchased by Exxon Mobil at $10 each, to rural Angola. &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Dave Gardner, a spokesman for Exxon Mobil, said the company’s $50,000 donation in November grew out of an earlier grant it made to Save the Children to build six public schools in Kibala, Angola, a remote area of Kwanza Sul Province. &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;“At a dedication ceremony for the first four schools in June 2006,” Mr. Gardner said in an e-mail message, “we noticed that a lot of the children had upper respiratory problems, part of which is likely due to the use of wood, charcoal, candles and kero for lighting in the small homes they have in Kibala.”&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt; The Awty International School, a large prep school in Houston, has sent hundreds of the flashlights to schools it sponsors in Haiti, Cameroon and Ethiopia, said Chantal Duke, executive assistant to the head of school. &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;“In places where there is absolutely no electricity or running water, having light at night is a luxury many families don’t have and never did and which we take for granted in developed countries,” Ms. Duke said by e-mail. Mr. Bent, a former Marine and Navy pilot, served under diplomatic titles in volatile countries like Angola, Bosnia, Nigeria and Somalia in the early 1990s. &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;In 2001 he went to work as the general manager of an oil exploration team off the coast of the Red Sea in Eritrea, for a company later acquired by the French oil giant Perenco. But the oil business, he said, “didn’t satisfy my soul.”&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The inspiration for the flashlight hit him, he said, while working for Perenco in Asmara, Eritrea. One Sunday he visited a local dump to watch scavenging by baboons and birds of prey, and came upon a group of homeless boys who had adopted the dump as their home. &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;They took him home to a rural village where he noticed that many people had nothing to light their homes, schools and clinics at night. &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;With a little research, he discovered that close to two billion people around the world go without affordable access to light. &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;He worked with researchers, engineers and manufacturers, he said, at the Department of Energy, several American universities, and even &lt;a href="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/organizations/n/national_aeronautics_and_space_administration/index.html?inline=nyt-org" title="More articles about the National Aeronautics and Space Administration."&gt;NASA&lt;/a&gt; before finding a factory in China to produce a durable, cost-effective solar-powered flashlight whose shape was inspired by his wife’s shampoo bottle. &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt; The light, or sun torch, has a narrow solar panel on one side that charges the batteries, which can last between 750 and 1,000 nights, and uses the more efficient light-emitting diodes, or L.E.D.s, to cast its light. “L.E.D.s used to be very expensive,” Mr. Bent said. “But in the last 18 months they’ve become cheaper, so distributing them on a widespread scale is possible.” &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The flashlights usually sell for about $19.95 in American stores, but he has established a BoGo — for Buy One, Give One — program on his Web site, &lt;a href="http://bogolight.com/" target="_"&gt;BoGoLight.com&lt;/a&gt;, where if you buy one flashlight for $25, he will buy and ship another one to Africa, and donate $1 to one of the aid groups he works with. &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt; Mr. Bent, who is now an oil consultant, lives in Houston with his wife and four young children. When he is not in the air flying his own plane, he is often on the road. &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt; Traveling early this month in Ethiopia’s border area with Sudan, Mr. Bent stopped in each town’s market to methodically check the prices and quality of flashlights and batteries imported from China. &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;He unscrewed the flashlights one by one, inspecting the batteries, pronouncing them “terrible — they won’t last two nights.” &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;On his last day along the border, Mr. Bent visited Rapan Sadeeq, 21, a Sudanese refugee who is something of a celebrity in his camp, Bonga, for his rudimentary self-made radios, walkie-talkies and periscopes. &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The two men huddled in the hut, discussing what parts would be needed to power the radio with solar panels instead of clunky C batteries. “Oh, I can definitely send you some parts,” Mr. Bent said. “You can be my field engineer in Ethiopia.”&lt;/p&gt;&lt;nyt_author_id&gt;&lt;/nyt_author_id&gt;&lt;div id="authorId"&gt;&lt;p&gt;Will Connors reported from Fugnido, Ethiopia, and Ralph Blumenthal from Houston.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;nyt_update_bottom&gt;&lt;/nyt_update_bottom&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-6911195366642286737?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/6911195366642286737/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=6911195366642286737' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/6911195366642286737'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/6911195366642286737'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2007/05/solar-lights-for-africa.html' title='Solar Lights for Africa'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-116654974465487488</id><published>2006-12-19T09:35:00.000-08:00</published><updated>2006-12-19T09:35:45.010-08:00</updated><title type='text'>100 things</title><content type='html'>&lt;h1&gt;100 Things You Can Do to Get Ready for Peak Oil&lt;/h1&gt;                  &lt;p&gt;&lt;b&gt;by Sharon Astyk&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/p&gt;              &lt;div id="relatednews"&gt;                   &lt;table align="right" bgcolor="#ffffff" border="0" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="0" width="172"&gt;               &lt;tbody&gt;&lt;tr&gt;                 &lt;td&gt;&lt;h3&gt;RELATED NEWS:&lt;/h3&gt;    &lt;p&gt; &lt;a href="http://www.energybulletin.net/21326.html"&gt;Proposing Plan C...&lt;/a&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt; &lt;a href="http://www.energybulletin.net/23428.html"&gt;Soil food web - opening the lid of the black box...&lt;/a&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt; &lt;a href="http://www.energybulletin.net/3800.html"&gt;Hubbert's Prescription for Survival, A Steady State Economy...&lt;/a&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt; &lt;a href="http://www.energybulletin.net/21466.html"&gt;(post-)Hydrocarbon Aesthetics...&lt;/a&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt; &lt;a href="http://www.energybulletin.net/23453.html"&gt;The 12 Step Programme for Breaking Oil Dependency - a useful tool for powerdown groups...&lt;/a&gt; &lt;/p&gt;                       &lt;/td&gt;               &lt;/tr&gt;                   &lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;               &lt;/div&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;i&gt;[ Sharon Astyk, as those familiar with her writing here at Energy Bulletin, or on &lt;a href="http://www.casaubonsbook.blogspot.com/"&gt;Casaubon's Book&lt;/a&gt; will know, is well advanced down the route of low energy living. As such, these suggestions go far beyond the usual stale sustainability tips for consumers, and into the kind of adaptations which can reduce our energy usage not by percentage points, but by orders of magnitute. At the same time they offer rich challenges, good food, and meaningful family and community experiences. -AF ]&lt;/i&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;h3&gt;SPRING&lt;/h3&gt; &lt;ol&gt;&lt;li&gt; Rethink your seed starting regimen. How will you do it without potting soil, grow lights and warming mats. Consider creating manure heated hotbeds, using your own compost, building a greenhouse, or coldframe, direct seeding early versions of transplanted crops, etc... &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Your local feed store has chicks right now - even suburbanites might consider ordering a few bantam hens and keeping them as exotic birds. Worth a shot, no? You can grow some feed in your garden for them, as well as enjoying the eggs. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Order enough seeds for three years of gardening. If by next spring, we are all unable to get replacement seed, will you have produced everything you need? What if you can't grow for a year because of some crisis? Order extras from places with cheap seed like &lt;a href="http://www.fedcoseeds.com/"&gt;www.fedcoseeds.com&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.superseeds.com/"&gt;www.superseeds.com&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.rareseed.com/"&gt;www.rareseed.com&lt;/a&gt;. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Yard sale season will begin soon in the warmer parts of the country, and auctions are picking up now in the North. Stocking up on things like shoes, extra coats, kids clothing in larger sizes, hand tools, garden equipment is simply prudent - and can save a lot of money. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; The real estate "season" will begin shortly, with families wanting to get settled in new homes during the summer, before the school year starts. If you are planning on buying or selling this year, now is the time to research the market, new locations, find that country property or the urban duplex with a big yard. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Once pastures are flush, last year's hay is usually a bargain, and many farmers clean out their barns. manure and old hay are great soil builders for anyone. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Check out your local animal shelter and adopt a dog or cat for rodent control, protection and friendship during peak oil. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; As things green up, begin to identify and use local wild edibles. Eat your lawn's dandelions, your daylily shoots, new nettles. Hunt for morels (learn what you are doing first!!) and wild onions. Get in the habit of seeing what food there is to be had everywhere you go. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Set up rainbarrel or cistern systems and start harvesting your precipitation. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Planning to only grow vegetables? Truly sustainable gardens include a lot of pretty flowers, which have value as medicinals, dye and fiber plants, seasoning herbs, and natural cleaners and pest repellants. Instead of giving up ornamentals altogether, grow a garden full of daylilies, lady's mantle, dye hollyhocks and coreopsis, foxgloves, soapwart, bayberry, hip roses, bee balm and other useful beauties. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Get a garden in somewhere around you - campaign to turn open space into a community garden, ask if you can use a friend's backyard, get your company or church, synagogue, mosque or school to grow a garden for the poor. Every garden and experienced gardener we have is a potential hedge against the disaster. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Join a CSA if you don't garden, and get practice cooking and eating a local diet in season. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Eggs and greens are at their best in spring - dehydrated greens and cooked eggshells, ground up together add calcium and a host of other nutrients to flour, and you won't taste them. We're not going to be able to afford to waste food in the future, so get out of the habit now. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Make rhubarb, parsnip or dandelion wine for later consumption. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Now that warmer weather is here, start walking for more of your daily Needs. Even a four or five mile walk is quite reasonable for most healthy people. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Start a compost pile, or begin worm composting. Everyone can and should compost. Even apartment dwellers can keep worms or a compost bin and use the product as potting soil. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Use spring holidays and feasts as a chance to bring up peak oil with friends and family. Freedom and rebirth are an excellent subjects To lead into the Long Emergency. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Store the components of some traditional spring holiday foods, so that in hard times your family can maintain its traditions and celebrations. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; With the renewal of the building season, now is the time to scavenge free building materials, like cinder blocks, old windows and scrap wood - with permission, of course. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Try and adapt to the spring weather early - get outside, turn down your heat or bank your fires, cut down on your fuel consumption as though you had no choice. Put on those sweaters one more time. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Shepherds are flush with wool - now is the time to buy some fleece and start spinning! Drop spindles are easy to make and cheap to use. Check out &lt;a href="http://www.learntospin.com/"&gt;www.learntospin.com&lt;/a&gt; &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Take a hard look back over the last winter - if you had had to survive on what you grew and stored last year, would you have made it? Early spring was famously the "starving time" when stores ran out and everyone was hungry. Remember, when you plan your food needs that not much produces early in spring, and in northern climates, A winter’s worth of food must last until May or June. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Trade cuttings and divisions, seeds and seedlings with your neighbors. Learn what's out there in your community, and sneak some useful plants into your neighbors' garden. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; If you’ve got a nearby college, consider scavenging the dorm dumpsters. College students often leave astounding amounts of Stuff behind including excellent books, clothes, furniture, etc… &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Say a schecheyanu, a blessing, or a prayer. Or simply be grateful for a series of coincidences that permit us to be here, in this place, as the world and the seasons come to life again. Try to make sure that this year, this time, you will take more joy in what you have, and prepare a bit better to soften the blow that is about to fall. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;/ol&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;h3&gt;SUMMER&lt;/h3&gt; &lt;ol&gt;&lt;li&gt; If you don't can or dehydrate, now is the time to learn. In most climates, you can waterbath can or dehydrate with a minimum of purchased materials, and produce is abundant and cheap. If you don't garden, check out your local farmstand for day-old produce or your farmer's market at the end of the day - they are likely to have large quantities they are anxious to get rid of. Wild fruits are also in abundance, or will be. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Consider dehydrating outer leaves of broccoli, cabbage, etc..., and grinding the dried mixture. It can be added to flours to increase the nutritional value of your bread. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Buy hay in the summer, rather than gradually over the winter. Now is an excellent time to put up simple shelters for hay storage, to avoid high early spring and winter prices. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Firewood, woodstoves and heating materials are at their cheapest right now. Invest now for winter. The same is true of insulating materials. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Back to school planning is a great time to reconsider transportation in light of peak oil. Can your children walk? Bike? If they cannot do either for reasons of safety (rather than distance) could an adult do so with them? Could you hire a local teenager to take them to school on foot or by wheel? Can you find ways to carpool, if you must drive? Grownups can do this too. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Also when getting ready to go back to school, consider the environmental impact of your scheduling and activities - are there ways to minimize driving/eating out/equipment costs/fuel consumption? Could your family do less in formal "activities" and more in family work? &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Consider either home schooling or engaging in supplemental home Education. Your kids may need a large number of skills not provided by local public schools, and a critical perspective that they certainly won‘t learn in an institutional setting. Teach them. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Try and minimize air conditioning and electrical use during high Summer. Take cool showers or baths, use ice packs, reserve activity when possible for early am or evening. Rise at 4 am and get much of your work done then. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Consider adding a solar powered attic fan, available from Real Goods &lt;a href="http://www.realgoods.com/"&gt;www.realgoods.com&lt;/a&gt;. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Don’t go on vacation. Spend your energy and money making your home a paradise instead. Throw a barbecue, a party or an open house, and invite the neighbors in. Get to know them. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Be prepared for summer blackouts, some quite extensive. Have emergency supplies and lighting at hand. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Practice living, cooking and camping outside, so that you will be comfortable doing so if necessary. Everyone in the family can Learn basic outdoors person skills. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Make your own summer camp. Instead of sending kids to soccer camp, create an at-home skills camp that helps prepare people for Peak oil. Invite the neighbor kids to join you. Have a blast! &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Begin adapting herbs and other potted plants to indoor culture. Consider adding small tropicals - figs, lemons, oranges, even bananas can often be grown in cold climate homes. Obviously, if you live in a warm climate well, be prepared for some jealousy from the rest of us come February ;-). &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Plant a fall garden in high summer - peas, broccoli, kale, lettuces, beets, carrots, turnips, etc… All of the above will last well into early winter in even the harshest climates, and with proper techniques or in milder areas, will provide you with fresh food all year long &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Put up a new clothesline! Consider hand washing clothes outside, since everyone will probably enjoy getting wet (and cool) anyhow. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; If you have access to safe waters, go fishing. Get some practice, and learn a new skill. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Encourage pick-up games at your house. Post-peak, children will need to know how to entertain themselves. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; For teens, encourage them to develop their own home businesses over the summers. Whether doing labor or creating a product, you may rely on them eventually to help support the family. Or have them clean out your closets and attic and help you reorganize. Let them sell the stuff. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Buy a hand pushed lawn mower if you have less than 1 acre of grass. New ones are easy to push and pleasant, and will save you energy and that unpleasant gas smell. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Keep an eye out for unharvested fruits and nuts - many suburban and rural areas have berry and fruit bushes that no one harvests. Take advantage and put up the fruit. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Practice extreme water conservation during the summer. Mulch to reduce the need for irrigation. Bathe less often and with less water. Reduce clothes washing when possible. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; This is an excellent time to toilet train children - they can run around naked if necessary and accidents will do no harm. Try and get them out of diapers now, before winter. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Consider replacing lawns with something that doesn’t have to be mown - ground covers like vetch, moss, even edibles like wintergreen or lingonberry, chamomile or mint. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; If it is summer time, then the living is probably easy. Take some time to enjoy it - to picnic, to celebrate democracy (and try and bring one about ;-), To explore your own area, walk in the nearby woods. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;/ol&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;h3&gt;FALL&lt;/h3&gt; &lt;ol&gt;&lt;li&gt; Simple, cheap insulating strategies (window quilts and blankets, draft stoppers, etc...) are easily made from cheap or free materials - goodwill, for example, often has jeans, tshirts and shrunken wool sweaters, of quality too poor to sell, that can be used for quilting material and batting. They are available where I am for a nominal price, and I've heard of getting them free. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Stock up for winter as though the hard times will begin this year. Besides dried and canned foods, don't forget root cellarable and storable local produce, and season extension (cold frames, greenhouses, etc...) techniques for fresh food when you make your food inventory. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Thanksgiving sales tend to be when supermarkets offer the cheapest deals on excellent supplements to food storage, like shortening, canned pumpkin, spices, etc... I've also heard of stores given turkeys away free with grocery purchases - turkeys can then be cooked, canned and stored. Don't forget to throw in storable ingredients for your family's holiday staples - in hard times, any kind of celebration or continuity is appreciated. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Go leaf rustling for your garden and compost pile. If you happen into places where people leave their leaves out for pickup, grab the bags and set them to composting or mulching Your own garden. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Plant a last crop of over wintering spinach, and enjoy in the fall and again in spring. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Or consider planting a bed of winter wheat. Chickens can even graze it lightly in the fall, and it will be ready to harvest in time to use the bed for your fall garden. Even a small bed will make quite a bit of fresh, delicious bread. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Hit those last yard sales, or back to school sales and buy a few extra clothes (or cloth to make them) for growing children and extra shoes for everyone. They will be welcome in storage, particularly if prices rise because of trade issues or inflation. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; The best time to expand your garden is now - till or mulch and let sod rot over the winter. Add soil amendments, manure, compost and lime. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Now is an excellent time to start the 100 mile diet in most locales - Stores and farms and markets are bursting with delicious local produce And products. Eat local and learn new recipes. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Rose hip season is coming - most food storage items are low in accessible vitamin C. Harvest wild or tame unsprayed rose hips, and dry them for tea to ensure long-term good health. Rose hips are delicious mixed with raspberry leaves and lemon balm. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Discounts on alcohol are common between Halloween and Christmas - this is an excellent time to stock up on booze for personal, medicinal, trade or cooking. Pick up some vanilla beans as well, and make your own vanilla out of that cheap vodka. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Gardening equipment, and things like rainbarrels go on sale in the late summer/early fall. And nurseries often are trying to rid themselves of perennial plants - including edibles and medicinals. It isn't too late to plant them in most parts of the country, although some care is needed in purchasing for things that have become rootbound. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Local honey will be at its cheapest now - now is the time to stock up. Consider making friends with the beekeeper, and perhaps taking lessons yourself. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Fall is the cheapest time to buy livestock, either to keep or for butchering. Many 4Hers, and those who simply don't want to keep excess animals over the winter are anxious to find buyers now. In many cases, at auction, I see animals selling for much less than the meat you can expect to obtain from their carcass is worth. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Most cold climate housing has or could have a "cold room/area" - a space that is kept cool enough during the fall and winter to dispense with the necessity of a refrigerator, but that doesn't freeze. If you have separate fridge and freezer, consider disconnecting your fridge during the cooler weather to save utility costs and conserve energy. You can build a cool room by building in a closet with a window, and insulating it with styrofoam panels &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Now is a great time to build community (and get stuff done) by instituting a local "work bee" - invite neighbors and friends to come help either with a project for your household, or to share in some good deed for another community member. Provide food, drink, tools and get to work on whatever it is (building, harvesting, quilting, knitting - the sky is the limit), and at the same time strengthen your community. Make sure that next time, the work benefits a different neighbor or community member. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Most local charities get the majority of their donations between now and December. Consider dividing your charitable donations so that they are made year round, but adding extra volunteer hours to help your group handle the demands on them in the fall. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Many medicinal and culinary herbs are at their peak now. Consider learning about them and drying some for winter use. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; If there is a gleaning program near you (either for charity or personal use) consider joining. If not, start one. Considerable amounts of food are wasted in the harvesting process, and you can either add to your storage or benefit your local shelters and food pantries. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Dig out those down comforters, extra blankets, hats with the earflaps, flannel jammies, etc... You don't need heat in your sleeping areas - just warm clothes and blankets. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Learn a skill that can be done in the dark or by candlelight, while sitting with others in front of a heat source. Knitting, crocheting, whittling, rug braiding, etc... can all be done mostly by touch with little light, and are suitable for companionable evenings. In addition, learn to sing, play instruments, recite memorized speeches and poetry, etc... as something to do on dark winter evenings. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; While I wouldn't expect deer or turkey hunting to be a major food source in coming times (I would expect large game to be driven back to near-extinction pretty quickly), it is worth having those skills, and also the skills necessary to catch the less commonly caught small game, like rabbits, squirrel, etc... &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Use a solar cooker or parabolic solar cooker whenever possible To prepare food. Or eat cool salads and raw foods. Not only won’t you heat up the house, but you’ll save energy. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; A majority of children are born in the summer early fall, which suggests that some of us are doing more than keeping warm ;-). Now is a good time to get one’s birth control updated ;-). &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Celebrate the harvest - this is a time of luxury and plenty, and should be treated as such and enjoyed that way. Cook, drink, eat, talk, sing, pray, dance, laugh, invite guests. Winter is long and comes soon enough. Celebrate! &lt;/li&gt;&lt;/ol&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;h3&gt;WINTER&lt;/h3&gt; &lt;ol&gt;&lt;li&gt; Your local adult education program almost certainly has something useful to teach you - woodworking, crocheting, music training, horseback riding, CPR, herbalism, vegetarian cookery... take advantage of people who want to teach their skills &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Get serious about land use planning - even if you live in a suburban neighborhood, you can find ways to optimize your land to produce the most food, fuel and barterables. Sit down and think hard about what you can do to make your land and your life more sustainable in the coming year. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; The Winter lull is an excellent time to get involved in public affairs. No matter how cynical you tend to be, nothing ever changed without engagement. So get out there. Stand for office. Join. Volunteer. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Now is the time to prepare for illness - keep a stock of remedies, including useful antibiotics (although know what you are doing, don't just buy them and take them), vitamin C supplements (I like elderberry syrup), painkillers, herbs, and tools for handling even serious illness by yourself. In the event of a truly severe epidemic of flu or other illness, avoiding illness and treating sick family members at home whenever possible may be safer than taking them to over-worked and over-crowded hospitals (or, it may not - but planning for the former won't prevent you from using the hospital if you need it). &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Most schools would be delighted to have volunteers come in and talk about conservation, gardening, small livestock, home-scale mechanics, ham radio, etc..., and most homeschooling families would be similarly thrilled. Consider offering to teach something you know that will be helpful post-peak (although I wouldn't recommend discussing peak oil with any but the oldest teenagers, and not even that without their parents permission &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Now is the time to convince your business, synagogue, church, school, community center to put a garden on that empty lawn. If you start the campaign now, you can be ready to plant in the spring. Produce can be shared among participants or offered to the needy. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; The one-two punch of rising heating oil and gas prices may well be what is needed to make your family and friends more receptive to the peak oil message. Try again. At the very least, emphasize the options for mitigating increased economic strain with sustainable practices. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Get together with neighbors and check in on your area's elderly and disabled people. Make a plan that ensures they will be checked on during bad weather, power outages, etc... Offer help with stocking up for winter, or maintaining equipment. And watch for signs that they are struggling economically. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Work on raising money and getting help with local poverty-abatement Programs. After the holidays, people struggle. They get hungry and cold. Remember, besides the fact that it is the right thing to do, the life you save may be your own. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Get out and enjoy the cold weather. It is hard to adapt to colder temperatures if you spend all your time huddled in front of a heater. Ski, snowshoe, sled, shovel, have a snowball fight, build a hut, go winter camping, but get comfortable with the cold, snowy world around you. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Have your chimney(s) inspected, and learn to clean your own. Learn to care for your kerosene lamps, to use candles safely, and how to use and maintain your smoke and CO detectors and fire extinguishers. Winter is peak fire season, so keep safe. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Grow sprouts on your windowsill. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Now is an excellent time to reconsider how you use your house. Look around - could you make more space? House more people? Do projects more efficiently? Add greenhouse space? Put in a homemade composting toilet? Work with what you have to make it more useful. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; If a holiday gift exchange is part of your life, make most of your gifts. Knit, whittle, build, sew, or otherwise create something beautiful for the people you love. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; If someone wants to buy you something, request a useful tool or preparedness item, or a gift certificate to a place like Lehmans or Real Goods. Considering giving such gifts to friends and family - a solar crank radio, an LED flashlight, cast iron pans, These are useful and appreciated items whether or not you believe in peak oil. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Do a dry run in the dead of winter. Turn out all the power, turn off the water. Turn off all fossil-fuel sources of heat, and see how things go for a few days. Use what you learn to improve your preparedness, and have fun while doing it. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Learn to mend clothing, patch and make patchwork out of old clothes. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Write letters to people. The post is the most reliable way of communicating, And letters last forever. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Make a list of goals for the coming year, and the coming five years. Start Keeping records of your goals and your successes and failures. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Keep a journal. Your children and grandchildren (or someone else’s) may want To know what these days were like. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Wash your hands frequently, and avoid stress. Stay healthy so that you can be useful To those around you. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; For those subject to depression or anxiety, winter can be hard. Find ways to relax, decompress and use work as an antidote to fear whenever possible. Get outside on sunny days, and try and exercise as much as possible to help maintain a positive attitude. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Memorize a poem or song every week. No matter what happens to you, no one can ever take away the music and words you hold in your mind. You can have them as comfort and pleasure wherever you go, and in whatever circumstances. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Take advantage of heating stoves by cooking on them. You can make soups or stews on top of any wood stove or even many radiators, and you can build or buy a metal oven That sits on top of woodstoves to bake in. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Winter is a time of quiet and contemplation. Go outside. Hear the silence. Take pleasure in what you have achieved over the past year. Focus on the abundance of this present, this day, rather than scarcity to come.&lt;/li&gt;&lt;/ol&gt;&lt;i&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/i&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-116654974465487488?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/116654974465487488/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=116654974465487488' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/116654974465487488'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/116654974465487488'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2006/12/100-things.html' title='100 things'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-116586692907008364</id><published>2006-12-11T11:55:00.000-08:00</published><updated>2006-12-11T11:55:29.166-08:00</updated><title type='text'>No Coal in my stocking</title><content type='html'>&lt;table align="left" bgcolor="#ffffff" border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"&gt;&lt;tbody&gt;&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td&gt;  &lt;table align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="615"&gt;   &lt;tbody&gt;&lt;tr height="96"&gt;  &lt;td colspan="4" height="108" width="100%"&gt;&lt;img alt="header" src="https://img.getactivehub.com/gv2/custom_images/ucsaction/action-header.jpg" border="0" height="108" width="615" /&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt; &lt;tr&gt;  &lt;td&gt;  &lt;table bg="" style="color: rgb(255, 255, 255);" border="0" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0"&gt;&lt;tbody&gt;&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td&gt;  &lt;strong&gt;&lt;span class="mainBlueTitle"&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span class="mainGreenTitle"&gt;  &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/strong&gt; &lt;span class="SansSerif"&gt; &lt;span class="SansSerif"&gt;&lt;span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family:sans-serif;" &gt;     &lt;table bg="" style="color: rgb(255, 255, 255);" align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="600"&gt; &lt;tbody&gt; &lt;tr&gt; &lt;td valign="top" width="400"&gt; &lt;table cellpadding="8" cellspacing="0" width="400"&gt; &lt;tbody&gt; &lt;tr&gt; &lt;td valign="top" width="400"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Verdana,Arial;"&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;Dear Mel,&lt;/span&gt;  &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;For generations, children have been threatened with coal in their stocking as punishment for being naughty—but giving kids coal fired power plants is a punishment that can last 40 years or more.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;Today, coal provides about half of our nation’s electricity—at great cost to our health, land, water, and climate. Coal power is currently America’s single biggest source of global warming pollution and brain-damaging mercury emissions. In addition, coal mining pollutes our drinking water and is an extremely dangerous occupation.&lt;/span&gt; &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;Now, utilities across the country are pushing to build more than 150 new coal-fired power plants. Most of these plants would use old “pulverized coal” technology—designed to last at least 40-50 years. &lt;strong&gt;But it’s not too late to tell Congress our kids deserve better than coal.&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;This holiday season, ask your members of Congress to start the new year fresh by promoting energy efficiency and clean, renewable sources of electricity like wind and solar.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt; Send an email to your senators and representative today.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;&lt;a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://ucsaction.org/campaign/11_30_2006Coal/wgb6gxb405kxj3d?"&gt;&lt;img src="http://img.getactivehub.com/images/btn-take-action.gif" border="0" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Verdana,Arial;"&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Subject:&lt;/strong&gt; Our kids deserve clean energy--not dirty coal&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Verdana,Arial;"&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;Dear Senators and Representative,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Verdana,Arial;"&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;This holiday season, I'm writing to urge you not to punish our kids with coal—but to start the new year clean by promoting renewable sources of energy like wind and solar.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Verdana,Arial;"&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;More than 150 new coal power plants have been proposed nationwide. Almost all of these plants would use old, pulverized coal technology—releasing unacceptably high levels of mercury emissions and global warming pollution into the air we breathe.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Verdana,Arial;"&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;These power plants harm our health, land, water, and climate—imposing tremendous costs on our children, and on their children.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Verdana,Arial;"&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;On average, coal power plants emit as much global warming pollution in one year as 600,000 cars. Unlike a car, however, these plants will be polluting for 40 to 50 years into the future. Please don't punish our kids with coal—they deserve better.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Verdana,Arial;"&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;Promoting energy efficiency, and clean energy alternatives such as wind, solar, and bioenergy, are effective ways of meeting our growing energy needs. Please start the New Year, and the new Congress, off on the right foot—support clean, renewable energy for our future.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Verdana,Arial;"&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;Sincerely,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Verdana,Arial;"&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;Mel Riser&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Verdana,Arial;"&gt;&lt;a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://ucsaction.org/campaign/11_30_2006Coal/wgb6gxb405kxj3d?"&gt;&lt;img src="http://img.getactivehub.com/images/btn-take-action.gif" border="0" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;&lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;&lt;/td&gt; &lt;td bg="" style="color: rgb(238, 238, 238);" valign="top" width="200"&gt; &lt;table border="0" cellpadding="8" cellspacing="0" width="200"&gt; &lt;tbody&gt; &lt;tr&gt; &lt;td bg="" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);" valign="center" width="200"&gt;&lt;span style="color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family:Verdana,Arial;font-size:130%;"  &gt;&lt;strong&gt;Take Action!&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt; &lt;tr&gt; &lt;td valign="top" width="200"&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Verdana,Arial;"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Instructions:&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://ucsaction.org/campaign/11_30_2006Coal/wgb6gxb405kxj3d?"&gt;Click here to take action&lt;/a&gt; on this issue or choose the "Reply to Sender" option on your email program. &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Verdana,Arial;"&gt;Tell-A-Friend:&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Verdana,Arial;"&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;Visit the web address below to tell your friends about this.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://ucsaction.org/campaign/11_30_2006Coal/forward/wgb6gxb405kxj3d?"&gt;&lt;img src="http://img.getactivehub.com/images/tellafriend_icon.gif" align="middle" border="0" /&gt; Tell-a-Friend!&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Want to do more?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;Send your members of Congress a personal holiday greeting card.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://ucsaction.org/ct/J1_hW4E1KzUr/"&gt;Click here&lt;/a&gt; to find out how to participate in this easy and creative holiday action.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Facts about Coal:&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;Coal-generated electricity releases more global warming pollution than any other source of electricity.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Emissions from burning coal contain many toxic substances that can cause birth defects, respiratory illness, bronchitis, asthma, and premature death.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Acid and toxic metals from coal mining often contaminate local water supplies putting people and animals at risk.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Unlike clean energy jobs, mining is an extremely dangerous job causing workers to suffer disease, injury, and even death.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Clean energy alternatives are not only cost-competitive, but also provide new jobs and economic development.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;&lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;&lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt; &lt;table align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"&gt; &lt;tbody&gt; &lt;tr&gt; &lt;td&gt; &lt;hr color="#aaaaaa" noshade="noshade" size="1"&gt; &lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;&lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt; &lt;p&gt;If you received this message from a friend, you can &lt;a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://ucsaction.org/ucsaction/join.html?r=P7_hW4E17mVbE&amp;"&gt;sign up for the Union of Concerned Scientists&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;This message was sent to melriser@yahoo.com. 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 &lt;table align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="615"&gt;   &lt;tbody&gt;&lt;tr height="96"&gt;  &lt;td colspan="4" height="108" width="100%"&gt;&lt;img alt="header" src="https://img.getactivehub.com/gv2/custom_images/ucsaction/action-header.jpg" border="0" height="108" width="615" /&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt; &lt;tr&gt;  &lt;td&gt;  &lt;table bg border="0" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" style="color:#ffffff;"&gt;&lt;tbody&gt;&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td&gt;  &lt;strong&gt;&lt;span class="mainBlueTitle"&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span class="mainGreenTitle"&gt;  &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/strong&gt; &lt;span class="SansSerif"&gt; &lt;span class="SansSerif"&gt;&lt;span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family:sans-serif;" &gt;     &lt;table bg="" style="color: rgb(255, 255, 255);" align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="600"&gt; &lt;tbody&gt; &lt;tr&gt; &lt;td valign="top" width="400"&gt; &lt;table cellpadding="8" cellspacing="0" width="400"&gt; &lt;tbody&gt; &lt;tr&gt; &lt;td valign="top" width="400"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Verdana,Arial;"&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;Dear Mel,&lt;/span&gt;  &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;For generations, children have been threatened with coal in their stocking as punishment for being naughty—but giving kids coal fired power plants is a punishment that can last 40 years or more.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;Today, coal provides about half of our nation’s electricity—at great cost to our health, land, water, and climate. Coal power is currently America’s single biggest source of global warming pollution and brain-damaging mercury emissions. In addition, coal mining pollutes our drinking water and is an extremely dangerous occupation.&lt;/span&gt; &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;Now, utilities across the country are pushing to build more than 150 new coal-fired power plants. Most of these plants would use old “pulverized coal” technology—designed to last at least 40-50 years. &lt;strong&gt;But it’s not too late to tell Congress our kids deserve better than coal.&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;This holiday season, ask your members of Congress to start the new year fresh by promoting energy efficiency and clean, renewable sources of electricity like wind and solar.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt; Send an email to your senators and representative today.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;&lt;a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://ucsaction.org/campaign/11_30_2006Coal/wgb6gxb405kxj3d?"&gt;&lt;img src="http://img.getactivehub.com/images/btn-take-action.gif" border="0" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Verdana,Arial;"&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Subject:&lt;/strong&gt; Our kids deserve clean energy--not dirty coal&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Verdana,Arial;"&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;Dear Senators and Representative,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Verdana,Arial;"&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;This holiday season, I'm writing to urge you not to punish our kids with coal—but to start the new year clean by promoting renewable sources of energy like wind and solar.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Verdana,Arial;"&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;More than 150 new coal power plants have been proposed nationwide. Almost all of these plants would use old, pulverized coal technology—releasing unacceptably high levels of mercury emissions and global warming pollution into the air we breathe.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Verdana,Arial;"&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;These power plants harm our health, land, water, and climate—imposing tremendous costs on our children, and on their children.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Verdana,Arial;"&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;On average, coal power plants emit as much global warming pollution in one year as 600,000 cars. Unlike a car, however, these plants will be polluting for 40 to 50 years into the future. Please don't punish our kids with coal—they deserve better.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Verdana,Arial;"&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;Promoting energy efficiency, and clean energy alternatives such as wind, solar, and bioenergy, are effective ways of meeting our growing energy needs. Please start the New Year, and the new Congress, off on the right foot—support clean, renewable energy for our future.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Verdana,Arial;"&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;Sincerely,&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Verdana,Arial;"&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;Mel Riser&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Verdana,Arial;"&gt;&lt;a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://ucsaction.org/campaign/11_30_2006Coal/wgb6gxb405kxj3d?"&gt;&lt;img src="http://img.getactivehub.com/images/btn-take-action.gif" border="0" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;&lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;&lt;/td&gt; &lt;td bg="" style="color: rgb(238, 238, 238);" valign="top" width="200"&gt; &lt;table border="0" cellpadding="8" cellspacing="0" width="200"&gt; &lt;tbody&gt; &lt;tr&gt; &lt;td bg="" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);" valign="center" width="200"&gt;&lt;span style="color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family:Verdana,Arial;font-size:130%;"  &gt;&lt;strong&gt;Take Action!&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt; &lt;tr&gt; &lt;td valign="top" width="200"&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Verdana,Arial;"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Instructions:&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://ucsaction.org/campaign/11_30_2006Coal/wgb6gxb405kxj3d?"&gt;Click here to take action&lt;/a&gt; on this issue or choose the "Reply to Sender" option on your email program. &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Verdana,Arial;"&gt;Tell-A-Friend:&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Verdana,Arial;"&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;Visit the web address below to tell your friends about this.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://ucsaction.org/campaign/11_30_2006Coal/forward/wgb6gxb405kxj3d?"&gt;&lt;img src="http://img.getactivehub.com/images/tellafriend_icon.gif" align="middle" border="0" /&gt; Tell-a-Friend!&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Want to do more?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;span style="color:black;"&gt;Send your members of Congress a personal holiday greeting card.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://ucsaction.org/ct/J1_hW4E1KzUr/"&gt;Click here&lt;/a&gt; to find out how to participate in this easy and creative holiday action.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Facts about Coal:&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;Coal-generated electricity releases more global warming pollution than any other source of electricity.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Emissions from burning coal contain many toxic substances that can cause birth defects, respiratory illness, bronchitis, asthma, and premature death.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Acid and toxic metals from coal mining often contaminate local water supplies putting people and animals at risk.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Unlike clean energy jobs, mining is an extremely dangerous job causing workers to suffer disease, injury, and even death.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Clean energy alternatives are not only cost-competitive, but also provide new jobs and economic development.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;&lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;&lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt; &lt;table align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"&gt; &lt;tbody&gt; &lt;tr&gt; &lt;td&gt; &lt;hr color="#aaaaaa" noshade="noshade" size="1"&gt; &lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;&lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt; &lt;p&gt;If you received this message from a friend, you can &lt;a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://ucsaction.org/ucsaction/join.html?r=P7_hW4E17mVbE&amp;"&gt;sign up for the Union of Concerned Scientists&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;This message was sent to melriser@yahoo.com. 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This breakthrough may lead to systems with&lt;br /&gt;an installation cost of only $3 per watt, producing electricity at a&lt;br /&gt;cost of 8-10 cents per kilowatt/hour, making solar electricity a more&lt;br /&gt;cost-competitive and integral part of our nation's energy mix.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;"Reaching this milestone heralds a great achievement for the&lt;br /&gt;Department of Energy and for solar energy engineering worldwide,"&lt;br /&gt;Assistant Secretary Karsner said. "We are eager to see this&lt;br /&gt;accomplishment translate into the marketplace as soon as possible,&lt;br /&gt;which has the potential to help reduce our nation's reliance on&lt;br /&gt;imported oil and increase our energy security."&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Attaining a 40 percent efficient concentrating solar cell means&lt;br /&gt;having another technology pathway for producing cost-effective solar&lt;br /&gt;electricity. Almost all of today's solar cell modules do not&lt;br /&gt;concentrate sunlight but use only what the sun produces naturally,&lt;br /&gt;what researchers call "one sun insolation," which achieves an&lt;br /&gt;efficiency of 12 to 18 percent. However, by using an optical&lt;br /&gt;concentrator, sunlight intensity can be increased, squeezing more&lt;br /&gt;electricity out of a single solar cell.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The 40.7 percent cell was developed using a unique structure called a&lt;br /&gt;multi-junction solar cell. This type of cell achieves a higher&lt;br /&gt;efficiency by capturing more of the solar spectrum. In a multi-&lt;br /&gt;junction cell, individual cells are made of layers, where each layer&lt;br /&gt;captures part of the sunlight passing through the cell. This allows&lt;br /&gt;the cell to get more energy from the sun's light.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;For the past two decades researchers have tried to break the "40&lt;br /&gt;percent efficient" barrier on solar cell devices. In the early 1980s,&lt;br /&gt;DOE began researching what are known as "multi-junction gallium&lt;br /&gt;arsenide-based solar cell devices," multi-layered solar cells which&lt;br /&gt;converted about 16 percent of the sun's available energy into&lt;br /&gt;electricity. In 1994, DOE's National Renewable Energy laboratory&lt;br /&gt;broke the 30 percent barrier, which attracted interest from the space&lt;br /&gt;industry. Most satellites today use these multi-junction cells.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Reaching 40 percent efficiency helps further President Bush's Solar&lt;br /&gt;America Initiative (SAI) goals, which aims to win nationwide&lt;br /&gt;acceptance of clean solar energy technologies by 2015. By then, it is&lt;br /&gt;intended that America will have enough solar energy systems installed&lt;br /&gt;to provide power to one to two million homes, at a cost of 5 to 10&lt;br /&gt;cents per kilowatt/hour. The SAI is also key component of President&lt;br /&gt;Bush's Advanced Energy Initiative, which provides a 22 percent&lt;br /&gt;increase in research and development funding at DOE and seeks to&lt;br /&gt;reduce our dependence on foreign sources of oil by changing the way&lt;br /&gt;we power our cars, homes and businesses.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;For more information, visit the Solar America Initiative website at:&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://www.eere.energy.gov/solar/solar_america/"&gt;http://www.eere. energy.gov/ solar/solar_ america/.&lt;/a&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-116561067829743538?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/116561067829743538/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=116561067829743538' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/116561067829743538'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/116561067829743538'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2006/12/new-efficiency-records.html' title='New Efficiency Records'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-116543604579435264</id><published>2006-12-06T12:14:00.000-08:00</published><updated>2006-12-06T12:14:06.296-08:00</updated><title type='text'>Is the USA prepared for a USSR ttype of collapse?</title><content type='html'>&lt;div style="margin-left: 30px;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-family:Arial,Helvetica;font-size:+1;"&gt;&lt;i&gt;&lt;b&gt;Is the USA prepared for a USSR ttype of collapse?&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;i&gt;Published on 4 Dec 2006 by &lt;a target="_new" href="http://www.energybulletin.net/23259.html"&gt;Energy Bulletin&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/i&gt;&lt;i&gt; Archived on 4 Dec 2006.&lt;/i&gt;&lt;br /&gt;         &lt;h1&gt;Closing the 'Collapse Gap': the USSR was better prepared for peak oil than the US&lt;/h1&gt;                  &lt;p&gt;&lt;b&gt;by Dmitry Orlov&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/p&gt;              &lt;div&gt;                   &lt;table align="right" bgcolor="#ffffff" border="0" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="0" width="172"&gt;               &lt;tbody&gt;&lt;tr&gt;                 &lt;td&gt;&lt;h3&gt;RELATED NEWS:&lt;/h3&gt;    &lt;p&gt; &lt;a href="http://energybulletin.net/18586.html"&gt;Healing Crisis...&lt;/a&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt; &lt;a href="http://energybulletin.net/23252.html"&gt;Peak oil - Dec 3...&lt;/a&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt; &lt;a href="http://energybulletin.net/22839.html"&gt;Christmas Eve 2050: Q&amp;A...&lt;/a&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt; &lt;a href="http://energybulletin.net/3917.html"&gt;Energy and Human Evolution...&lt;/a&gt; &lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt; &lt;a href="http://energybulletin.net/22963.html"&gt;Oregon vs global warming...&lt;/a&gt; &lt;/p&gt;                       &lt;/td&gt;               &lt;/tr&gt;                   &lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;               &lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;img alt="" src="http://energybulletin.net/image/uploads/23259/MScan1.png" border="" width="400" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt;Good evening, ladies and gentlemen. I am not an expert or a scholar or an activist. I am more of an eye-witness. I watched the Soviet Union collapse, and I have tried to put my observations into a concise message. I will leave it up to you to decide just how urgent a message it is.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;My talk tonight is about the lack of collapse-preparedness here in the United States. I will compare it with the situation in the Soviet Union, prior to its collapse. The rhetorical device I am going to use is the "Collapse Gap" – to go along with the Nuclear Gap, and the Space Gap, and various other superpower gaps that were fashionable during the Cold War.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a name="cutid1"&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;div class="ljcut" text="Read more... ( good comparison )"&gt;&lt;br /&gt; &lt;img alt="" src="http://energybulletin.net/image/uploads/23259/MScan2.png" border="" width="580" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Slide [2] The subject of economic collapse is generally a sad one. But I am an optimistic, cheerful sort of person, and I believe that, with a bit of preparation, such events can be taken in stride. As you can probably surmise, I am actually rather keen on observing economic collapses. Perhaps when I am really old, all collapses will start looking the same to me, but I am not at that point yet.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;And this next one certainly has me intrigued. From what I've seen and read, it seems that there is a fair chance that the U.S. economy will collapse sometime within the foreseeable future. It also would seem that we won't be particularly well-prepared for it. As things stand, the U.S. economy is poised to perform something like a disappearing act. And so I am eager to put my observations of the Soviet collapse to good use.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt; &lt;img alt="" src="http://energybulletin.net/image/uploads/23259/MScan3.png" border="" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Slide [3] I anticipate that some people will react rather badly to having their country compared to the USSR. I would like to assure you that the Soviet people would have reacted similarly, had the United States collapsed first. Feelings aside, here are two 20th century superpowers, who wanted more or less the same things – things like technological progress, economic growth, full employment, and world domination – but they disagreed about the methods. And they obtained similar results – each had a good run, intimidated the whole planet, and kept the other scared. Each eventually went bankrupt.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt; &lt;img alt="" src="http://energybulletin.net/image/uploads/23259/MScan4.png" border="" width="580" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Slide [4] The USA and the USSR were evenly matched in many categories, but let me just mention four.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Soviet manned space program is alive and well under Russian management, and now offers first-ever space charters. The Americans have been hitching rides on the Soyuz while their remaining spaceships sit in the shop.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The arms race has not produced a clear winner, and that is excellent news, because Mutual Assured Destruction remains in effect. Russia still has more nuclear warheads than the US, and has supersonic cruise missile technology that can penetrate any missile shield, especially a nonexistent one.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Jails Race once showed the Soviets with a decisive lead, thanks to their innovative GULAG program. But they gradually fell behind, and in the end the Jails Race has been won by the Americans, with the highest percentage of people in jail ever.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Hated Evil Empire Race is also finally being won by the Americans. It's easy now that they don't have anyone to compete against.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt; &lt;img alt="" src="http://energybulletin.net/image/uploads/23259/MScan5.png" border="" width="580" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Slide [5] Continuing with our list of superpower similarities, many of the problems that sunk the Soviet Union are now endangering the United States as well. Such as a huge, well-equipped, very expensive military, with no clear mission, bogged down in fighting Muslim insurgents. Such as energy shortfalls linked to peaking oil production. Such as a persistently unfavorable trade balance, resulting in runaway foreign debt. Add to that a delusional self-image, an inflexible ideology, and an unresponsive political system.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt; &lt;img alt="" src="http://energybulletin.net/image/uploads/23259/MScan6.png" border="" width="580" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Slide [6] An economic collapse is amazing to observe, and very interesting if described accurately and in detail. A general description tends to fall short of the mark, but let me try. An economic arrangement can continue for quite some time after it becomes untenable, through sheer inertia. But at some point a tide of broken promises and invalidated assumptions sweeps it all out to sea. One such untenable arrangement rests on the notion that it is possible to perpetually borrow more and more money from abroad, to pay for more and more energy imports, while the price of these imports continues to double every few years. Free money with which to buy energy equals free energy, and free energy does not occur in nature. This must therefore be a transient condition. When the flow of energy snaps back toward equilibrium, much of the US economy will be forced to shut down.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt; &lt;img alt="" src="http://energybulletin.net/image/uploads/23259/MScan7.png" border="" width="580" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Slide [7] I've described what happened to Russia in some detail in one of my articles, which is available on &lt;a target="_blank" href="http://survivingpeakoil.com/article.php?id=soviet_lessons"&gt;SurvivingPeakOil.com&lt;/a&gt;. I don't see why what happens to the United States should be entirely dissimilar, at least in general terms. The specifics will be different, and we will get to them in a moment. We should certainly expect shortages of fuel, food, medicine, and countless consumer items, outages of electricity, gas, and water, breakdowns in transportation systems and other infrastructure, hyperinflation, widespread shutdowns and mass layoffs, along with a lot of despair, confusion, violence, and lawlessness. We definitely should not expect any grand rescue plans, innovative technology programs, or miracles of social cohesion.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt; &lt;img alt="" src="http://energybulletin.net/image/uploads/23259/MScan8.png" border="" width="580" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Slide [8] When faced with such developments, some people are quick to realize what it is they have to do to survive, and start doing these things, generally without anyone's permission. A sort of economy emerges, completely informal, and often semi-criminal. It revolves around liquidating, and recycling, the remains of the old economy. It is based on direct access to resources, and the threat of force, rather than ownership or legal authority. People who have a problem with this way of doing things, quickly find themselves out of the game.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;These are the generalities. Now let's look at some specifics.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt; &lt;img alt="" src="http://energybulletin.net/image/uploads/23259/MScan9.png" border="" width="580" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Slide [9] One important element of collapse-preparedness is making sure that you don't need a functioning economy to keep a roof over your head. In the Soviet Union, all housing belonged to the government, which made it available directly to the people. Since all housing was also built by the government, it was only built in places that the government could service using public transportation. After the collapse, almost everyone managed to keep their place.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;In the United States, very few people own their place of residence free and clear, and even they need an income to pay real estate taxes. People without an income face homelessness. When the economy collapses, very few people will continue to have an income, so homelessness will become rampant. Add to that the car-dependent nature of most suburbs, and what you will get is mass migrations of homeless people toward city centers.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt; &lt;img alt="" src="http://energybulletin.net/image/uploads/23259/MScan10.png" border="" width="580" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Slide [10] Soviet public transportation was more or less all there was, but there was plenty of it. There were also a few private cars, but so few that gasoline rationing and shortages were mostly inconsequential. All of this public infrastructure was designed to be almost infinitely maintainable, and continued to run even as the rest of the economy collapsed.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The population of the United States is almost entirely car-dependent, and relies on markets that control oil import, refining, and distribution. They also rely on continuous public investment in road construction and repair. The cars themselves require a steady stream of imported parts, and are not designed to last very long. When these intricately interconnected systems stop functioning, much of the population will find itself stranded.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt; &lt;img alt="" src="http://energybulletin.net/image/uploads/23259/MScan11.png" border="" width="580" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Slide [11] Economic collapse affects public sector employment almost as much as private sector employment, eventually. Because government bureaucracies tend to be slow to act, they collapse more slowly. Also, because state-owned enterprises tend to be inefficient, and stockpile inventory, there is plenty of it left over, for the employees to take home, and use in barter. Most Soviet employment was in the public sector, and this gave people some time to think of what to do next.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Private enterprises tend to be much more efficient at many things. Such laying off their people, shutting their doors, and liquidating their assets. Since most employment in the United States is in the private sector, we should expect the transition to permanent unemployment to be quite abrupt for most people.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt; &lt;img alt="" src="http://energybulletin.net/image/uploads/23259/MScan12.png" border="" width="580" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Slide [12] When confronting hardship, people usually fall back on their families for support. The Soviet Union experienced chronic housing shortages, which often resulted in three generations living together under one roof. This didn't make them happy, but at least they were used to each other. The usual expectation was that they would stick it out together, come what may.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;In the United States, families tend to be atomized, spread out over several states. They sometimes have trouble tolerating each other when they come together for Thanksgiving, or Christmas, even during the best of times. They might find it difficult to get along, in bad times. There is already too much loneliness in this country, and I doubt that economic collapse will cure it.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt; &lt;img alt="" src="http://energybulletin.net/image/uploads/23259/MScan13.png" border="" width="580" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Slide [13] To keep evil at bay, Americans require money. In an economic collapse, there is usually hyperinflation, which wipes out savings. There is also rampant unemployment, which wipes out incomes. The result is a population that is largely penniless.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;In the Soviet Union, very little could be obtained for money. It was treated as tokens rather than as wealth, and was shared among friends. Many things – housing and transportation among them – were either free or almost free.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt; &lt;img alt="" src="http://energybulletin.net/image/uploads/23259/MScan14.png" border="" width="580" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Slide [14] Soviet consumer products were always an object of derision – refrigerators that kept the house warm – and the food, and so on. You'd be lucky if you got one at all, and it would be up to you to make it work once you got it home. But once you got it to work, it would become a priceless family heirloom, handed down from generation to generation, sturdy, and almost infinitely maintainable.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;In the United States, you often hear that something "is not worth fixing." This is enough to make a Russian see red. I once heard of an elderly Russian who became irate when a hardware store in Boston wouldn't sell him replacement bedsprings: "People are throwing away perfectly good mattresses, how am I supposed to fix them?"&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Economic collapse tends to shut down both local production and imports, and so it is vitally important that anything you own wears out slowly, and that you can fix it yourself if it breaks. Soviet-made stuff generally wore incredibly hard. The Chinese-made stuff you can get around here – much less so.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt; &lt;img alt="" src="http://energybulletin.net/image/uploads/23259/MScan15.png" border="" width="580" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Slide [15] The Soviet agricultural sector was notoriously inefficient. Many people grew and gathered their own food even in relatively prosperous times. There were food warehouses in every city, stocked according to a government allocation scheme. There were very few restaurants, and most families cooked and ate at home. Shopping was rather labor-intensive, and involved carrying heavy loads. Sometimes it resembled hunting – stalking that elusive piece of meat lurking behind some store counter. So the people were well-prepared for what came next.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;In the United States, most people get their food from a supermarket, which is supplied from far away using refrigerated diesel trucks. Many people don't even bother to shop and just eat fast food. When people do cook, they rarely cook from scratch. This is all very unhealthy, and the effect on the nation's girth, is visible, clear across the parking lot. A lot of the people, who just waddle to and from their cars, seem unprepared for what comes next. If they suddenly had to start living like the Russians, they would blow out their knees.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt; &lt;img alt="" src="http://energybulletin.net/image/uploads/23259/MScan16.png" border="" width="580" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Slide [16] The Soviet government threw resources at immunization programs, infectious disease control, and basic care. It directly operated a system of state-owned clinics, hospitals, and sanatoriums. People with fatal ailments or chronic conditions often had reason to complain, and had to pay for private care – if they had the money.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;In the United States, medicine is for profit. People seems to think nothing of this fact. There are really very few fields of endeavor to which Americans would deny the profit motive. The problem is, once the economy is removed, so is the profit, along with the services it once helped to motivate.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt; &lt;img alt="" src="http://energybulletin.net/image/uploads/23259/MScan17.png" border="" width="580" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Slide [17] The Soviet education system was generally quite excellent. It produced an overwhelmingly literate population and many great specialists. The education was free at all levels, but higher education sometimes paid a stipend, and often provided room and board. The educational system held together quite well after the economy collapsed. The problem was that the graduates had no jobs to look forward to upon graduation. Many of them lost their way.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The higher education system in the United States is good at many things – government and industrial research, team sports, vocational training... Primary and secondary education fails to achieve in 12 years what Soviet schools generally achieved in 8. The massive scale and expense of maintaining these institutions is likely to prove too much for the post-collapse environment. Illiteracy is already a problem in the United States, and we should expect it to get a lot worse.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt; &lt;img alt="" src="http://energybulletin.net/image/uploads/23259/MScan18.png" border="" width="580" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Slide [18] The Soviet Union did not need to import energy. The production and distribution system faltered, but never collapsed. Price controls kept the lights on even as hyperinflation raged.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The term "market failure" seems to fit the energy situation in the United States. Free markets develop some pernicious characteristics when there are shortages of key commodities. During World War II, the United States government understood this, and successfully rationed many things, from gasoline to bicycle parts. But that was a long time ago. Since then, the inviolability of free markets has become an article of faith.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt; &lt;img alt="" src="http://energybulletin.net/image/uploads/23259/MScan19.png" border="" width="580" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Slide [19] My conclusion is that the Soviet Union was much better-prepared for economic collapse than the United States is.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;I have left out two important superpower asymmetries, because they don't have anything to do with collapse-preparedness. Some countries are simply luckier than others. But I will mention them, for the sake of completeness.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;In terms of racial and ethnic composition, the United States resembles Yugoslavia more than it resembles Russia, so we shouldn't expect it to be as peaceful as Russia was, following the collapse. Ethnically mixed societies are fragile and have a tendency to explode.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;In terms of religion, the Soviet Union was relatively free of apocalyptic doomsday cults. Very few people there wished for a planet-sized atomic fireball to herald the second coming of their savior. This was indeed a blessing.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt; &lt;img alt="" src="http://energybulletin.net/image/uploads/23259/MScan20.png" border="" width="580" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Slide [20] One area in which I cannot discern any Collapse Gap is national politics. The ideologies may be different, but the blind adherence to them couldn't be more similar.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;It is certainly more fun to watch two Capitalist parties go at each other than just having the one Communist party to vote for. The things they fight over in public are generally symbolic little tokens of social policy, chosen for ease of public posturing. The Communist party offered just one bitter pill. The two Capitalist parties offer a choice of two placebos. The latest innovation is the photo finish election, where each party buys 50% of the vote, and the result is pulled out of statistical noise, like a rabbit out of a hat.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The American way of dealing with dissent and with protest is certainly more advanced: why imprison dissidents when you can just let them shout into the wind to their heart's content?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The American approach to bookkeeping is more subtle and nuanced than the Soviet. Why make a state secret of some statistic, when you can just distort it, in obscure ways? Here's a simple example: inflation is "controlled" by substituting hamburger for steak, in order to minimize increases to Social Security payments.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt; &lt;img alt="" src="http://energybulletin.net/image/uploads/23259/MScan21.png" border="" width="580" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Slide [21] Many people expend a lot of energy protesting against their irresponsible, unresponsive government. It seems like a terrible waste of time, considering how ineffectual their protests are. Is it enough of a consolation for them to be able to read about their efforts in the foreign press? I think that they would feel better if they tuned out the politicians, the way the politicians tune them out. It's as easy as turning off the television set. If they try it, they will probably observe that nothing about their lives has changed, nothing at all, except maybe their mood has improved. They might also find that they have more time and energy to devote to more important things.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt; &lt;img alt="" src="http://energybulletin.net/image/uploads/23259/MScan22.png" border="" width="580" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Slide [22] I will now sketch out some approaches, realistic and otherwise, to closing the Collapse Gap. My little list of approaches might seem a bit glib, but keep in mind that this is a very difficult problem. In fact, it's important to keep in mind that not all problems have solutions. I can promise you that we will not solve this problem tonight. What I will try to do is to shed some light on it from several angles.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt; &lt;img alt="" src="http://energybulletin.net/image/uploads/23259/MScan23.png" border="" width="580" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Slide [23] Many people rail against the unresponsiveness and irresponsibility of the government. They often say things like "What is needed is..." plus the name of some big, successful government project from the glorious past – the Marshall Plan, the Manhattan Project, the Apollo program. But there is nothing in the history books about a government preparing for collapse. Gorbachev's "Perestroika" is an example of a government trying to avert or delay collapse. It probably helped speed it along.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt; &lt;img alt="" src="http://energybulletin.net/image/uploads/23259/MScan24.png" border="" width="580" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Slide [24] There are some things that I would like the government to take care of in preparation for collapse. I am particularly concerned about all the radioactive and toxic installations, stockpiles, and dumps. Future generations are unlikely to able to control them, especially if global warming puts them underwater. There is enough of this muck sitting around to kill off most of us. I am also worried about soldiers getting stranded overseas – abandoning one's soldiers is among the most shameful things a country can do. Overseas military bases should be dismantled, and the troops repatriated. I'd like to see the huge prison population whittled away in a controlled manner, ahead of time, instead of in a chaotic general amnesty. Lastly, I think that this farce with debts that will never be repaid, has gone on long enough. Wiping the slate clean will give society time to readjust. So, you see, I am not asking for any miracles. Although, if any of these things do get done, I would consider it a miracle.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt; &lt;img alt="" src="http://energybulletin.net/image/uploads/23259/MScan25.png" border="" width="580" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Slide [25] A private sector solution is not impossible; just very, very unlikely. Certain Soviet state enterprises were basically states within states. They controlled what amounted to an entire economic system, and could go on even without the larger economy. They kept to this arrangement even after they were privatized. They drove Western management consultants mad, with their endless kindergartens, retirement homes, laundries, and free clinics. These weren't part of their core competency, you see. They needed to divest and to streamline their operations. The Western management gurus overlooked the most important thing: the core competency of these enterprises lay in their ability to survive economic collapse. Maybe the young geniuses at Google can wrap their heads around this one, but I doubt that their stockholders will.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt; &lt;img alt="" src="http://energybulletin.net/image/uploads/23259/MScan26.png" border="" width="580" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Slide [26] It's important to understand that the Soviet Union achieved collapse-preparedness inadvertently, and not because of the success of some crash program. Economic collapse has a way of turning economic negatives into positives. The last thing we want is a perfectly functioning, growing, prosperous economy that suddenly collapses one day, and leaves everybody in the lurch. It is not necessary for us to embrace the tenets of command economy and central planning to match the Soviet lackluster performance in this area. We have our own methods, that are working almost as well. I call them "boondoggles." They are solutions to problems that cause more problems than they solve.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Just look around you, and you will see boondoggles sprouting up everywhere, in every field of endeavor: we have military boondoggles like Iraq, financial boondoggles like the doomed retirement system, medical boondoggles like private health insurance, legal boondoggles like the intellectual property system. The combined weight of all these boondoggles is slowly but surely pushing us all down. If it pushes us down far enough, then economic collapse, when it arrives, will be like falling out of a ground floor window. We just have to help this process along, or at least not interfere with it. So if somebody comes to you and says "I want to make a boondoggle that runs on hydrogen" – by all means encourage him! It's not as good as a boondoggle that burns money directly, but it's a step in the right direction.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt; &lt;img alt="" src="http://energybulletin.net/image/uploads/23259/MScan27.png" border="" width="580" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Slide [27] Certain types of mainstream economic behavior are not prudent on a personal level, and are also counterproductive to bridging the Collapse Gap. Any behavior that might result in continued economic growth and prosperity is counterproductive: the higher you jump, the harder you land. It is traumatic to go from having a big retirement fund to having no retirement fund because of a market crash. It is also traumatic to go from a high income to little or no income. If, on top of that, you have kept yourself incredibly busy, and suddenly have nothing to do, then you will really be in rough shape.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Economic collapse is about the worst possible time for someone to suffer a nervous breakdown, yet this is what often happens. The people who are most at risk psychologically are successful middle-aged men. When their career is suddenly over, their savings are gone, and their property worthless, much of their sense of self-worth is gone as well. They tend to drink themselves to death and commit suicide in disproportionate numbers. Since they tend to be the most experienced and capable people, this is a staggering loss to society.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;If the economy, and your place within it, is really important to you, you will be really hurt when it goes away. You can cultivate an attitude of studied indifference, but it has to be more than just a conceit. You have to develop the lifestyle and the habits and the physical stamina to back it up. It takes a lot of creativity and effort to put together a fulfilling existence on the margins of society. After the collapse, these margins may turn out to be some of the best places to live.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt; &lt;img alt="" src="http://energybulletin.net/image/uploads/23259/MScan28.png" border="" width="580" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Slide [28] I hope that I didn't make it sound as if the Soviet collapse was a walk in the park, because it was really quite awful in many ways. The point that I do want to stress is that when this economy collapses, it is bound to be much worse. Another point I would like to stress is that collapse here is likely to be permanent. The factors that allowed Russia and the other former Soviet republics to recover are not present here.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;In spite of all this, I believe that in every age and circumstance, people can sometimes find not just a means and a reason to survive, but enlightenment, fulfillment, and freedom. If we can find them even after the economy collapses, then why not start looking for them now?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Thank you.&lt;i&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Editorial Notes ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Energy Bulletin published an excerpt from this talk yesterday (Dec 3), and Dmitry reported that his small webserver was overwhelmed with requests. Although it's good news that his writing has such a following, PLEASE don't access the document on his web server (Club Orlov). The same content is here, on Energy Bulletin's heavier duty webserver.&lt;br /&gt;---&lt;br /&gt;Orlov has many penetrating insights, couched in his dark humor. Particularly striking is the strong case he makes that the peoples of the USSR were actually better prepared for a collapse because&lt;/i&gt;&lt;ul&gt;&lt;li&gt;&lt;i&gt;they had learned to be more self-reliant &lt;/i&gt;&lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt;&lt;i&gt;many crucial functions (like housing and transportation) were taken care of by the state sector which was more stable than a private sector would have been.&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/li&gt;&lt;/ul&gt;&lt;i&gt; Orlov's cynicism about the possibility of intelligent government action was probably justified in the case of the Soviet Union, but I think it would be a tragic mistake to abandon efforts to change the direction of the U.S. The Soviets had little chance to make democratic institutions work. We do have that chance.&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;i&gt; &lt;/i&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-116543604579435264?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/116543604579435264/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=116543604579435264' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/116543604579435264'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/116543604579435264'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2006/12/is-usa-prepared-for-ussr-ttype-of.html' title='Is the USA prepared for a USSR ttype of collapse?'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-116259007341768465</id><published>2006-11-03T13:41:00.000-08:00</published><updated>2006-11-12T10:51:13.260-08:00</updated><title type='text'>The titanic is unsinkable right? party on fools... party on...</title><content type='html'>&lt;h1&gt;GAO Chief Warns Economic Disaster Looms&lt;/h1&gt;     &lt;b&gt;By MATT CRENSON&lt;/b&gt;&lt;br /&gt;    Oct 28, 12:32 PM (ET)          &lt;p&gt;AUSTIN, Texas (AP) - David M. Walker sure talks like he's running for office. "This is about the future of our country, our kids and grandkids," the comptroller general of the United States warns a packed hall at Austin's historic Driskill Hotel. "We the people have to rise up to make sure things get changed." &lt;/p&gt;          &lt;p&gt;But Walker doesn't want, or need, your vote this November. He already has a job as head of the Government Accountability Office, an investigative arm of Congress that audits and evaluates the performance of the federal government. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;Basically, that makes Walker the nation's accountant-in-chief. And the accountant-in-chief's professional opinion is that the American public needs to tell Washington it's time to steer the nation off the path to financial ruin. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;From the hustings and the airwaves this campaign season, America's political class can be heard debating Capitol Hill sex scandals, the wisdom of the war in Iraq and which party is tougher on terror. Democrats and Republicans talk of cutting taxes to make life easier for the American people. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;What they don't talk about is a dirty little secret everyone in Washington knows, or at least should. The vast majority of economists and budget analysts agree: The ship of state is on a disastrous course, and will founder on the reefs of economic disaster if nothing is done to correct it. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;There's a good reason politicians don't like to talk about the nation's long-term fiscal prospects. The subject is short on political theatrics and long on complicated economics, scary graphs and very big numbers. It reveals serious problems and offers no easy solutions. Anybody who wanted to deal with it seriously would have to talk about raising taxes and cutting benefits, nasty nostrums that might doom any candidate who prescribed them. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;"There's no sexiness to it," laments Leita Hart-Fanta, an accountant who has just heard Walker's pitch. She suggests recruiting a trusted celebrity - maybe Oprah - to sell fiscal responsibility to the American people. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;Walker doesn't want to make balancing the federal government's books sexy - he just wants to make it politically palatable. He has committed to touring the nation through the 2008 elections, talking to anybody who will listen about the fiscal black hole Washington has dug itself, the "demographic tsunami" that will come when the baby boom generation begins retiring and the recklessness of borrowing money from foreign lenders to pay for the operation of the U.S. government. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;"He can speak forthrightly and independently because his job is not in jeopardy if he tells the truth," said Isabel V. Sawhill, a senior fellow in economic studies at the Brookings Institution. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;Walker can talk in public about the nation's impending fiscal crisis because he has one of the most secure jobs in Washington. As comptroller general of the United States - basically, the government's chief accountant - he is serving a 15-year term that runs through 2013. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;This year Walker has spoken to the Union League Club of Chicago and the Rotary Club of Atlanta, the Sons of the American Revolution and the World Future Society. But the backbone of his campaign has been the Fiscal Wake-up Tour, a traveling roadshow of economists and budget analysts who share Walker's concern for the nation's budgetary future. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;"You can't solve a problem until the majority of the people believe you have a problem that needs to be solved," Walker says.      &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;Polls suggest that Americans have only a vague sense of their government's long-term fiscal prospects. When pollsters ask Americans to name the most important problem facing America today - as a CBS News/New York Times poll of 1,131 Americans did in September - issues such as the war in Iraq, terrorism, jobs and the economy are most frequently mentioned. The deficit doesn't even crack the top 10. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;Yet on the rare occasions that pollsters ask directly about the deficit, at least some people appear to recognize it as a problem. In a survey of 807 Americans last year by the Pew Center for the People and the Press, 42 percent of respondents said reducing the deficit should be a top priority; another 38 percent said it was important but a lower priority. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;So the majority of the public appears to agree with Walker that the deficit is a serious problem, but only when they're made to think about it. Walker's challenge is to get people not just to think about it, but to pressure politicians to make the hard choices that are needed to keep the situation from spiraling out of control. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;To show that the looming fiscal crisis is not a partisan issue, he brings along economists and budget analysts from across the political spectrum. In Austin, he's accompanied by Diane Lim Rogers, a liberal economist from the Brookings Institution, and Alison Acosta Fraser, director of the Roe Institute for Economic Policy Studies at the Heritage Foundation, a conservative think tank. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;"We all agree on what the choices are and what the numbers are," Fraser says.      &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;Their basic message is this: If the United States government conducts business as usual over the next few decades, a national debt that is already $8.5 trillion could reach $46 trillion or more, adjusted for inflation. That's almost as much as the total net worth of every person in America - Bill Gates, Warren Buffett and those Google guys included. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;A hole that big could paralyze the U.S. economy; according to some projections, just the interest payments on a debt that big would be as much as all the taxes the government collects today. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;And every year that nothing is done about it, Walker says, the problem grows by $2 trillion to $3 trillion.      &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;People who remember Ross Perot's rants in the 1992 presidential election may think of the federal debt as a problem of the past. But it never really went away after Perot made it an issue, it only took a breather. The federal government actually produced a surplus for a few years during the 1990s, thanks to a booming economy and fiscal restraint imposed by laws that were passed early in the decade. And though the federal debt has grown in dollar terms since 2001, it hasn't grown dramatically relative to the size of the economy. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;But that's about to change, thanks to the country's three big entitlement programs - Social Security, Medicaid and especially Medicare. Medicaid and Medicare have grown progressively more expensive as the cost of health care has dramatically outpaced inflation over the past 30 years, a trend that is expected to continue for at least another decade or two. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;And with the first baby boomers becoming eligible for Social Security in 2008 and for Medicare in 2011, the expenses of those two programs are about to increase dramatically due to demographic pressures. People are also living longer, which makes any program that provides benefits to retirees more expensive. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;Medicare already costs four times as much as it did in 1970, measured as a percentage of the nation's gross domestic product. It currently comprises 13 percent of federal spending; by 2030, the Congressional Budget Office projects it will consume nearly a quarter of the budget. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;Economists Jagadeesh Gokhale of the American Enterprise Institute and Kent Smetters of the University of Pennsylvania have an even scarier way of looking at Medicare. Their method calculates the program's long-term fiscal shortfall - the annual difference between its dedicated revenues and costs - over time. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;By 2030 they calculate Medicare will be about $5 trillion in the hole, measured in 2004 dollars. By 2080, the fiscal imbalance will have risen to $25 trillion. And when you project the gap out to an infinite time horizon, it reaches $60 trillion. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;Medicare so dominates the nation's fiscal future that some economists believe health care reform, rather than budget measures, is the best way to attack the problem. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;"Obviously health care is a mess," says Dean Baker, a liberal economist at the Center for Economic and Policy Research, a Washington think tank. "No one's been willing to touch it, but that's what I see as front and center." &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;Social Security is a much less serious problem. The program currently pays for itself with a 12.4 percent payroll tax, and even produces a surplus that the government raids every year to pay other bills. But Social Security will begin to run deficits during the next century, and ultimately would need an infusion of $8 trillion if the government planned to keep its promises to every beneficiary. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;Calculations by Boston University economist Lawrence Kotlikoff indicate that closing those gaps - $8 trillion for Social Security, many times that for Medicare - and paying off the existing deficit would require either an immediate doubling of personal and corporate income taxes, a two-thirds cut in Social Security and Medicare benefits, or some combination of the two. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;Why is America so fiscally unprepared for the next century? Like many of its citizens, the United States has spent the last few years racking up debt instead of saving for the future. Foreign lenders - primarily the central banks of China, Japan and other big U.S. trading partners - have been eager to lend the government money at low interest rates, making the current $8.5-trillion deficit about as painful as a big balance on a zero-percent credit card. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;In her part of the fiscal wake-up tour presentation, Rogers tries to explain why that's a bad thing. For one thing, even when rates are low a bigger deficit means a greater portion of each tax dollar goes to interest payments rather than useful programs. And because foreigners now hold so much of the federal government's debt, those interest payments increasingly go overseas rather than to U.S. investors. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;More serious is the possibility that foreign lenders might lose their enthusiasm for lending money to the United States. Because treasury bills are sold at auction, that would mean paying higher interest rates in the future. And it wouldn't just be the government's problem. All interest rates would rise, making mortgages, car payments and student loans costlier, too. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;A modest rise in interest rates wouldn't necessarily be a bad thing, Rogers said. America's consumers have as much of a borrowing problem as their government does, so higher rates could moderate overconsumption and encourage consumer saving. But a big jump in interest rates could cause economic catastrophe. Some economists even predict the government would resort to printing money to pay off its debt, a risky strategy that could lead to runaway inflation. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;Macroeconomic meltdown is probably preventable, says Anjan Thakor, a professor of finance at Washington University in St. Louis. But to keep it at bay, he said, the government is essentially going to have to renegotiate some of the promises it has made to its citizens, probably by some combination of tax increases and benefit cuts. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;But there's no way to avoid what Rogers considers the worst result of racking up a big deficit - the outrage of making our children and grandchildren repay the debts of their elders. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;"It's an unfair burden for future generations," she says.      &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;You'd think young people would be riled up over this issue, since they're the ones who will foot the bill when they're out in the working world. But students take more interest in issues like the Iraq war and gay marriage than the federal government's finances, says Emma Vernon, a member of the University of Texas Young Democrats. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;"It's not something that can fire people up," she says.      &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;The current political climate doesn't help. Washington tends to keep its fiscal house in better order when one party controls Congress and the other is in the White House, says Sawhill. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;"It's kind of a paradoxical result. Your commonsense logic would tell you if one party is in control of everything they should be able to take action," Sawhill says. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;But the last six years of Republican rule have produced tax cuts, record spending increases and a Medicare prescription drug plan that has been widely criticized as fiscally unsound. When President Clinton faced a Republican Congress during the 1990s, spending limits and other legislative tools helped produce a surplus. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;So maybe a solution is at hand.      &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;"We're likely to have at least partially divided government again," Sawhill said, referring to predictions that the Democrats will capture the House, and possibly the Senate, in next month's elections. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;But Walker isn't optimistic that the government will be able to tackle its fiscal challenges so soon.      &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;p&gt;"Realistically what we hope to accomplish through the fiscal wake-up tour is ensure that any serious candidate for the presidency in 2008 will be forced to deal with the issue," he says. "The best we're going to get in the next couple of years is to slow the bleeding." &lt;/p&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-116259007341768465?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/116259007341768465/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=116259007341768465' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/116259007341768465'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/116259007341768465'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2006/11/titanic-is-unsinkable-right-party-on.html' title='The titanic is unsinkable right? party on fools... party on...'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-116171720199912026</id><published>2006-10-24T12:13:00.000-07:00</published><updated>2006-10-30T14:20:16.843-08:00</updated><title type='text'>Concentrating PV</title><content type='html'>&lt;table style="width: 189px; height: 13015px;" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"&gt;&lt;tbody&gt;&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td colspan="2"&gt;&lt;div id="articlecopy"&gt;&lt;!--TITLE   Time to concentrate --&gt; &lt;!--SUBTITLE  Why the PV world is starting to focus on concentrating technologies  --&gt; &lt;!--AUTHORS   Jackie Jones --&gt; &lt;h3&gt;Why the PV world is starting to focus on concentrating technologies &lt;/h3&gt; &lt;div style="padding: 3px; float: right; text-align: right; width: 250px;"&gt;    &lt;p&gt;&lt;img style="width: 174px; height: 144px;" src="http://www.earthscan.co.uk/news/images/REW_055_jones_closeup35kw.jpg" alt="Close up of a 35 kW concentrating solar unit" border="0" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span style="color: rgb(180, 181, 218);"&gt;&lt;i&gt;Close up of a 35 kW concentrating solar unit&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span style="font-size:78%;"&gt;AMONIX &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/span&gt; &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;/div&gt; &lt;div style="text-align: left;"&gt;&lt;span style="font-size:100%;"&gt;&lt;b&gt;&lt;i&gt;&lt;span style="color: rgb(102, 102, 102);"&gt;Concentrating light on a solar cell    greatly increases its output. With improvements in technology now starting to    offer efficiencies of 38%, the concentrating PV sector says that US$3/W systems    are just a couple of years away. &lt;a href="http://www.earthscan.co.uk/news/article/mps/UAN/486/v/3/sp/#author"&gt;Jackie Jones&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style="font-size:100%;"&gt;&lt;b&gt;&lt;i&gt;&lt;span style="color: rgb(102, 102, 102);"&gt; reports.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;The last two to three years have seen an upsurge of interest in concentrating    PV technology, as participants at the International Conference on Solar Electric    Concentrators held in Arizona, US, in May, those at this year's European PV    Solar Energy Conference and Exhibition in Barcelona, Spain, and at the upcoming    PV Solar Energy Conference and Exhibition (Shanghai, China, October) will all    testify. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;In 2004 just 1 MW of new concentrating PV was installed, yet there are 18 MW    in the pipeline for 2006. Several new companies are bringing products to market,    while industry giants Sharp and Isofotón are developing concentrating PV systems.    What is the appeal? And why now? Is this budding branch of the industry about    to flower at last? &lt;/p&gt; &lt;h3&gt;WHY NOW? &lt;/h3&gt; &lt;p&gt;Concentrating PV technologies have existed since the late 1970s, and concentrator    cells with over 30% efficiency were first described in 1989. If they have not    yet penetrated the market, what makes them likely to do so now? &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;When NREL's Bob McConnell and Lewis Fraas of JX Crystals answered this question    back in 2002 [REW September-October 2002], they identified two reasons. The    first was that the main market for CPV was going to be utilities, but that the    market had not yet taken off because system performance and reliability had    gone unproven. By 2002, however, systems were finally providing valuable data    and experience. Also in 2002, Arizona Public Services (APS) reported that the    installed cost of its 300 kW system had been $6000/kW - acceptable for a demonstration    plant but by no means competitive. At that time the sector predicted that it    could achieve a price of $1500/kW by 2010 given sufficient support for a demonstration    programme. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Three years on, the industry is talking about an installed system cost of $3000/kW    'within two to five years'. 'Concentrating solar electric power is on the cusp    of delivering on its promise of low-cost, reliable, solar-generated electricity    at a cost that is competitive with mainstream electric generation systems,'Vahan    Garboushian, president of Amonix, Inc. of California, announced this Spring,    adding that 'with the advent of multijunction solar cells, PV concentrator power    generation at $3 per watt is imminent in the coming few years'. Herb Hayden,    Solar Programme Co-ordinator at APS, said in May: 'Our goal is to install PV    concentrator systems at $3/W, which can happen soon at production rates of 10    MW per year. Once that happens, higher volumes are readily achievable.' &lt;/p&gt; &lt;table align="center" border="1" bordercolor="#990000" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" width="80%"&gt;   &lt;tbody&gt;&lt;tr&gt;     &lt;td&gt;       &lt;h3 align="center"&gt;CONCENTRATING PV - THE BASIC PRINCIPLE &lt;/h3&gt;       &lt;p&gt;The principle of concentrating PV (CPV) is quite straightforward. In          the familiar 'flat-plate' PV modules, a large area of photovoltaic material          (usually crystalline silicon) is exposed to the maximum naturally occurring          sunlight. Normally, that maximum is achieved by installing the modules          at an incline optimized for the latitude, but sometimes they are installed          on moving frames that can follow, or track, the sun as it passes across          the sky. The PV cells perform under direct (sunny) or diffuse (cloudy)          radiation conditions, but output is at its highest when the maximum amount          of light falls on the cells (assuming there are no detrimental effects          from overheating). The amount of light that falls on a cloudless day (this          varies according to location and season) is regarded as one 'sun', which          is defined as 1000 W/m2. &lt;/p&gt;       &lt;p&gt;Concentrating PV systems use lenses or mirrors to focus sunlight onto          a small amount of photovoltaic material. (Usually the Fresnel lens is          used, a flat lens that uses a miniature sawtooth design to focus incoming          light. When the teeth are arranged in concentric circles, light is focused          at a central point. When the teeth run in straight rows, the lenses act          as line-focusing concentrators.) The concentration ratio can vary: if          the light that falls on 100 cm&lt;span style="font-size:78%;"&gt;&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/span&gt; is focused          onto 1 cm&lt;span style="font-size:78%;"&gt;&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/span&gt; of PV material, the ratio          is considered as 100 suns. If the light from 10 cm&lt;span style="font-size:78%;"&gt;&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/span&gt;          is focused onto that 1 cm&lt;span style="font-size:78%;"&gt;&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/span&gt;, the ratio          is 10 suns. If the concentrated sunlight light falls onto a well designed          CPV cell, the cell will produce at least 100 times, or 10 times, the electricity.          (In fact the conversion efficiency of cells increases under concentrated          light, so the correlation is likely to be greater than one-to-one, depending          on the design of the solar cell and the material used to make it).&lt;span style="font-size:78%;"&gt;&lt;sup&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.earthscan.co.uk/news/article/mps/UAN/486/v/3/sp/#notes"&gt;1&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/span&gt;          While commercial concentration ratios are around 200 to 300 suns, as much          as 1000 suns is expected for future concentrating PV systems. &lt;/p&gt;       &lt;p&gt;As most CPV systems use only direct solar radiation, these installations          almost always involve trackers (rotating about either one axis or two          axes and therefore called one-axis or two-axis tracking) to keep the sun          focused on the solar cell. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;/td&gt;   &lt;/tr&gt; &lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt; &lt;p&gt;10 MW may sound far-off for a sector that installed just 1 MW in 2004. Yet    as mentioned earlier, 18 MW is due for installation in 2006, according to Bob    McConnell,&lt;span style="font-size:78%;"&gt;&lt;sup&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.earthscan.co.uk/news/article/mps/UAN/486/v/3/sp/#notes"&gt;1&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/span&gt; Senior Project    Leader at NREL's National Center for Photovoltaics in the US, and convenor of    the IEC Working Group for CPV Standards. If that growth curve can be continued,    the sector would look very healthy indeed. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;h3&gt;BENEFITS OF CPV &lt;/h3&gt; &lt;p&gt;First among the main benefits of concentrating PV is its efficient use of solar    cell material.For a given electrical output, concentrator systems use a far    smaller amount of (expensive) semi-conductor or solar cell material than flat-plate    systems. The large areas of mirrors or lenses used to provide optical concentration    are inexpensive compared with large areas of solar material, so this can keep    system costs low. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;The manufacturing process is lower-tech than for flat-plate modules - Bob McConnell    likens it to automobile manufacturing - and it can be scaled up relatively easily    and economically, giving concentrating technology a further advantage, says    sector insiders.Table 1 shows an estimation of manufacturing investment costs.  &lt;/p&gt; &lt;table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" width="80%"&gt;   &lt;tbody&gt;&lt;tr&gt;      &lt;td colspan="2"&gt;&lt;span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 102);"&gt;&lt;b&gt;TABLE 1. Investment required for        a 100 MW/year manufacturing plant&lt;span style="font-size:78%;"&gt;&lt;sup&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.earthscan.co.uk/news/article/mps/UAN/486/v/3/sp/#notes"&gt;1&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/td&gt;   &lt;/tr&gt;   &lt;tr bg="" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 128);"&gt;      &lt;td&gt;&lt;b&gt;&lt;span style="color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"&gt;Technology&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/td&gt;     &lt;td&gt;&lt;b&gt;&lt;span style="color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"&gt;Cost (US$ million)&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/td&gt;   &lt;/tr&gt;   &lt;tr bgcolor="#dde7e7"&gt;      &lt;td&gt;Crystalline silicon PV&lt;/td&gt;     &lt;td&gt;150-300&lt;/td&gt;   &lt;/tr&gt;   &lt;tr bgcolor="#b9d5d5"&gt;      &lt;td&gt;Thin-film PV&lt;/td&gt;     &lt;td&gt;150-300&lt;/td&gt;   &lt;/tr&gt;   &lt;tr bgcolor="#dde7e7"&gt;      &lt;td&gt;Concentrating PV &lt;/td&gt;     &lt;td&gt;30-50 &lt;/td&gt;   &lt;/tr&gt; &lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt; &lt;h4&gt;Cell options &lt;/h4&gt; &lt;p&gt;Most of the systems on, or entering, the market use crystalline silicon cells.With    silicon supplies short, and prices high in the current climate, the ability    to offer high output from a small quantity of silicon is extremely attractive.  &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Concentrating PV also offers the option of shifting away from crystalline silicon    to use the very high-efficiency, nonsilicon cells. Such cells have mostly been    developed primarily for space applications.These multi-junction III-V cells    (which use elements from columns 3 and 5 of the periodic table, typically gallium    and arsenide) are prohibitively expensive for extensive use in large flat panel    arrays. Concentrator systems however, because they require smaller and fewer    cells, can afford the higher cost of multi-junction cells and yet still be manufactured    at lower dollar-per-watt cost than flat plate modules. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;h3&gt;WHERE DOES CPV WORK BEST? &lt;/h3&gt; &lt;p&gt;CPV systems function best under clear sky, direct-sun conditions. Early installations    were made in Saudi Arabia, Arizona and at Alice Springs, Australia, and while    desert conditions are not essential, the technology is likely to make its market    entry in countries or locations with a high solar resource.The Spanish market    - currently a key growth market for photovoltaics thanks to its feed-in tariff    - is demonstrating keen interest in CPV, as the activity around exhibitors at    the 20th PV-SEC in Barcelona, such as new market entrant Whitfield Solar, demonstrated.  &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;In terms of application, the future of CPV has always seemed most likely to    be in ground-mounted, utility-scale plants. If high-efficiency cells are used,    such systems can be highly efficient and provide utilities with that all-important    low cost per watt. There are economy-of-scale benefits for large systems; in    hot climates, systems can generate significant amounts of power precisely when    demand peaks due to the air-conditioning load. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;And while a few years back utility-scale PV was largely untried, in the space    of the last two years, in response to Germany's (and more recently, Spain's)    market incentives, multi-megawatt ground-mounted flat-plate PV installations    have swiftly become the norm.Thanks to their acceptance and the experience gained    with them, the pathway for CPV is considerably easier than it would have been    a few years ago. What is more, some of these systems use trackers, previously    regarded as a 'weakness' of CPV systems. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Concentrator systems using trackers were until recently not really considered    suitable for rooftop use, due to issues of weight and lack of ability to withstand    windy conditions. However, some systems that are designed for rooftop use are    now close to market. Some use concentration factors as low as 10 suns, while    others use higher concentrations. While some manufacturers have chosen not to    include trackers, in order to achieve a slimmer profile,other new products are    fully tracking while remaining remarkably easy to handle. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;h3&gt;SOME OF THE TECHNICAL CHALLENGES AND DEVELOPMENTS &lt;/h3&gt; &lt;p&gt;In theory, solar concentration ratios of several thousand times are possible.    In practice, higher concentrations raise a range of technical issues, including    the need for accurate and reliable tracking, adequate heat sinking and cell    technology capable of converting the energy efficiently at this intensity. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;h4&gt;'Supercells' - increasing efficiency &lt;/h4&gt; &lt;p&gt;Steady and impressive improvements in cell efficiency are feeding through to    the concentrating PV sector. Some of the current CPV technologies are already    making use of crystalline silicon cells with efficiencies as high as 26%.Though    most of the multi-junction, high-efficiency cells were developed for the space    sector, cell manufacturers are working closely with concentrating PV researchers    and manufacturers in optimizing cells for concentrating terrestrial applications    (see box on efficiency gains, overleaf). &lt;/p&gt; &lt;table align="center" border="1" bordercolor="#990000" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" width="70%"&gt;   &lt;tbody&gt;&lt;tr&gt;     &lt;td&gt;       &lt;h3 align="center"&gt;EFFICIENCY GAINS  &lt;/h3&gt;       &lt;table border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" width="100%"&gt;         &lt;tbody&gt;&lt;tr&gt;            &lt;td width="20%"&gt;2004&lt;/td&gt;           &lt;td width="80%"&gt;              &lt;p&gt;- Spectrolab announced 37.3% efficiency &lt;/p&gt;           &lt;/td&gt;         &lt;/tr&gt;         &lt;tr&gt;            &lt;td width="20%"&gt;Apr 2005&lt;/td&gt;           &lt;td width="80%"&gt;              &lt;p&gt;- Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems (ISE) in Freiburg,                Germany, announced 'European' record 35.2% efficiency for a cell                measuring 0.031 cm&lt;span style="font-size:78%;"&gt;&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/span&gt; Consists of gallium indium                phosphide, gallium arsenide, and germanium. Suitable for use in                terrestrial concentrator modules &lt;/p&gt;           &lt;/td&gt;         &lt;/tr&gt;         &lt;tr&gt;            &lt;td width="20%"&gt;May 2005&lt;/td&gt;           &lt;td width="80%"&gt;              &lt;p&gt;- NREL announced a new solar cell efficiency record 37.9% at 10                suns &lt;/p&gt;           &lt;/td&gt;         &lt;/tr&gt;         &lt;tr&gt;            &lt;td width="20%"&gt;June 2005&lt;/td&gt;           &lt;td width="80%"&gt;              &lt;p&gt;- Spectrolab announced 39% efficiency at 236 suns &lt;/p&gt;           &lt;/td&gt;         &lt;/tr&gt;       &lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;            &lt;/td&gt;   &lt;/tr&gt; &lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt; &lt;p&gt;Though greater concentration can raise efficiency, the concentration ratio    needs to be optimized for each particular cell type (it is not possible for    just any cell to function well when exposed to several hundred suns). Beyond    a certain concentration, efficiency starts to drop off due to increased resistance    losses within the cells. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Because of the smaller amount of photovoltaic material involved in CPV, cell    efficiency improvements should be able to be quickly taken up by marketable    products. Dave Holland, CEO of Solar Systems Australia has said that the 'new    solar cell technology from Spectrolab will enable us to upgrade our systems    from 24 kW to 35 kW - a 46% increase in output'. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p align="center"&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;img src="http://www.earthscan.co.uk/news/images/REW_055_jones_3large35kwsystems.jpg" height="80" width="450" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;i&gt;&lt;span style="color: rgb(180, 181, 218);"&gt;FROM LEFT TO RIGHT Three large 35 kW systems used by    the Arizona Public Service l Microdish made by Concentrating Technologies using    Spectrolab solar cells in Arizona l A series of 20 kW Solar Systems dishes in    Alice Springs Australia &lt;span style="font-size:78%;"&gt;NREL&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt; &lt;/i&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;However, utilizing high-efficiency cells is not quite as simple as just swapping    one cell for another and going to market. One important issue to bear in mind    is that in terrestrial applications the cells need to be able to cope with environmental    conditions that they do not face in space, particularly varying levels of humidity.    Thus the cell manufacturers have to put their product through extensive trials    to measure performance under varying conditions, over time. CPV manufacturers    aim to be able to offer system lifetimes of at least 20 years, so they, and    investors, need confidence that the cells will operate well over this timespan.  &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;According to NREL researcher Sarah Kurtz,&lt;span style="font-size:78%;"&gt;&lt;sup&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.earthscan.co.uk/news/article/mps/UAN/486/v/3/sp/#notes"&gt;2&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/span&gt;    the current production capacity for high-efficiency cells is approximately 500    kW/year (at one sun).However,concentrated at 1000 suns, this capacity becomes    about 500 MW/year. She estimates that the cost of a cell at 1000 suns could    be approximately $0.10/W. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;The possibility of using the super-efficient solar cells developed for space    applications is a source of increasing excitement.NREL's High Performance Project    plans to achieve over 41% cell and 33% system efficiencies.Many multi-junction    approaches are undeveloped,according to Sarah Kurtz (such as lattice mismatched    materials, mechanical stacks, voltage matched), while 5- and 6-junction approaches    are being explored.&lt;span style="font-size:78%;"&gt;&lt;sup&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.earthscan.co.uk/news/article/mps/UAN/486/v/3/sp/#notes"&gt;2&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;h4&gt;Keeping on track &lt;/h4&gt; &lt;p&gt;CPV needs to be reliable if investors and utilities will buy into it. As Whitfield    Solar points out, accurate and reliable tracking of the sun is needed in highly    concentrating devices to maintain the focus of the solar energy on the cell    and yield the best results - good systems can accurately to within a tenth of    a degree. Secondary optical lenses can help minimize tracking accuracy requirements    at higher concentration ratios. However, to achieve a low-cost system, the price    of the tracker technology has to be kept low.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt; Some critics have said that the need for moving parts is a reason why CPV    can never be reliable. However, this myth is disputed by Sarah Kurtz of NREL,&lt;span style="font-size:78%;"&gt;&lt;sup&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.earthscan.co.uk/news/article/mps/UAN/486/v/3/sp/#notes"&gt;2&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/span&gt;    who comments that there have been very few tracker problems on the existing    CPV installations - and that in fact inverters have proved more problematic    than trackers. &lt;/p&gt;    &lt;div style="padding: 3px; float: right; text-align: right; width: 250px;"&gt;    &lt;p&gt;&lt;img src="http://www.earthscan.co.uk/news/images/REW_055_jones_100kwinstallationGlandale.jpg" alt="A 100 kW installation in Glendale, Arizona" border="0" height="152" width="250" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span style="color: rgb(180, 181, 218);"&gt;&lt;i&gt;A 100 kW installation in Glendale, Arizona&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span style="font-size:78%;"&gt;AMONIX&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;     &lt;/div&gt;    &lt;p&gt;All the same, it is important to introduce and maintain high standards across    this new sector, and Bob McConnell explains that industry standards for PV trackers    are currently being worked on by the IEC International Electrotechnical Commission    (see box on Standards, p. 90). Sarah Kurtz cautions that new CPV companies 'almost    always underestimate the investment needed to achieve a reliable product.'&lt;span style="font-size:78%;"&gt;&lt;sup&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.earthscan.co.uk/news/article/mps/UAN/486/v/3/sp/#notes"&gt;2&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/span&gt;  &lt;/p&gt;  &lt;h4&gt;Limits of the lens &lt;/h4&gt; &lt;p&gt;No lens can transmit 100% of the incident light - the best that lenses can    transmit is about 95%, and in practice, most transmit about 85%. In addition,    concentrators cannot focus diffuse sunlight,which makes up about 20%-30% of    the solar radiation available on a clear day (but this depends strongly on the    location).&lt;span style="font-size:78%;"&gt;&lt;sup&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.earthscan.co.uk/news/article/mps/UAN/486/v/3/sp/#notes"&gt;3&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/span&gt; To help simplify    things, IEC standards are under development for CPV systems using lenses or    mirrors. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;h4&gt;Coping with overheating &lt;/h4&gt; &lt;p&gt;High concentration ratios can potentially introduce a heat problem. Because    cell efficiencies decrease as temperatures increase, and higher temperatures    also threaten the long-term stability of solar cells, the cells must be kept    as cool as possible. However, this has not been problematic in concentrator    systems - maintenance of temperatures is generally achieved by using a highly    conductive material such as copper directly behind the cells to spread the heat,    and some systems use air cooling.According to a rule of thumb, a heat spreader    area is needed equal to the aperture area. In practice, concentrator cells operate    in the same temperature range as flat plate PV cells. In the case of dish concentrators    (such as the Australian Solar Systems design) the cells can actually be cooled    to lower temperatures. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;h4&gt;Minimizing electrical resistance without shadowing &lt;/h4&gt; &lt;p&gt;A key design consideration is minimizing electrical resistance where the electrical    contacts carry off the current generated by the cell.Additional fingers in the    contacting electrical grid help achieve low resistance, but their shadow can    prevent some light from reaching the cell. One solution to the problems of resistance    and shadowing is prismatic covers that direct incoming light to the parts of    the cell's surface that lie between the metal fingers of the electrical contact    grid. Another solution is a the back-contact cell, which differs from conventional    cells in that both the positive and negative electrical contacts are on the    back. Placing all the electrical contacts on the back of the cell eliminates    power losses from shadowing, but it also requires high-quality silicon material.&lt;span style="font-size:78%;"&gt;&lt;sup&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.earthscan.co.uk/news/article/mps/UAN/486/v/3/sp/#notes"&gt;3&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;h3&gt;WHO IS INVOLVED IN CPV? &lt;/h3&gt; &lt;p&gt;The number of companies offering or developing CPV is on the increase. At least    two of the new market entrants are spin-offs from research institutes that have    been working in the field for many years.Among the current players are: &lt;/p&gt; &lt;h4&gt;Amonix &lt;/h4&gt; &lt;p&gt;With more than 15 years in the sector, and five generations of CPV prototypes,    California-based Amonix has installed systems in Arizona, and in other southwestern    US states. (Arizona has a mandate that 1.1% of retail electricity has to come    from renewable sources, and that 60% of that must be from solar electric technologies;Arizona    Public Services has contracted with Amonix for over 0.5 MW of installation.)  &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Amonix uses point-focus Fresnel lenses, and its own 26% efficiency silicon    cells, with a concentration ratio of 250 suns. Amonix manufactures a 5 kW 'Megamodule'    that fits on a flat bed truck.Typically 5-7 Megamodules make up a single unit    providing 25-35 kW. This summer, Amonix announced a technology transfer agreement    with Guascor of Spain (see below - Guascor). &lt;/p&gt; &lt;h4&gt;Concentrating Technologies, Inc. &lt;/h4&gt; &lt;p&gt;This company is working with Spectrolab on the first gridconnected concentrator    system that utilizes Spectrolab's GaInP/GaAs/Ge triple-junction solar cells    (see below - Spectrolab). &lt;/p&gt; &lt;h4&gt;Concentrix Solar GmbH &lt;/h4&gt; &lt;div style="padding: 3px; float: right; text-align: right; width: 250px;"&gt;    &lt;p&gt;&lt;img src="http://www.earthscan.co.uk/news/images/REW_055_jones_concentratingPVinstallationBarcelona.jpg" alt="A 100 kW installation in Glendale, Arizona" border="0" height="171" width="250" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span style="color: rgb(180, 181, 218);"&gt;&lt;i&gt;A concentrating PV installation in Barcelona. Spain      is expected to be a prime market for this technology&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span style="font-size:78%;"&gt;WHITFIELD SOLAR&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;     &lt;/div&gt; &lt;p&gt;Based in Freiburg, Germany, this company is a spin-off from Freiburg's ISE    (Institute for Solar Energy), and has developed a product it plans to market    under the name Flatcon (Fresnel lens all-glass tandem cell concentrator). Fresnel    lenses concentrate light at 500 suns onto the 2 mm&lt;span style="font-size:78%;"&gt;&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/span&gt; solar    cells, using copper as a heat sink. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;During initial outdoor testing, module efficiencies of 22.7% were achieved    using tandem cells with efficiencies of 32%. If higher quality triple cells    are applied, module efficiency will rise to above 25%, and may reach as high    as 28%, according to MD Hansjörg Lerchenmüller.&lt;span style="font-size:78%;"&gt;&lt;sup&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.earthscan.co.uk/news/article/mps/UAN/486/v/3/sp/#notes"&gt;4&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/span&gt;  &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Currently, Concentrix plans to build a pilot production line in Freiburg by    the end of 2005. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;h4&gt;Entech &lt;/h4&gt; &lt;p&gt;Entech is based in Keller,Texas.An early player in concentrating PV,Entech    has several NASA projects and has a new product for terrestrial use in development.  &lt;/p&gt; &lt;h4&gt;Guascor &lt;/h4&gt; &lt;p&gt;The Guascor Group is investing in new manufacturing plant for CPV for the Spanish    market, following an arrangement made with Amonix earlier this year. Guascor    Fotón is constructing a factory near Bilbao, Spain, to assemble the systems,    apparently using solar cell assemblies shipped from Amonix's California plant.    It is understood that Guascor plans to manufacture and install 10 MW of CPV    in Spain during 2006, and the capacity of the factory is expected to expand    the following year. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;h4&gt;Isofotón &lt;/h4&gt; &lt;p&gt;Spanish manufacturerIsofotón is working on the industrialization of a high-concentration    PV product, which it aims to bring to market at an installed system price of    under E2.5/kW ($3.07 at current exchange rates). Demonstration projects will    be installed during 2006.The product uses a highefficiency III-V cell, and a    novel optics solution that consists of two lenses (TIR-R), manufactured by injection    moulding. The top lens works by total internal reflection (TIR),and the bottom    one by refraction (R). According to Isofotón,&lt;span style="font-size:78%;"&gt;&lt;sup&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.earthscan.co.uk/news/article/mps/UAN/486/v/3/sp/#notes"&gt;5&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/span&gt;    this solution is able to keep an almost fixed spectral optical efficiency,which    is advantageous when using multijunction III-V cells. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Isofotón's product is designed for high-volume production. The company says&lt;span style="font-size:78%;"&gt;&lt;sup&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.earthscan.co.uk/news/article/mps/UAN/486/v/3/sp/#notes"&gt;5&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/span&gt;    that tentatively, a level of 10 MW/year is the starting point in terms of achieving    a low enough production cost and good price for customers. A production line    producing 7000 cell/lens units per hour (three-shift scenario) is under development.&lt;span style="font-size:78%;"&gt;&lt;sup&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.earthscan.co.uk/news/article/mps/UAN/486/v/3/sp/#notes"&gt;5&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/span&gt;    This scale of production would require the manufacture of at least 1000 trackers/year.  &lt;/p&gt; &lt;h4&gt;MicroPV Inc. &lt;/h4&gt; &lt;p&gt;With its manufacturing facility in China, and its sales office in the US, this    company presented its product, which uses dome Fresnel lenses, and air-cooling,    at the European PV-SEC in Barcelona. Cell efficiency is approximately 15% according    to company information.The 1 kW systems has a module area of 9 m&lt;span style="font-size:78%;"&gt;&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/span&gt;,    and has two-axis tracking. It is claimed to be suitable for rooftop or utility    scale applications. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;table align="center" border="1" bordercolor="#990000" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" width="70%"&gt;   &lt;tbody&gt;&lt;tr&gt;     &lt;td&gt;       &lt;h3 align="center"&gt;NON-UTILITY APPLICATIONS &lt;/h3&gt;       &lt;p&gt;Although the primary market for concentrating PV is likely to be utility-scale,          the technology is also being targeted at offgrid applications, such as          water pumping and purification and - potentially - hydrogen production.        &lt;/p&gt;       &lt;p&gt;For example, Solar Systems Pty of Australia is marketing its product          for Remote Area Power Supply (such as village systems), as a substitute          for diesel fuel in hybrid grids, and for water pumping and purification.        &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;/td&gt;   &lt;/tr&gt; &lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt; &lt;h4&gt;Sharp Solar and Daido Steel &lt;/h4&gt; &lt;p&gt;PV giant Sharp is working with Daido Steel of Japan on a 500-suns 'Sharp Light    Concentrator' system based on a 7 x 7 mm gallium arsenide cell,which it presented    at this year's Intersolar (Freiburg, June). The company says the system, which    uses Fresnel lenses, enables the cell to achieve a conversion efficiency rate    of up to 40%. The concentrator system has 90 cells, and uses axis tracking.  &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;According to Daido Steel, which is manufacturing the systems in co-operation    with Sharp, the domed lenses are optically more efficient than typical Fresnel    lenses. They are manufactured using injection-moulding techniques (by a separate    company, Daido Metal).The ability to manufacture a high-quality lens at low    cost is regarded as something of a breakthrough for the technology. Daido has    also developed a lightweight tracker, and a semi-transparent CPV device that    has been designed for use in plant breeding. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;h4&gt;Solar Systems Pty &lt;/h4&gt; &lt;p&gt;Based in Melbourne, Australia, this company's dish concentrator product, the    CS500, uses SunPower cells which have 26% efficiency under concentrated light.    Dish units can be combined to give a range of sizes, from 20 kW to multimegawatt    installations.Amongst its existing installations is a 14-module plant at White    Cliffs, New South Wales.&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt; Solar Systems has recently put in a number of installations on aboriginal    lands in Australia, and plans to install over 5 MW in 2006. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;h4&gt;Spectrolab Inc. &lt;/h4&gt; &lt;p&gt;Based in Sylmar, California, this Boeing subsidiary has been providing solar    cells to the space industry for 40 years. It makes its high-efficiency multi-junction    solar cells available for use in high-concentration PV modules. Spectrolab has    continued to produce world-record concentrator cells - 34.2% in 2001, 36.9%    in 2003 and 37.3% in 2004. In June 2005 the company announced 39% efficiency    at 236 suns. Just as important was that (terrestrial) field testing over the    course of one year had shown no degradation in the solar cells. Spectrolab is    currently being funded by NREL to produce a 41% concentrator cell under the    High Performance Photovoltaics programme. &lt;/p&gt;    &lt;div style="padding: 3px; float: right; text-align: right; width: 250px;"&gt;    &lt;p&gt;&lt;img src="http://www.earthscan.co.uk/news/images/REW_055_jones_cpvmodules.jpg" alt="CPV modules mounted on Daido Steel’s two-axis tracker" border="0" height="164" width="250" /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;span style="color: rgb(180, 181, 218);"&gt;&lt;i&gt;CPV modules mounted on Daido Steel's two-axis tracker&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span style="color: rgb(180, 181, 218);"&gt;&lt;i&gt;&lt;span style="font-size:78%;"&gt;DAIDO STEEL&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;   &lt;/div&gt; &lt;p&gt;Spectrolab is working with many concentrator PV companies around the world.    It has teamed up with Concentrating Technologies, Inc for a demonstration at    the Arizona Public Service (APS) to develop and deploy the first grid-connected    concentrator system that utilizes Spectrolab's GaInP/GaAs/Ge triple-junction    solar cells. This module is currently operational at the APS Solar Test and    Research (STAR) facility in Tempe,Arizona.The data collected from this module    shows reliable performance of the solar cells under 500-sun concentration. Additional    reliability data have been collected by NREL on the Spectrolab cells working    in a Fresnel lens module, which has been operational since April 2004. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;h4&gt;Whitfield Solar &lt;/h4&gt; &lt;p&gt;A newcomer in commercial terms, this UK-based company was set up in April 2004    to develop and manufacture a CPV system resulting from 30 years of research    at the University of Reading under the direction of Dr George Whitfield. The    new company presented its prototype low-cost two-axis solar concentrator for    the first time at the European PV Solar Energy Conference in Barcelona in June    this year. CEO Clive Weatherby reported that the company had met with an overwhelming    response. The design philosophy has been to produce the most effective, yet    lowest-cost, system with minimal material usage, minimal silicon usage, and    ease of manufacture.The resulting product is suitable for ground or roof installation,    and features intelligent two-axis tracking to within 0.1 degrees. Each unit    measures approximately 4 m x 1 m, with 24 troughs of 1 m dimension per unit,    in series. The product uses Fresnel lenses and silicon cells. Current electrical    performance is 250 Wp, with 300 Wp expected for 2006, and 350 Wp for 2007. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;h3&gt;ACHIEVING LOWER COSTS &lt;/h3&gt; &lt;p&gt;The big driver for concentrating PV - as for the industry as a whole - is bringing    down the cost per watt installed, and ultimately per kWh produced. A rule-of-thumb    cost for flat-plate PV is an installed system cost of $5-6/W. The CPV industry    is looking at installed systems at $3/W before long. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;table align="center" border="1" bordercolor="#990000" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" width="70%"&gt;   &lt;tbody&gt;&lt;tr&gt;     &lt;td&gt;       &lt;h3 align="center"&gt;THE IMPORTANCE OF STANDARDS &lt;/h3&gt;       &lt;p&gt;For concentrator products to be successful in the marketplace, three          issues are critical: high performance, low cost and long-germ stability.          Standards help ensure this. Robert McConnell of NREL is Convenor for the          working group within the International Electrotechnical Commission (IEC)          developing standards for CPV. The goal is to develop an agreed-upon set          of tests that 'stress' samples of CPV systems by cycling them between          extreme temperatures (110°C and -40°C), exposing them to high humidity,          high voltages and currents, and assessing them for impact of wind and          hail. &lt;/p&gt;       &lt;p&gt;McConnell is 'personally committed to the importance of standards to          help companies bring their products to market', he explains. Industry          standards provide manufacturers, developers and investors with confidence          in products and their performance over time.&lt;/p&gt;       &lt;p&gt; IEEE standards for CPV were introduced in the US in 2001, IEC standards          are under development for CPV using lenses or mirrors, and industry standards          for PV trackers are also being currently worked on by the IEC. &lt;/p&gt;     &lt;/td&gt;   &lt;/tr&gt; &lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt; &lt;p&gt;Because of the 'multiplier effect' of using concentrated light, the performance    benefits of high efficiency cells are enhanced in CPV; according to calculations    by Sarah Kurtz of NREL,&lt;span style="font-size:78%;"&gt;&lt;sup&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.earthscan.co.uk/news/article/mps/UAN/486/v/3/sp/#notes"&gt;2&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/span&gt;    the system cost can fall dramatically as cell efficiency climbs (see Figure    1). &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Comparisons of the cost CPV in relation to flat plate go out of date quickly,    as the cost of flat plate PV has been falling steadily. So it is important to    compare the expected price of matured CPV (expected to be near $3 per watt in    2-3 years) with the projected price of flat plate PV in those 2-3 years - possibly    $3-4. Hansjörg Lerchenmüller of Concentrix explains that several independent    cost assessments (including his own company's calculations) have resulted in    something around Û2.5/W ($3.07 at current exchange rate) for concentrating systems    with III-V cells. He also points out the importance of using a realistic economic    lifetime and interest rate when making levelized electricity cost calculations.    20-25 years and 5%-8% would seem more reasonable than some of the ambitious    figures sometimes used, he warns. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p align="center"&gt;&lt;img src="http://www.earthscan.co.uk/news/images/REW_055_jones_fig1.jpg" height="363" width="400" /&gt;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;h3&gt;THE STAGE IS SET &lt;/h3&gt; &lt;p&gt;For decades, concentrating PV has been not so much waitingin the wings, as    workingin the wings. Now it looks as if technical advances and market opportunities    are coming together for CPV to play a big role at last.People will be watching    its performance in the marketplace closely. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;b&gt;&lt;a name="author"&gt;&lt;/a&gt;Jackie Jones&lt;/b&gt; is Editor of &lt;i&gt;Renewable Energy World&lt;/i&gt;&lt;br /&gt;e-mail: &lt;a href="mailto:%20rew@jxj.com"&gt;rew@jxj.com&lt;/a&gt; &lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;With thanks to Prof. Bob McConnell and Dr Roger Bentley for their advice and    support. &lt;/p&gt; &lt;h3&gt;&lt;a name="notes"&gt;&lt;/a&gt;REFERENCES &lt;/h3&gt; &lt;ol&gt;&lt;li&gt; McConnell, R. and Symko-Davies, M. PV FAQs. (2005) What's new in concentrating      PV?US Department of Energy. EERE. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Kurtz, Sarah (NREL). Presentation at World Renewable Energy Congress, Denver,      Colorado, US, 31 August 2004 &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; US Department of Energy, Factsheet from the Solar Energy Technologies Program      EERE website. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; ISE Fraunhofer/Concentrix press release &lt;/li&gt;&lt;li&gt; Diaz, V., Alonso, J., Alvarez, J.L., Mateos, C. (Isofotón) Presentation      at the 3rd International Solar Concentrators Conference in Scottsdale, Arizona,      US, in May 2005. &lt;/li&gt;&lt;/ol&gt; &lt;/div&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;&lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-116171720199912026?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/116171720199912026/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=116171720199912026' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/116171720199912026'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/116171720199912026'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2006/10/concentrating-pv.html' title='Concentrating PV'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-116058293569309658</id><published>2006-10-11T09:08:00.000-07:00</published><updated>2006-10-11T09:08:55.696-07:00</updated><title type='text'>Energy Payback from solar cells</title><content type='html'>Energy Payback of Roof Mounted Photovoltaic Cells&lt;br /&gt;by Colin Bankier and Steve Gale&lt;br /&gt;RELATED NEWS:&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;A little village in the sun... Solutions and sustainability&lt;br /&gt;Abstract&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The energy payback time of photovoltaic (PV) cells has been a contentious issue for more than a decade. Some studies claim that the joule content of the energy and materials that were put into the process of making the PV cell, will be equaled by the joule content of the electrical output of the cell within a few years of operation. Other studies claim that the useful electrical energy output of the PV cell will never exceed the total amount of useful energy contained within all the inputs of the manufacturing, installation and lifetime operating processes of the PV cell. These studies are often loosely referred to as measuring the energy "payback" of the PV cell. This study undertook a literature review to determine the key assumptions and considerations included in PV Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) modelling. In addition, other forms of modeling such as embodied energy (EE) analysis have also been considered. This review has concluded that the likely energy payback of a typical domestic sized rooftop grid connected PV cell is approximately four years. In addition, it was estimated that larger utility PV cell power stations would have a much longer energy payback period.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Previously published estimates for the energy requirements of present day crystalline silicon modules vary considerably. As noted in Alsema (2000), these differences can partly be explained by different assumptions for process parameters, but they mostly appear to arise from estimates for the silicon purification and the crystallisation process. The majority of silicon solar cells are made from off-spec material rejected by the micro-electronics industry, which introduces the question of whether to include process steps required for micro-electronics wafers in the energy requirements for the PV modules. In order to attempt to draw some conclusions as to the actual energy payback time of PV cells, several previous studies were reviewed. A summary of their findings is presented in table 1. These studies are all based on different assumptions, and evaluate different types of modules, and therefore cannot be directly compared. Some key assumptions of each study are shown. Please refer to the original articles for more detailed information.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;http://www.leonardo-energy.org/drupal/node/895&lt;br /&gt;http://www.energybulletin.net/17219.html&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-116058293569309658?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/116058293569309658/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=116058293569309658' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/116058293569309658'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/116058293569309658'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2006/10/energy-payback-from-solar-cells_11.html' title='Energy Payback from solar cells'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-116058279084946163</id><published>2006-10-11T09:06:00.000-07:00</published><updated>2006-10-11T09:12:20.543-07:00</updated><title type='text'>Solar energy of the Month Club</title><content type='html'>Did you KNOW that if you invest 200 per month into panels, in 3 years you waould have invested 7,200 USD and that will buy you about ~ 1600 watts of Solar power.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;in 6 years time, you would be almost energy independant with 3200 watts of power....&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;for a measly 14,000 USD.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;we spend WAY more than that on cars and fuel to get to work every day.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;invest your money in the future!&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;mel&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-116058279084946163?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/116058279084946163/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=116058279084946163' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/116058279084946163'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/116058279084946163'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2006/10/solar-energy-of-month-club.html' title='Solar energy of the Month Club'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-115959404518643093</id><published>2006-09-29T22:27:00.000-07:00</published><updated>2006-10-03T00:56:20.070-07:00</updated><title type='text'>Universal Constitution</title><content type='html'>PREAMBLE:&lt;br /&gt;The purpose of conscious life is to live creatively, happily, and eternally.&lt;br /&gt;The function of government is to provide the conditions that let individuals fulfill that purpose. &lt;br /&gt;The Constitution of the Universe guarantees those conditions by forbidding the use of initiatory force, fraud, or coercion by any person or group against the individual.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;ARTICLE I:&lt;br /&gt;No person, group of persons, or government shall initiate force, threat of force, or fraud against an individual’s self or property.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;ARTICLE II:&lt;br /&gt;Force is morally and legally justified only for the protection of Article I.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;ARTICLE III:&lt;br /&gt;No exceptions shall exist for Articles I &amp; II.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;PREMISE:&lt;br /&gt;1. Values exist only relative to life.&lt;br /&gt;2. Whatever benefits a living organism is of value to that organism.&lt;br /&gt;3. Whatever harms a living organism is of disvalue to that organism.&lt;br /&gt;4. The value by which all values are measured is conscious life.&lt;br /&gt;5. Morals apply only to conscious individuals.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Immoral actions arise (1) from individuals who harm others through force, fraud, or coercion and (2) from individuals who usurp, degrade, or destroy values created or earned by others.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Moral actions arise from individuals who honestly create and competitively provide values to benefit self, others, and society.&lt;br /&gt;THESE MAY BE SAD TIMES BUT WE DO NOT HAVE TO LEAD SAD LIVES..."&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-115959404518643093?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/115959404518643093/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=115959404518643093' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/115959404518643093'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/115959404518643093'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2006/09/universal-constitution.html' title='Universal Constitution'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-115930262184157063</id><published>2006-09-26T13:30:00.000-07:00</published><updated>2006-09-26T13:30:21.963-07:00</updated><title type='text'>My Solar VillageOil: Will the Malthusian View Carry the Day?</title><content type='html'>http://www.investorsinsight.com/otb_print.aspx&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;I get some interesting emails.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The above link is to the following article...&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;mel&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;click on the above link to get the graphs and picture...&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt; &lt;br /&gt;Monday, September 25, 2006&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Oil: Will the Malthusian View Carry the Day?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Investors Insight Publishing&lt;br /&gt;Introduction&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Today's "Outside the Box" will be one of the more controversial pieces that I have sent out over the past year. My long-term readers are well aware of my views on oil and energy, yet despite my beliefs, I find it valuable to read thoughts from those who have different views. These challenging view points come from my good friend, the very intelligent and always thought-provoking Charles Gave.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Charles is one of the co-founders of GaveKal, a global investment research and management firm that provides an array of financial services worldwide. They are best known for their study of monetary policy, fiscal policies, secular trends, technical analysis and asset class valuations which they use to form a unique perspective on the relationship between the financial markets and the global economy. In his article, "Oil: Will the Malthusian View Carry the Day?" Charles postulates that the price of oil could fall over the next several years. He defends his position with some teaching on the dynamics of energy, a review of historical cycles, and some thoughts on alternatives. I agree that there will be large energy substations, for which he makes a solid case, but I disagree with his conclusion that the price of oil will permanently drop. I think that the growth of the world GDP and thus the need for energy and oil will offset the energy substitution he outlines.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Charles goes on further to describe a commodity of which has been far less volatile than oil and has never had a down month since 2001 and one in which he thinks has great potential in the future. (I won't spill the beans on what it is just yet.)&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;My aim is that you will broaden your understanding and gain insight as a result of reading a contrarian's perspective. Enjoy this week's Outside the Box.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;John Mauldin, Editor&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;ADVERTISEMENT&lt;br /&gt;EverBank® MarketSafeSM Resource CD available until October 17, 2006.&lt;br /&gt;Are you looking for a way to protect your principal while still taking advantage of the hot commodities market?&lt;br /&gt;- Dow Jones AIG Commodity IndexTM&lt;br /&gt;- 100% principal protection&lt;br /&gt;- Low minimum ($1500)&lt;br /&gt;- FDIC-insured&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Don't miss this opportunity! Visit http://www.everbank.com for more information.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Oil: Will the Malthusian View Carry the Day?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;By Charles Gave&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;There is no doubt that we have been on the wrong side of the great oil bull market. And a number of clients have (rightly) taken us to task for this mistake. After all, oil was one of the more important calls for money managers in the past year. Managers overweight energy (and energy-producing countries such as Russia or Norway) did very well until this spring; managers underweight energy by and large under-performed.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Then in May and June, a number of energy stocks suffered fairly dramatic drops. This came as a surprise to many since oil prices themselves did not drop much. Given that energy stocks make money hand over fist at US$40/bl, why should they fall when oil was at US$70/bl (an increasing number of irritated clients would ask us)? By mid-August, following the Israeli retaliation against Hezbollah and the BP Alaska pipeline problem, oil was making new highs of US$78/bl... but oil service stocks were still down -18% from their mid-May highs. How did this make sense? Was it just that everyone and their dog was long energy stocks/short the commodity and investors just got squeezed? Was it the short-term liquidity squeeze we had discussed in our research - and thus an opportunity to buy more? Or was something bigger afoot?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;It is amazing the difference a short amount of time can make in this business. A few years ago, we could count on one hand clients who, in our regular visits, wanted to talk about energy. In our latest round-the-world journey to meet clients, it felt that oil was the only thing clients wanted to talk about, with a passion that we had not witnessed since the tech-boom days.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Needless to say, given our recent track record on oil, we would do our best to steer the conversation elsewhere... but more often than not, the conversations would end with our clients telling us that we simply "did not get it". The following pages are thus an attempt to lay out what we think we "get" about oil... Or at the very least, what the past 35 years taught us about this very important topic (incidentally, Charles left his cushy investment banking job to start Cecogest in 1973, a few weeks before the Kippur War and first oil shock; not the best of timing!)&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;***&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;1- Energy Sources&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;We need energy to move, heat, or cool ourselves, and our goods. We also need energy to build, store, or destroy, stuff. This energy can come from either:&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;   1. Products that we can store and move around (oil, coal, natural gas...) or,&lt;br /&gt;   2. From electricity&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;In the case of electricity, the technology to store it (namely batteries) is still not very efficient. Moreover, while electricity can, to a certain extent, be moved within a country, it cannot be moved from one continent to the next. Electricity cannot be efficiently stockpiled and it has a limited reach. The main 'storable' and 'movable' sources of energy are thus oil and coal.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2- Energy Uses&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Energy usages are very variable. They depend on weather, seasonality, time of the day, or of the week, holidays, etc... A perfect system of delivery for energy thus implies a stable source, delivering a constant rate of energy production, supplemented by sources to meet the peak, or specific ad hoc, demands.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;In France, the "constant source" is delivered by nuclear power. The 'ad hoc' production is delivered by hydroelectricity and natural gas, coal or oil-fired power plants working at the margin. Given the above, it stands to reason that we should use the "movable" energy to move around, and the rest of the time, we should use electricity. In reality, however, it has not been so. A lot of the "movable" energy (oil, coal, natural gas...) has been used to generate electricity for industry, or heating, or air conditioning...&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;3- The Importance of Marginal Costs&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The reason behind this apparent anomaly has to do with:&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;    * Marginal costs of production&lt;br /&gt;    * Time delays between investments and production&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Until recently, both of these factors favored oil. Indeed, once an oil field is in production, the marginal cash cost of extracting an additional barrel of oil is very low. And the delays between a significant change in the price of energy and new production coming on stream can be extremely long (for example, building a nuclear power plant can take up to ten years).&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The temptation is thus great not to invest in other forms of energy as long as there is excess capacity in oil. This, needless to say, leads, with a remarkable regularity, to periods of booms and busts in energy production.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;4- The Boom and Bust Energy Cycles&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;In the 1970s, oil rose from US$3/bl to US$30/bl in a little under eight years. At the time, the World learnt, at a very high cost (three recessions in the US) that the producers of the marginal supply of oil were not reliable. Following the Kippur War, we saw an embargo against the US and the Netherlands. We then witnessed a revolution in Iran, the emergence of a global terrorism threat (TWA flight hijackings, Munich Olympic games, Iran US embassy hostages... ).&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Given the uncertainty, and the rapid rise in prices, the world went through a massive push towards energy independence (e.g.: French nuclear program), and energy market deregulation (freeing of energy prices in the US). In time, these moves led to a collapse in the price of oil. After oil prices fell, and with a lag, we started to witness the end of the substitution efforts. By the late 1990s, GM was mass-marketing Humvees (though Toyota was working hard on hybrids).&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Unfortunately, over the past few years, the world has had to learn lessons of the 1970s all over again. Empowered by higher oil prices, countries such as Venezuela and Russia which, just a few years ago were considered reliable suppliers have now moved into the camp of the unreliable suppliers (Iran, Nigeria, Iraq...). Terrorism, mostly financed out of oil money, is raging everywhere. Israel is at war again against a well-armed (oil financed) enemy...&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;These geo-political consequences, were, we have to admit, one of the main reasons we turned very bearish on oil a few years ago. Politically and strategically, we believed that the Western World simply could not live with the consequences of expensive oil. And we still believe that, under the double pressure of technology and politics, oil prices will come back down and prove the Malthusians wrong.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;5- Prices, Technology &amp; Transportable Energy&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Few things concentrate the mind as much as the ability to make money. Today, the price of oil is so much above its long-term equilibrium (see graph below) and so far above its average cost of extraction, that few investors aren't trying to capture the excess rent provided, at these levels, by oil prices. The race is on.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;This "excess rent" has now been in place for a few years - or at least long enough for most people to believe that the "excess rent" is a structural phenomenon which is here to stay. And it might. Though, looking at History, it is uncanny how regularly "excess rents" tend to disappear, mostly through the application of new processes, or new technologies.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Let us start by reviewing some of the technologies which might impact 'transportable energy' (and thus oil, the Middle-East, Russia, Venezuela etc...).&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;1- The return of king coal: In WWII, the Germans (who were long coal and short oil) refined processes to make gasoline out of coal. This old process has been perfected and is now a source of energy in South Africa. Why is this important? Because there is more coal in North America or Australia than there is oil in the Middle East. The problems in using coal have historically been a) ecological issues (which can be solved with some money) and b) costs (using/moving coal is not as economic as low oil prices).&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2- The exploitation of tar sands or bituminous coals in Canada, the US, and yes, Venezuela. Here, once again, the technology exists and the extraction costs are roughly US$30/bl. The production build-time is roughly around three to four years. The big hang-up is the shortage of technicians. Such shortage problems can however be solved after a few years (time of schooling/training) or, by enticing retired technicians to come back.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;3- The emergence of new technologies to recover more oil out of old and decaying oil fields. With the price of oil where it is, it makes a lot of sense to invest substantially to try and optimize the output from any individual well. In the past 25 years, we have seen the average extraction at existing wells climb, thanks to technology, from 25% of known reserves to 40% of reserves. Norway has set a target of 65% to 70% recovery for a good part of its reserves and is already achieving that in some fields. Where do the improvements come from? Technological progress!&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Promising technologies include digitalization, whereby numerous fiber optic temperature and pressure sensors are placed underground in a field and connected to the surface. Data from sensors is sent to operations centers and fed into computerized optimization models. The combination of real-time, belowground data and sophisticated modeling then allows engineers to optimize ongoing pumping and future drilling schedules and thus capture a larger percentage of the oil that's in the field.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Yet another promising technology is the use of microbes to boost oil extraction (here we must disclose an interest for Louis and Charles both own a stake in a company called Titan Oil Recovery (www.titanoilrecovery.com) a firm dedicated to this very process).&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;ADVERTISEMENT&lt;br /&gt;Get Rich Instead of Floundering with the Crowd&lt;br /&gt;Inflation rising, unemployment rising, the economy heading for disaster... by now, you probably know all about our advice to buy gold, buy silver, buy more gold. The mainstream is still not listening to the growing number of financial pundits preaching caution.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;In contrast, subscribers of Doug Casey's International Speculator are way ahead of the crowd, investing in precious metals stocks and already reaping double- and triple-digit returns, usually within 12 to 24 months.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;And the bull market in precious metals has only just started. Learn how to profit from it here.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;4- The possibility to produce oil/ethanol out of agricultural products. On this very topic, the best summary we have read of the issues at hand was produced recently by our friend Mark Anderson, the editor of the SNS newsletter. We lift his work below shamelessly: "Ethanol is a liquid fuel, currently produced from corn... Now here's the rub: there is a debate about whether it actually takes more energy to create a gallon of ethanol than the energy contained in a gallon of ethanol. According to Report No. 814 from the Office of the Chief Economist of the U.S. Department of Agriculture, corn ethanol contains 1.34 times the energy required to manufacture it.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;It is clear that the manufacture of ethanol from corn is not very energy-efficient, and through its production process, ethanol's cost is strongly linked to international energy costs.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The wholesale price of a gallon of ethanol was recently in excess of $5, but has now fallen to less than $4. Last year, the price of ethanol was $1.30 per gallon. The escalation in price reflects an increase in demand as gasoline refiners began adding ethanol into their fuel products.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;GM proudly claims that it has at least 1.9 million vehicles on the road that can use E-85 (gasoline with 15% ethanol content). But are consumers actually going to buy significant quantities of E-85 in place of gasoline with a high ethanol price?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Fortunately, there are a number of ethanol refineries under construction and due to come on-line in the next 18 months. With an increase in supply, we can expect a reduction in price, bringing the pump price of ethanol more in line with the pump price of gasoline. With the price of ethanol more competitive with gasoline, we should have no problem eventually reducing our dependency on gasoline. Except for one little fact....&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Even if the cost of a gallon of ethanol production were equal to that of a gallon of gasoline, the energy content of a gallon of ethanol is less than that of a gallon of gasoline. The effect is to reduce the "gas mileage" of a car operating on ethanol by about 66%, which means that about 33% more ethanol than gasoline is required to drive a fixed distance. Therefore, to be economically competitive with gasoline, the pump price of ethanol actually must be no more than two thirds the price of gasoline.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The US government, at the urging of corn producers, provides a subsidy for refining ethanol of $.51 per gallon ($21.42/bl). Conversely, a gallon of gasoline is not subsidized at all. Guess why all the ethanol refineries are being built. With the incentives in place, the ethanol refiners are making tidy profits from each gallon sold. To make matters worse, we are physically limited by how much corn-based ethanol we can produce by the amount of land that can be converted to growing corn, which is aggravated by the fact that only the grain is used to create ethanol.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;There are, however, alternative methodologies for creating ethanol. The simplest near term solution would be to use sugar cane in place of corn as the feed stock. This simplifies the refining process and requires less energy. Unfortunately, the U.S. government imposes a tariff on sugar cane to improve the competitive position of corn syrup (yup -- the same special-interest group that is behind the corn-ethanol subsidies). This tariff acts as a disincentive to make ethanol from sugar cane. This must have been an oversight in our comprehensive national energy policy.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;There are longer-term solutions. In a period of about five years, we could be producing ethanol in quantity from cellulose. Cellulose is found in a variety of plant material, including the stalks of the corn plant. The process for production of ethanol from cellulose does not require large amounts of hydrocarbons and is, therefore, much less expensive. If the federal government continues to provide large subsidies for corn-derived ethanol, however, we are in effect providing a disincentive to make capital investment in cellulose technology. The corn lobby will fight tooth and nail, but in the end, democracy, just like the free market, has a way of doing what is right and sensible (usually, after trying out all other options). In this case, that would see cellulose derived ethanol become widely available in the marketplace.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Would this lead to energy independence? No, but it is a significant stride in the right direction. There is no silver-bullet solution to our addiction to foreign energy. Multiple emerging renewable energy technologies -- including solar and wind power, along with ethanol derived from cellulose -- will have to contribute to the solution over a period of time."&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;While ethanol might not be the solution (though it seems to have worked for Brazil which is now energy independent thanks in part to ethanol), and while the US government is amazingly clumsy in its attempt to promote this alternative fuel, undeniably, interest is growing to find alternative sources of energy.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;6- Prices &amp; Substitution&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;High energy costs are not impacting just oil. We have witnessed a stupendous rise in the price of all forms of energy through the substitution effect. And here technology is also making huge leaps. Let us, again, go through a few examples:&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;* Nuclear power. There are two main problems with nuclear plants. The first is that building a plant takes a long time (though the Chinese are definitely not wasting any time on that issue). The second issue is the disposal of the nuclear waste. But this is where the exciting news lies: we have recently read reports highlighting that the volume of the waste in the new French reactors is a tenth of what it was in the old reactors. This implies that the amount of space needed to store the waste is much smaller, and the arguments of the anti-nuclear green lobby further reduced.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;* Production of energy at the individual and local levels: everywhere we go, especially in Europe (where the price of energy, on top of being very high, is also heavily taxed), we find new and interesting forms of energy production: in Scandinavia geothermal energy (one drills in the rocks, and gets the heat coming from below); in France, a massive movement towards heating pumps (exchanging heat between a source of water and the atmosphere - in fact, after a brutally hot summer in Provence, I am biting the bullet and having such a system installed in my Avignon house); in Denmark, there are quite a lot of wind turbines; in Spain, you can see solar panels on a growing number of roofs. All these systems enjoy huge tax breaks, and, once they are put in, they are here to stay; markets lost for oil, for ever.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;By themselves, none of the above factors is sufficient. And the rate of substitution from oil to these new sources of energy is excruciatingly slow. For example, if one had the bad luck of installing an oil boiler in one's house three years ago, one is not going to change now. The capital costs are simply too high. But taken together they are significant and will change for ever the demand for oil or natural gas used to heat or cool houses, factories, or office buildings.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The first conclusion that one has to reach is that the use of oil (and natural gas) outside transportation is thus going to go down structurally. Oil will increasingly be used for what it should, namely 'movable energy' and transportation. But even there, big changes could be unfolding.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;To illustrate what we mean, let us make an arbitrary, and somewhat questionable distinction between short-haul transportation (less than 300 kilometers) and long haul transportation (though, to be fair, the distinction is not completely unrealistic as, with the rise in disposable incomes, a growing number of families have every day "small cars" for the regular commutes and "larger cars" for the long distance road-trips).&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;A lot of oil is used in short-haul transportation (commuting). The hope here lies in the fact that the technology in batteries is changing fast. Next year, in the US, the first electric car with a range of more than 300 kilometers (a two seater, very exciting sport car) is going to be produced in California. Granted, it will be very expensive (over US$80,000), but all inventive new products are, at first, very expensive. With time, and greater production, prices collapse.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The emergence of the electric car will be a huge bonus for the nuclear power industry, the cars recharging at night, when the demand for power is the lowest, hereby guaranteeing an optimum use of the power grid infrastructure. Within a little more than a decade, one could see the use of oil for short-distance commuting absolutely plummets. Needless to say, forward-looking tax systems will favor these cars. Already, in London, the £8-£10 congestion charge one has to pay to enter Central London is waived for owners of "alternative fuel vehicles" such as Toyota Prius hybrid cars - the side effect being that Toyota can not keep up with the demand for right-hand drive hybrids and so Hong Kong gets shafted.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The long haul will remain the undisputed domain for oil, whether for trucks, cars, boats or planes. But here also, technology is going to bring about quite a few changes on the demand side of the equation. One only needs to think of the hybrid car, or the growing dominance of the diesel engine, or the fuel-efficient Boeing Dreamliner, or of the substitution of gas-guzzling SUVs (for example, I traded in my Avignon Range Rover for a far less chic new Diesel Citroen. The Citroen literally uses a fifth of my old gas-guzzler... and will most likely break down a lot less too). Given these improvements, one can make the case that the demand for oil for long haul transportation from mature markets such as the US or Europe will, at best, stagnate in volume for the foreseeable future.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;But of course, there is more to oil than a simple supply and demand equation for God, in His infinite wisdom, put oil reserves under the control of some of the more unsavory characters out there (or did they become unsavory because of oil? After all, oil has been a curse to most countries endowed with it).&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;7- Oil &amp; Politics&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The fact that oil is mostly controlled by unreliable lunatics (Iran, Venezuela, Russia, Iraq...) should lead the non-lunatic parts of the World to invest - regardless of the costs involved - to achieve energy independence (this is what France did in the 1970s and 1980s with its nuclear program, though few countries decided to follow this path). This process will likely involve massive wastes of capital (but then, that is the price of independence). It will also push oil-producing nations towards political irrelevance. This movement will take place in three steps.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;In the first step, the lunatics have a field day.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;In the world today, there are massive possibilities to explore for oil, and there is certainly no shortage of oil discoveries to be made. However, almost everywhere there is a chance to find oil, the underground has been nationalized. As a result, the oil companies that have the technology can not drill, while the countries that have the oil do not have the technology, nor the will to look for it.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Most of the existing oil-producing countries have done the analysis that there is much more in it for them if they do not develop their capacities since, as a result, oil prices shoot upwards. Being usually totally uneducated (e.g.: Chavez), these leaders believe in the Malthusian legend that there will not be enough oil for everyone and that its price can thus only go higher. In their (very limited) minds they believe that their strategy has no downside. They will be disappointed in the not so distant future, when the market reasserts itself.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;With oil at US$70/bl, Iran gets roughly US$70bn per annum in oil exports. Half of that money goes to domestic subsidies (food, oil, transportation, etc...). The rest goes to the mad mullahs' pet projects, such as developing nuclear weapons, sending weapons to Hezbollah, subsidizing terrorism... If and when the oil price goes down to US$35/bl, our mad mullahs will no longer have any money to buy rockets to lob into Israel's coastal towns. At US$20/bl, they will no longer have the money to feed their rapidly growing and young population; we could then have a revolution in Iran.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;If the US administration is thus serious about regime change (and we hope that they are, for there is little to like in the current Iranian regime), then the way to achieve it is to trade in the Humvees, boost electric cars, put on a sweater in the winter, and build nuclear power plants. Unfortunately, our reader might say, this is hardly happening. Our conspiracy-theory inclined clients might also point out that such a course of action is unlikely to become national policy in the US as long as the president hails from Texas and the Veep from Halliburton... But the interesting fact here is that, while it might not be happening in the rich United States (where spending on energy as a percentage of disposable income remains tolerable, even after the past few years' increases), it could be starting to happen in other markets such as China, Thailand, South Korea, Japan, India...&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;In every past energy cycle, whenever capacity of production was reached, oil producing nations, rather than let our companies drill (or drill themselves) to increase production, instead tried to extract from their customers the maximum amount in the shortest time period possible. On top of it, oil-producing nations would usually try to capture unearned and undue political advantage. The local governments call that 'using the oil weapon'. The Arab nations did it in the 1970s. Venezuela, Iran and Russia are doing it today. And one can get away with using the 'oil weapon' for a while, but not for a long while. Because we then move to our second step: the return of market forces.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;8- The Market Strikes Back&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Usually, when the price of something rises, its supply goes up, and its demand goes down. Now contrary to what most Malthusians out there believe, the same is true for energy. The problem, as mentioned above, is that the time for reaction can be excruciatingly slow. However, when the movement starts, it is almost impossible to stop. To achieve a change in the balance of supply and demand of energy, oil-consuming nations can use two tactics:&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;   1. Increase the price of oil through taxes (or through the end of subsidies as Thailand and Indonesia both did last summer), in order to accelerate the adjustment. An added bonus is that you (i.e.: the government) get to capture some of the excess rent (European nations have historically done just that).&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;   2. Subsidize as much as possible the energy produced domestically, or produced from alternative, "politically friendly" sources (nuclear, ethanol.... The first action reduces the demand; the second increases the supply and the substitution. As a result, the imbalance between demand (too high) and supply (too low) comes into a different, and friendlier price-equilibrium. The price of the marginal energy (oil) stabilizes, sometimes nervously (1980-1982 in the previous cycle). But once the stability is there, the slide is not far behind for the demand keeps falling and the supply keeps increasing. Pretty soon the 'swing producer', namely Saudi Arabia, has to reduce production to maintain prices. We then move to phase 3, or the return of the marginal cost of production.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;9- The Return to the Marginal Cost of Production&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;In the last, long, down cycle, Saudi Arabia fought a valiant fight to prevent oil prices from falling too much. The kingdom reduced its production from around 8m barrels per day to less than 3m barrels per day. This policy made them measurably weaker (Saudi Arabia nearly went bankrupt in the late 1990s), and made Iraq and Iran relatively stronger.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;This reminiscence from the late 1980s and 1990s raises an important question: given Iran's growing pretension of asserting itself as the main power in the Middle- East, in the next oil down cycle, will Saudi Arabia tighten its belt to ensure the survival of the regime in Tehran? Or will Saudi Arabia decide to hang loose and let Iran (which the Saudi leadership probably considers its greatest threat) crash and burn? And if there is no "swing producer" to adjust production lower, then won't the return to the mean be particularly fast?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;10- Conclusion&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The points made above could arguably have been made a year ago. So our "down to earth" clients might very well wonder what will make oil prices fall in the coming year since all these good arguments definitely did not work over the past year. The differences today compared to a year ago are that:&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;    * Oil prices started rising above their long term trend nearly three years ago.&lt;br /&gt;    * The substitution effect should thus soon start kicking in.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;    * The 'oil as a weapon' really started to come into force in the past 18 months.&lt;br /&gt;    * According to OECD leading indicators, global growth is no longer in an ascending phase.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;For all of the above reasons, we continue to believe that the structural decline of oil will happen sometime in the coming quarters. After the 1970s/early 1980s boom and bust, it took twenty-five years for oil to recapture its previous highs.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Once the coming bust gets underway, oil may never recapture the highs it makes (made?) in the current cycle, if for no other reason that, twenty years ago, there was no credible alternative for short-haul transportation, heating, air conditioning, etc... (Remember Chernobyl, Three Mile Island...). Today, and even more tomorrow, credible alternatives will be in place.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;ADVERTISEMENT&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Key Statistics&lt;br /&gt;Industry:  Canadian Income Trust&lt;br /&gt;Annual Dividend:  $2.52/share&lt;br /&gt;Dividend Yield:  11.8%&lt;br /&gt;Introducing StreetAuthority.com's "Income Security of the Month" for September 2006&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;If you're an income-oriented investor looking for both high yields and enormous capital gains, then you need to learn more about our "Income Security of the Month" for September 2006. This fast-growing Canadian Income Trust gives investors a chance to profit from the booming oil and gas market.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Our 19th century world was dominated by coal. Our 20th century was dominated by oil. It is our firm belief that the 21st century will not be dominated by oil. It will be dominated by electricity; and oil will become a marginal energy. This simple truth might help explain why, since 2001, uranium has not had a single down month, and since 2003, uranium has never traded down for even a single day, regardless of what was happening to oil prices.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;As oil becomes irrelevant, one should probably expect serious political turmoil, and revolutions, in Venezuela, Russia, Iran... Which, of course, would be a shame and could not happen to a nicer bunch of people.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Conclusion&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Your looking forward to the future of energy analyst,&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;John F. Mauldin&lt;br /&gt;johnmauldin@investorsinsight.com&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Disclaimer&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;John Mauldin is president of Millennium Wave Advisors, LLC, a registered investment advisor. All material presented herein is believed to be reliable but we cannot attest to its accuracy. Investment recommendations may change and readers are urged to check with their investment counselors before making any investment decisions.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Opinions expressed in these reports may change without prior notice. John Mauldin and/or the staffs at Millennium Wave Advisors, LLC and InvestorsInsight Publishing, Inc. ("InvestorsInsight") may or may not have investments in any funds cited above.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;PAST RESULTS ARE NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. THERE IS RISK OF LOSS AS WELL AS THE OPPORTUNITY FOR GAIN WHEN INVESTING IN MANAGED FUNDS. WHEN CONSIDERING ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS, INCLUDING HEDGE FUNDS, YOU SHOULD CONSIDER VARIOUS RISKS INCLUDING THE FACT THAT SOME PRODUCTS: OFTEN ENGAGE IN LEVERAGING AND OTHER SPECULATIVE INVESTMENT PRACTICES THAT MAY INCREASE THE RISK OF INVESTMENT LOSS, CAN BE ILLIQUID, ARE NOT REQUIRED TO PROVIDE PERIODIC PRICING OR VALUATION INFORMATION TO INVESTORS, MAY INVOLVE COMPLEX TAX STRUCTURES AND DELAYS IN DISTRIBUTING IMPORTANT TAX INFORMATION, ARE NOT SUBJECT TO THE SAME REGULATORY REQUIREMENTS AS MUTUAL FUNDS, OFTEN CHARGE HIGH FEES, AND IN MANY CASES THE UNDERLYING INVESTMENTS ARE NOT TRANSPARENT AND ARE KNOWN ONLY TO THE INVESTMENT MANAGER.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Communications from InvestorsInsight are intended solely for informational purposes. Statements made by various authors, advertisers, sponsors and other contributors do not necessarily reflect the opinions of InvestorsInsight, and should not be construed as an endorsement by InvestorsInsight, either expressed or implied. InvestorsInsight is not responsible for typographic errors or other inaccuracies in the content. We believe the information contained herein to be accurate and reliable. However, errors may occasionally occur. Therefore, all information and materials are provided "AS IS" without any warranty of any kind. Past results are not indicative of future results.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;We encourage readers to review our complete legal and privacy statements.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;InvestorsInsight Publishing, Inc. -- 14900 Landmark Blvd #350, Dallas, Texas 75254&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;© InvestorsInsight Publishing, Inc. 2005 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-115930262184157063?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/115930262184157063/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=115930262184157063' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/115930262184157063'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/115930262184157063'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2006/09/my-solar-villageoil-will-malthusian.html' title='My Solar VillageOil: Will the Malthusian View Carry the Day?'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-115574790068842228</id><published>2006-08-16T10:05:00.000-07:00</published><updated>2006-08-16T10:05:01.343-07:00</updated><title type='text'>Situation is about to Accelerate</title><content type='html'>http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/200607/s1682899.htm&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Oil production limit reached: expert&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;An international oil industry expert says the limit of global oil production has been reached.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Academic and former National Iranian Oil Company executive Dr Ali Samsam Bakhtiari has told the Financial Services Institute in Sydney the world's oil fields are producing as much oil as they can.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;He says giant fields in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait are struggling to meet production targets.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Dr Bakhtiari says the massive output declines in the North Sea oil fields and Mexican oil fields will have a major economic impact.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;"Crude oil is the master domino," he said. "When you tumble crude oil, all the other dominos tumble."&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Dr Bakhtiari says for the first time in 150 years, the world is entering an era in which it cannot have all the oil it wants.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;He says there are five years left to plan priorities for the use of crude oil.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;"Some countries don't even know what is happening," he said.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;"Some huge companies don't even know what is happening and they are going to be ambushed and trapped and they are going to panic.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;"The worst thing you can do is to panic when the prices are going to go sky-high."&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;He says he does not know how high the price of crude oil has to go to reduce demand but so far, it has tripled in four years.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;He says OPEC is already producing as much as it can and new discoveries are small.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;"The problem will become the day that you cannot optimise by price," he said.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;"You will have to optimise by availability, so there won't be oil for everyone."&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;ABC TV's Four Corners program this week examines the state of the world's oil reserves. The full program can be seen at 8:30pm tonight.&lt;br /&gt;Print-friendy versionPrint  Send to a friendEmail&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-115574790068842228?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/115574790068842228/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=115574790068842228' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/115574790068842228'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/115574790068842228'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2006/08/situation-is-about-to-accelerate.html' title='Situation is about to Accelerate'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-115463204150289985</id><published>2006-08-03T12:07:00.000-07:00</published><updated>2006-08-03T12:07:21.576-07:00</updated><title type='text'>Why it's all happening the way it is...</title><content type='html'>Very Interesting ( though a long read )&lt;br /&gt;Mahathir Calls For A Boycott Of The Dollar&lt;br /&gt;( Mahathir is the "FORMER" prime minister of Malaysia ) http://www.rense.com/general72/majr.htm&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;"The dirtiest little secret in the Middle East is Saudi Arabia's role in enabling American and Israeli aggression against the native people of the region. The secret agenda of the ruling clan in Riyadh has always revolved around maintaining a permanent romance with her American knight in shining armor."&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Once again, Qana has been struck with another premeditated Israeli atrocity The horrifying images beamed around the world were in great part manufactured by George Bush and his piano-playing dunce in a red dress. Take a lock of hair from each murdered and disfigured Lebanese child and send it to Condi to keep in her hope chest. Who is this barren maggot of a spinster with a cult like infatuation for Israel's violent streak? Why is this self-hating Oreo from Birmingham having birth pangs about a New Middle East at the very same time that she is facilitating the slaughter of the innocent children of innocent mothers?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Just last year, the Bush administration was hitching a free ride on the back of the democratic Lebanese uprising that followed the assassination of Prime Minister Hariri. Today, they are providing aid, assistance and moral comfort to the Israeli thugs who are systematically carpet bombing the country that Hariri dedicated his life to rebuilding.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;As an Arab-American - I am more certain today than ever that I am a citizen of a racist state. The political elite in Washington continue to be mercilessly indifferent to the loss of Lebanese and Palestinian life. If a state has a racist foreign policy - you can be certain that it is owned and operated by certifiably psychotic bigots.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;But complaining and cursing these Neanderthals will not breathe life into the mutilated corpse of a single Lebanese child. It will not reconstruct the Lebanese infrastructure that was so laboriously built after a quarter of a century of civil war. The time for rage is over and the time to take action has come for all people of good conscience.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;While it is easy to despair about changing the course of events in the Middle East, one international statesman has a brilliant plan of passive resistance with a reasonable chance of success. He understand exactly how to confront the American imperial project in the Middle East and make the degenerate neo-cons pay a price for their unconditional support of Israel.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Former Prime Minister of Malaysia, Mahathir Mohamad has taken the lead in stating the obvious. "If the world is sincere in helping the Lebanese and Palestinians, they should reject the use of the dollar in international trade. When the demand for the dollar falls, America will be weakened and it will lack the ability to act as a bully in the global stage."&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;One of the biggest political taboos in the Middle East is to ask questions about Saudi Arabia's unnatural attachment to the United States. If a citizen of the Kingdom of oil so much as inquires about why Gulf crude is priced and sold in American dollars and only in American dollars - they get an immediate invitation to the hangman's noose. Should they be impertinent enough to ask how much of the oil revenue is off shored - they risk inviting the rest of their family members to the gallows.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The dirtiest little secret in the Middle East is Saudi Arabia's role in enabling American and Israeli aggression against the native people of the region. The secret agenda of the ruling clan in Riyadh has always revolved around maintaining a permanent romance with her American knight in shining armor. To prove the depth of her passion, the lovesick Saudi puppy is even willing to collaborate with America's other muse - Israel.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Israel, on the other hand, is the kind of mistress that takes as much and gives as little as suits her fancy. She knows that the President and Congress of the United States are at her beck and call. Tel Aviv can show up outfitted in a blood stained overall at any Republican or Democratic Party function and expect to be treated like royalty. If she acts like a gluttonous obnoxious pig at the lavish banquet, her mass media entourage has a ready supply of lipstick to pass her off as a debutante. With chutzpah to spare, her Likudnik public relations operatives at CNN and FOX deploy their considerable talent and resources to beg indulgence for Israel's "adventuresome spirit."&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;America's relationship with Israel is a public affair. It is based not so much on love - but on the vulgarities of financing campaigns and winning elections. If you want a chance to become a player in Washington, meet Tel Aviv's pimps in the lobby. AIPAC brothels are open 24/7 to cater to a politician's every need.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;To understand why America has 200,000 men garrisoned in the Gulf region, it is essential to get a few insights into the Saudi role in this unique menage a trois Riyadh is like the rich old dame who needs a strong man around the house. In exchange for the embracing arms of her reluctant lover, she is willing to part with the family jewels. She doesn't care how much time America spends in bed with Israel - so long as her paramour shows up for guard duty in the middle of the night to ward off undesirable suitors. Because she is such a conservative old-fashioned girl, she doesn't flaunt her relationship with her American lover. What would people say?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Saudi Arabia is so enamored with her American beau - that she is willing to condone Tel Aviv's slaughter of her innocent cousins in Lebanon and Palestine. A few years ago, she provided assistance for Uncle Sam to invade Iraq.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Again, why this passionate Saudi attachment to Washington? Because America is more than a lover - she is a business partner in the greatest most lucrative commercial enterprise in the annals of human history.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;America is the kind of player who can't put in a decent day's work. And when she does bother to clock in, the only thing she is excels at producing are implements of mass destruction. The results of her shoddy work habits show up in the monthly trade statistics. For every dollar of imports - the 'economic giant' can barely work up the energy to export fifty-three cents worth of goods and services. If it were not for arms exports - the trade deficit would be significantly higher. As it is, the daily trade deficit is two plus billion and rising.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;To make up for her economic lethargy, the United States ends up writing uncovered checks in the form of newly minted dollar bills. And her trading partners keep digesting these IOU's without complaint. Because they know that, at the end of the day, American dollars and only American dollars, can be exchanged for Saudi crude.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Basically, the United States has created a new economic niche for itself that allows it to be a currency exporting country on the strength of the oil under the bed of their Saudi paramour. Currency exporting on this scale is a phenomenon that is unprecedented. The repercussions of a sudden disruption in the market for America's chief export product - the dollar - will have dire consequences that will not go unnoticed by the wizards in Washington.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;As for the Saudis, their main concern revolves around maintaining their ability to offshore their petro-dollars to American and European capital markets. This helps explain why the rulers of the oil plantations have no intention of ending this exploitative relationship. With so much money at stake, why search for healthier romantic opportunities?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;What would happen if the Saudis asked America to end the stormy relationship with the murderous whore in Tel Aviv or else? Or else what? Or else Saudi Arabia stops exchanging dollars for oil. Who knows? These are affairs of the heart and the pocket book? Political calculations will have to be made. Maybe America would withdraw its protective embrace and leave the old dame in Riyadh to fend for herself. Imagine that - America leaving the Arab Gulf for ever. No more Fallujahs. No more Abu Ghraibs. No more Hadithas. No more shock and awe or saturation bombing with depleted uranium. No more young American soldiers returning in body bags that should have tags that read "they died for their currency." No more teenage Iraqi girls getting raped before being set on fire along with their entire family. No more neo-con con jobs about phantom WMDs and spreading democracy. No more budget busting trillion dollar tabs for a needless and criminal war of choice.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Of course, the Saudis know they need to keep up their side of the "oil for dollar" bargain to assure American protection. That is why Doctor Mahathir doesn't expect miraculous and instant results.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;But why leave matters to the Saudis. Why not make it a public issue. A boycott of the dollar is a very legitimate way to peacefully express disdain for the American imperial project in the Gulf, for Washington's unconditional support of Israeli atrocities against the Palestinian and Lebanese people and for the Saudi clan's looting of the revenues from the oil plantations. It is a way to confront the many oppressive forces in the Middle East without ever having to resort to a violent collision.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;From a purely pragmatic point of view, a grass roots boycott of American currency will help focus minds in both the Middle East and the West on the real cause of American military adventurism in the region. It will expose the illicit menage a trois relationship that has buried many an Arab family under the rubble of their homes. Cindy Sheehan will get an answer for why her son died. It will defuse the culture clash trash talk that has dominated the airwaves and ignite an intelligent discussion to explain the real imperative behind the invasion and continuing occupation of Iraq.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Most importantly, it will create awareness among the Arab masses that their leaders have every means to protect their interests without resort to either war or a cut-off of oil. The goal of a dollar boycott campaign is to force both Washington and Riyadh to go public with their illicit affair - in the hope that we can make honest women out of the both of them.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Without firing so much as a broken arrow, the Arab monarchs in the Gulf have in their hands the power to instantly change American foreign policy in the region and alleviate the suffering of the people of Lebanon, Palestine and Iraq. Doctor Mahathir knows this. He also knows that the Saudis and Kuwaitis will never take the initiative to use that power until they are forced to by popular demand. To generate a mass movement demanding an end to America's dollar hegemony - we need to listen to the diagnosis and cure recommended by the good Malaysian doctor. Let's do it for the victims of Qana and let's start the boycott now. Boycott the dollar for the sake of peace, justice and honor.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;http://www.rense.com/general72/majr.htm&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-115463204150289985?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/115463204150289985/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=115463204150289985' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/115463204150289985'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/115463204150289985'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2006/08/why-its-all-happening-way-it-is.html' title='Why it&apos;s all happening the way it is...'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-115438238395497097</id><published>2006-07-31T14:46:00.000-07:00</published><updated>2006-08-01T17:28:19.033-07:00</updated><title type='text'>Peak Oil, Ghawar</title><content type='html'>http://www.newcolonist.com/ghawar.html&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Another sobering look at reality...&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;coming to a planet near you soon...&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;got solar?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Ghawar Is Dying&lt;br /&gt;by Chip Haynes&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;August,2001--"Ghawar is dying." Could those three simple words signal the beginning of the end for the industrialized human civilization on Planet Earth? No one in a position of knowledge or authority has uttered them publicly yet, nor are they likely to for a few years to come. So we do have some time--but not much. Then again, they may have been said quietly two years ago and we would never know. Life's funny that way. Too bad this isn't a laughing matter.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Some two hundred kilometers east of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, is a stretch of uninhabited and unremarkable desert in the Empty Quarter. This hot, desolate landscape sits above the largest oil field in the world: the Ghawar. It's a big chunk of nothing one hundred and fifty miles long and twenty-five miles wide, but thousands of meters below its surface lie seventy billion barrels of oil patiently waiting to be pumped out. They've waited for millions of years. A few more won't matter. And after that? After that, Ghawar will no longer be dying. It will be dead. Nothing left but sand and sinkholes.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Before you sit back, all smug and comfy with that seventy billion barrel figure, let me do a bit of quick math for you: that's only an 875 day supply of oil for the world at the current rate of use. (And that rate rises every year, just as the Ghawar's not unlimited oil reserves get lower.) Admittedly, the Ghawar is not our only source of oil. (And unless you happen to be Saudi, its not even your oil at all, now is it?) Still, the Ghawar is The Big One, and when it goes, things will change--forever. The only questions are: When will it happen, and how will we know?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The when is easy, if vague: it could happen at any time from two years ago to twenty years from now. But how will we know? That's a far more difficult question to answer.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;I can picture a Mercedes Unimog lumbering alongside pipelines in the desert, stopping at each well head. At each stop, a man climbs down from the machine and walks over to the well. He looks and records a number from the gauge, then returns to the truck. This scene plays out over and over. It would take days to record all the numbers from the wells in the Ghawar. Still, it must be done. Those hand-written numbers are given to a field technician who dutifully records them, one well at a time, in a computer database. All that data gets sent to the Saudi government, where the numbers are studied, analyzed, and agonized over. If the figures are the same as or higher than the last figures, life is good. If not, then what?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;What if the Ghawar IS dying? It would be easy enough to play with the numbers for a year or two--until the decline rate starts to speed up and the loss can't be hidden. After that? Plan B might call for a declared "voluntary reduction" in oil production to "stabilize the market at the optimum level." Yeah, right. How in the world would you ever know exactly how much oil is being pumped or shipped from a country half way around the world to other countries you've never seen? The answer is obvious: You wouldn't. You never will. C'est la vie.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Somewhere in Los Angeles, on quite literally the other side of the world, an SUV pulls into a gas station and the driver gets out. The pump is turned on and a gas tank is filled. Sure, it cost more here at this big, fancy franchise than it did over at that little independent station, but the indy was closed today. Matter of fact, hasn't it been closed for about a week now? What's up with that? Ah, well. At least it's not that much more. What's an extra buck or two to fill the tank? No big deal. Unless Ghawar is dying, in which case it is a very big deal indeed--and will get considerably bigger before it's all over. Maybe this was a sign of a weakening pulse?&lt;br /&gt;You're Invited to the Funeral&lt;br /&gt;Measured up against the big scheme of things, the death of Ghawar and our oil-powered industrial civilization will fall somewhere between the Black Plague of 14th Century Europe and the meteor that wiped out the dinosaurs. Unlike the plague, this will effect humans world-wide, but unlike the meteor, it will effect only humans. Chickens may some day cross the road with impunity. Animals both large and small will prosper (Hey, you try whaling in a row boat!) And the earth will undoubtedly cool off a bit. Too bad we all won't be here to enjoy it.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;With the death of Ghawar will undoubtedly come the deaths of humans. Many humans, it would seem, the result of probably unavoidable wars for the last remaining oil to the much-predicted pandemics and mass starvation. Estimates on the sustainable limit to humans on this planet have ranged from an utterly dismal 1/70th of the current population (about 100 million) to an almost cheerful (by comparison) two billion. Keep in mind there's six billion of us here right now, so some of you will have to leave. You'll stay for the funeral, though, won't you? I mean, after all, Ghawar is dying.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;I don't expect to be told. Politics and the global economy being what they are these days, I really can't picture anyone standing up in front of a row of television cameras and announcing to the world that the largest field of crude oil known to man is, in fact, drying up. What's Arabic for, "Ghawar is dying"? It doesn't matter. It's a phrase we'll never need to know--or hear. If it is the biggest, it will also be the last. By the time Ghawar begins to die--and by the time we hear about it--hundreds of other oil fields all over the world will also be dead and gone. Ghawar will still be pumping crude oil at an impressive rate as the industrial world of man comes to a creaking, painful halt. That's the irony of it, you see: by the time the Ghawar starts to run dry, we will have either found another way to get things done or simply stopped doing them. There's a very good chance that the last of the oil in the Ghawar will remain in the ground, untouched and unneeded, forever.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Traffic in Los AngelesSo is the Ghawar dying? Does it matter? There may come a time when all the SUVs in Los Angeles will roll to a tank-dry halt. After the riots and the wars, after the yelling and screaming and dying, what's left of humanity (if we have any humanity left) will stand up, dust itself off and get on with Life. The Ghawar, virtually unknown today, will be all but forgotten by then. The troubles of Saudi Arabia and the Middle East will cease to be a common feature of the nightly news, as they would no longer have anything to offer the West--nothing left to fight over. Just footnotes in a history book.&lt;br /&gt;Cries and Whispers&lt;br /&gt;Click Here to Spread the Word!Maybe what's called for here, as Blutto Blutowski so eloquently put it, is a stupid and futile gesture that could serve as a mind-bite for the masses--some bit of mysterious innuedno that could spread like backfence gossip or a clever teaser ad. Tell people the world is running out of oil and they glaze like a donut. We know the direct approach doesn't work. We have to be subtle. Devious. Underhanded. But without any actual outright lying. (The truth is, after all, so much more annoying!) So how about bumper stickers? Everybody reads them when they're stuck in traffic or stopped at a light. You do. I do. And if you read it on a bumper sticker, it must be true, right? All we need now is a whole pile of "Ghawar is Dying" bumper stickers. It need not say any more than that. The truth is always mysterious and seldom obvious. Let 'em figure it out for themselves. Of course, the ultimate irony would be to see that bumper sticker on a big SUV--the very thing that's draining the Ghawar to death. That's right up there with "Honk if you hate noise pollution"! HA!&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Ghawar is dying. If you whisper it quietly, maybe people will listen. If not, the approaching silence will get their attention soon enough.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Chip Haynes&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-115438238395497097?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/115438238395497097/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=115438238395497097' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/115438238395497097'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/115438238395497097'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2006/07/peak-oil-ghawar.html' title='Peak Oil, Ghawar'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-115367218328186649</id><published>2006-07-23T09:29:00.000-07:00</published><updated>2006-07-29T00:55:54.083-07:00</updated><title type='text'>Photonically Speaking of Light ( Indoor Light ) manmade</title><content type='html'>as opposed to cosmically made...&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;but then again everything is connected to the cosmos is it not?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Jul. 23rd, 2006 10:50 am Light Information ( photonically speaking )&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;I have been compiling some information of light...&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;enjoy!&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Light &amp; Photosynthesis&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Light is the only plant food. All the other things we give a plant are just to help it digest and use the light. The more light a plant gets, the bigger and fatter it will become, provided all its other needs are being met. If there is not enough light, nothing else will make the plant bigger or produce more.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The main thing that keeps an indoor garden growing is lots of available light, and the most important is the light density. Small lights in a large greenhouse will not do much at all for the light density except for sending day-length signals to the plants.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Knowing about lumens, or light density, is very important to the indoor gardener because the big secret of a supercharged garden is based on light density and how it is used to benefit the plants. It is vital to know the light intensity of your garden to be able to work out how much CO2 to give it.&lt;br /&gt;Lumens&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Lumens are a measure of the light intensity striking a surface. A first idea for understanding lumens is to say that the number of lumens is just a convenient measure equal to the number of candles lighting up an average book held 1 foot from the light. A hundred years ago this was absolute reality and our grandparents had to line up many candles in order to read at night. Today, we define 1 lumen as the amount of light 1 candle&lt;br /&gt;will shine on 1 square foot of white paper held 1 foot away from the flame:&lt;br /&gt;1 LUMEN = 1 foot-candle or&lt;br /&gt;1 candle of light intensity per square foot held 1 foot away.&lt;br /&gt;Lux&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The metric unit is the lux, the amount of light falling on one square metre: 1 LUX = ... metre-candle or&lt;br /&gt;1 candle of light intensity per square metre held 1 foot away&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;1 square metre is about 10 square feet, so the lux number is 10 times the lumen number: 1 LUMEN = 10 LUX (lux is the metric system) .&lt;br /&gt;1 lux is only 1/10 of a lumen because the same amount of light on 1 square foot now has to fall on 10 square feet, so it is diluted 10 times.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;A photographer's light meter measures the light reflected off a surface in foot-candles, which is the same as lumens independent of any specific area. The camera lens has a very small opening, and the area of light it is photographing could be millions of square feet.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Never point a photographic meter at a light. As an example, measuring 20,000 lumens on a 500 foot-candle light meter can burn out the equipment. For this reason, you should always measure the reflected light from 1 foot away with the photographic meter.&lt;br /&gt;Getting the most out of artificial lights&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The light illuminating from a source is not fully utilized. To illustrate, one candle actually puts out a total of 12.5 lumens in all directions, but only one of those twelve lumens actually falls onto a square foot of paper held one foot away from the candle. Thus, there is only "1 lumen" on the paper, and the other 11.5 lumens are shooting into space. Think how bright two candles would make the same page of the book you are trying to read in the dark. This would be two lumens, or two candles shining on 1 square foot.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Your table lamp will be putting 175 lumens on the book, and with 175 candles, you can read your book very well. But if you took the book to the other end of the room, you would not be able to read it because the 175 lumens that were shining on the page when you were one foot from the&lt;br /&gt;lamp hardly even light the page now some many feet away from the light source. There is, in fact, less than 1 lumen actually shining on the page the other 174 are shining on all its surroundings.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Mirrors and reflectors can be used to re-direct many of the photons of the other 174 lumens that shine into space. In fact, mirrors and reflectors can make a big difference in an indoor garden.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Because light is expensive, you should get as much value out of the electricity as possible. Here are some pointers:&lt;br /&gt;1. Keep lights as close as possible to the plants.&lt;br /&gt;2. Use mirrors and reflectors to utilize as much light as you can.&lt;br /&gt;3. If your indoor garden is in a large room where the walls are 10 feet&lt;br /&gt;(about 3 metres) away from the plants, you can be sure that most of the light is being wasted into space. To contain the light, build an enclosure&lt;br /&gt;not more than 1 foot (30 em) away from the plants all around the garden.&lt;br /&gt;The Efficiency of Lights&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The main reason to really get familiar with lumens is that the "wattage" of any light bulb in an indoor garden is a totally meaningless number.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Look at the following example: An incandescent 1 DO-Watt table lamp shining on a book held one foot away will put 175 lumens on the book. Replacing the table lamp with a 1 DO-Watt Mercury light will put 600 lumens on the book. Again, replace the Mercury lamp with a 1 DO-Watt High Pressure Sodium street light (if you were standing on a ladder and held the book one foot from the light) will put 1,400 lumens on the book. As you can see, bulb wattage has nothing to do with light intensity, but bulb type does influence the amount of illumination.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Certain types of light bulbs are more cost efficient than others. For example, with a standard house filament bulb, only 10% of your money is going to&lt;br /&gt;producing photons of light, and most of what you paid is wasted as heat. I&lt;br /&gt;Fortunately, you get "more bang for your buck" out of the HID (high intensity discharge) lamps.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;There is not yet an extremely efficient bulb, but some are better than others.&lt;br /&gt;The rates from the chart Relative Efficiency of Some Bulbs would be good if the bulbs gave all light and no heat. The percentages shown here are the heat wastage that is not turned into light. Unfortunately, 100% of the electricity has to be paid for even though one only gets at best about 60% of it in light.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The relative lumens of artificial lights can be illustrated as follows. Assume that 6 similar wattage bulbs were hooked up to the power and a measuring instrument was put in front of them. Lumen values are referred to at this stage to illustrate how the various types of light bulbs differ. (* Note that these are not PAR values unless we measure with a very special meter that does not count the very blue light below 400 nm, does not count most of the green light that the leaves are reflecting, does not count the very red&lt;br /&gt;light above 730 nm, and only counts half the light in the orange colour. PAR stands for photosynthetically active radiation. It is different values for different types of light source. The PAR value is the amount of light usable by plants, since plants can utilize only a small percentage of the artificial light.)&lt;br /&gt;Light 1 : Regular House Incandescent - the meter shows 17.5 foot-candles&lt;br /&gt;Light 2 : Mercury Street Light type - the meter shows 63 foot-candles&lt;br /&gt;Light 3 : Fluorescent type - the meter shows 83 foot-candles&lt;br /&gt;Light 4 : Sulphur type (1997 model) - the meter shows 98 foot-candles&lt;br /&gt;Light 5 : Super Metal Halide - the meter shows 125 foot-candl es&lt;br /&gt;Light 6 : High Pressure Sodium - the meter shows 140 foot- candles&lt;br /&gt;Multiply the corresponding bulb reading above by the wat age of your bulb, and this will be the amount of light leaving the bulb, not the light reaching your plants.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;There are additional losses if the light is behind a glass panel or in a water jacket. Each glass surface light passes through can lose 10%, and passing through a water jacket can lose 20-30%, mostly in the red spectrum.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;You can see that an HPS bulb gives 140 lumens per watt. If you are reading a book from a 1,000-Watt High Pressure Sodium light placed 1 ft away, that bulb is shining an equivalent of 140,000 candles (140 x 1,000). This 140,000 lumens of light is spreading in all directions, and only 10% of the lumens is heading for your book; the other 90% is shining on the walls, the ceiling, and mostly the floor. Thus, a 1,000-Watt HPS lamp fixed at the one-foot distance places only 12,000 lumens (some losses calculated) on your book.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Similarly, the usable lumens from a 1,000-Watt (100,000-lumen) MH lamp at this one-foot distance are only about 9,000 lumens on the page (there is also a 10% loss of light as it passes through the glass of the bulb); the other 90,000 lumens are shining on the rest of the room. With a reflector, many of these 90,000 lumens can be captured and sent down to the page.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;As discussed previously, a 100-Watt table lamp shining out 175 lumens actually gives less than 1 lumen per square foot towards the other end of the room, and this makes the bulb wattage per square foot an even more meaningless number. The following shows how distance affects light density.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Upper next page illustrates a square of paper held 1 foot from a light source,&lt;br /&gt;casting a shadow of 4 ft x 4 ft (16 ft2) on a floor 4 feet below the light. If the light source is the above-mentioned MH lamp, you get 9,000 lumens shining on the paper at the one-foot distance. Spread these lumens over the 16 ft2 on the floor, and now there are only about 500 lumens on each of the 16 squares. This means that light at the 4-foot level is only 1/16 as intense over anyone square foot because the original 9,000 lumens is now spread out over 16 square feet. In fact, with every extra foot (30 cm) that light has to travel, light intensity is reduced by half. Things look worse in an 8-ft high room: the light is down to 1/64 its original intensity at the floor level- about 140 lumens on each square foot.&lt;br /&gt;The Sun and Lights&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The noon Sunlight in Davis, California is around 5,000 lumens per square foot. Similarly, a 1 ,OOO-Watt HPS lamp with its inner arc tube 2 feet above a table is shining about 5,000 lumens on every square foot of that table. Although this HPS lamp appears to be equal to the Sun, it is not the same because its colour spectrum is poor. The Sun has another advantage over artificial lights in that Sunlight is just as intense at all distances. This is because the powerful Sunlight has already travelled some 93 million miles (149 million kilometers) to reach Earth, so the extra few feet or metres it has to go to reach the bottom of plants do not lessen its light intensity.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;To put light over distance into perspective, the stars are actually brighter than our Sun, but their light decreases by half every million miles. So by the time the starlight reaches us, it is not even bright enough to read by.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Luckily for outdoor gardeners, the mighty Sun is giving 5,000 candles of light intensity to both the tops and the bottoms of tall trees. But with artificial lights, it is a different story. The first foot of light below an HID lamp is more intense than Sunlight. Unfortunately, artificial light also drops off by half with every foot it travels, so at 3 feet, it is only 1/9 the intensity of the first foot. This is why the bottoms of a 3-ft plant gets only about 10% as much artificial light as the tops. Therefore, the shorter an indoor plant is under artificial lights, the more light the entire plant receives.&lt;br /&gt;The Difference between the Sun and Lights&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The real difference between the Sun and lights is that the Sun has full spectrum light from red to blue at equal intensities. This giyes maximum energy to the plant pigments and makes the plants grow well.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Artificial lights have not equalled the Sun for full spectrum. On each lamp spectrum graph under Light Bulbs in ChapterS, compare the "light usage by plant" curve with the shaded area "light available from bulb." You can see that all artificial lights have very low intensity over most of the useful spectrum for plant growth. The best one can do is to find lights that have the best compromise.&lt;br /&gt;The problem for the indoor gardener is that no HID bulbs give enough red frequencies - HID's have very low 680-700 nm peaks. High Pressure Sodium bulbs emit a very strong orange light - some of which is absorbed by carotenes and phycobilins pigments, which are then passed down the&lt;br /&gt;electron funnel to the sugar factory. Some fluorescent lamps have a good red spike, but they have no power at all compared with the HID's. The best one can do is to blast the leaves with MH and HPS lights at enormous lumen power so that there is enough red spilled over to do the job.&lt;br /&gt;Look at the various spectrum graphs again. Notice just what a compromise they are. The truth is that all the HID lamps are equally poor at the vital frequencies. The best frequency coverage is a standard incandescent bulb, but it is so inefficient that it is not usable for high output lamps. As mentioned before, an HID at close range puts out more lumens than the Sun but at many less important frequencies, so a large portion of its light is just wasted. Luckily, plants are able to make the best of a poor situation and use whatever photons fall on their leaves.&lt;br /&gt;Water-Cooled Lights&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Water cooling the HID lights allows plants to be placed close to the illumination (for greater light intensity) with minimal heat build-up. Unfortunately, the water surrounding the bulbs and the containers or jackets surrounding the water absorb much of the red spectrum that is the&lt;br /&gt;plants' main sugar producing frequency. Light losses through water-cooled jackets can be 20-300/0. Plants grown under water-cooled I lights will have a corresponding loss in yield compared with open lights. However, the lack of heat generated by water-cooled lights can be used to a greater advantage where open lights generate excessive heat.&lt;br /&gt;The Magic :Is Here Photosynthesis&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The leaves perform photosynthesis in a most amazing way. The leaves have special cells in them called pigments. The main pigments are: chlorophyll-a, chlorophyll-b, carotene, phycobilin, and phytochrome. Each of these has the ability to absorb a certain frequency of light and extract energy from the light by converting photons to electrons and then sending the electrons to energy centres.&lt;br /&gt;The main pigments involved in photosynthesis are the chlorophylls. Chlorophyll-a is the primary pigment for photosynthesis, but cellular plants have developed a helper pigment called chlorophyll-b.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;In the advanced cellular plants, there is a second step to this photon energy conversion. A second reaction centre, which is sensitive only to light at 700 nm (P700), boosts the electrons a second time to make chemical energy in the form of NADP (nicotinamide adenine dinucleotide phosphate).&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;At the end of this process, the light energy that has been trapped has now converted many photons into usable chemical energy that is the basic energy of all life on earth. This energy is now used totally independently in a process called the carbon-fixing reaction, where carbon dioxide (C02) is split, and the resulting carbon (C) and hydrogen (H) atoms are made into sugars and starches. The best known example of plant sugar is maple syrup, which comes directly out of trees. Most astoundingly, the newest research has shown that this entire process takes 3-20 trillionths of a second, which would make any computer chip proud.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Because sugars are energy, the more sugars a plant can make and store, the more a plant can yield. The plant needs a blue light source,The blue light has a double involvement in the&lt;br /&gt;creation of plant energy as explained above. The plant specifically needs blue light for some enzyme and hormone activation; blue light from i 400-500 nm is absorbed by an internal pigment, and this is an active fIrequency for auxins. Blue light is also active in chloroplast control blue light stimulates the stomata to open, and so does red light.&lt;div class="blogger-post-footer"&gt;&lt;img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/8914018-115367218328186649?l=mysolarvillage.blogspot.com' alt='' /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/feeds/115367218328186649/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=8914018&amp;postID=115367218328186649' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/115367218328186649'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8914018/posts/default/115367218328186649'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://mysolarvillage.blogspot.com/2006/07/photonically-speaking-of-light-indoor.html' title='Photonically Speaking of Light ( Indoor Light ) manmade'/><author><name>Mojo+ELvis=MELvis</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03467160132316687122</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='32' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-6n-NW2EheYk/TwtDNiIe_kI/AAAAAAAAAnU/xv3cw_XkT_0/s220/melriser.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8914018.post-115351908198581017</id><published>2006-07-21T14:58:00.000-07:00</published><updated>2006-07-21T14:58:02.056-07:00</updated><title type='text'>Peak Everything</title><content type='html'>More Peak EVERYTHING&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Thinking the Unthinkable, By Norman Church&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Editor's Note: The following lengthy speech was given at the "Peak Speak 2" Peak Oil conference, held on July 15, 2006 at Bedzed, Wallington, UK.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Introduction&lt;br /&gt;Oil depletion is just the first of a series of resource crisis humanity is about to face because there are just too many of us! This century we will face peak resources, period.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;There are many fascinating and exciting renewable energy developments. Wind turbines, solar energy, geothermal, biomass, wave and tidal power schemes which are all important energy sources for the future - and could at least help keep the electricity grid going to some degree!&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The popular assumption is that these renewable energy sources, perhaps also including uranium, plutonium and just possibly nuclear, which seems to be coming back on the agenda, will smoothly replace fossil fuels as these become scarce, thanks to our inherited technological expertise. However, although these all produce electricity they are not liquid fuels.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Unfortunately, these popular assumptions could hardly be more wrong. The energy budget must be positive. Output must exceed input. Too much tends to be expected of renewable energy generators today, because the contribution of fossil fuels to the input side is poorly understood.&lt;br /&gt;For example, a wind turbine is not successful as a renewable generator unless another similar one can be constructed from its raw materials using only the energy that the first one generates in its lifetime, and still shows a worthwhile budget surplus.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Or, if corn is grown to produce bioethanol, the energy input to ploughing, sowing, fertilizing, weeding, harvesting and processing the crop must come from the previous year's bioethanol production. Input must also include, proportionately, mining and processing the raw materials and building the machines that do the work, as well as supporting their human operators.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;There is nothing that can replace cheap oil for price, ease of storage, ease of transportation and sheer volumes in the timeframe we need. There is continuing debate over whether a suitable energy alternative might be found to replace the energy from oil as it runs out, but there is certainly no compelling evidence that a comparable substitute will be found.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;It is difficult to think about 'how things will play out' when an oil-based global economy loses its cheap energy source. It has never happened before.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;It will never happen again. Many of the solutions to Peak Oil that are discussed revolve broadly round 'sustainability' and 'sustainable development', including replacement technologies and finding an alternate source of 'sustainable energy'.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;What is Sustainable Development?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;A Definition of Sustainable Development: Development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs. There are tremendous shortcomings in this definition as there is no requirement to conserve specific resources. It does not matter what mineral resources (e.g. fossil fuels, minerals) are depleted so long as something is&lt;br /&gt;found to replace them. From an economic perspective, all that matters is market value, cost per unit, and economic output.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Any attempt by one generation to leave the world as it found it is unlikely and infeasible. Instead, all that is required to comply with this definition is that non-renewable resources that are used up must be replaced with something else. When one resource is depleted or destroyed, just find a different way of doing things, or do something else. Everything is expendable, everything is replaceable. All that matters is economic output and economic efficiency. Another way to put all of this is that any group of beings (human or nonhuman, plant or animal) who take more from their surroundings than they give back will, obviously, deplete their surroundings, after which they will either have to move, or their population will crash.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Future Mirrored in the Past&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;"The farther backward you can look the farther forward you are likely to see." - Winston Churchill&lt;br /&gt;'Collapse' is the language of the apocalypse and we find such issues difficult if not impossible to deal with. The long-term consequence of Peak Oil will take decades to unfold as a series of rolling and interconnected crises, each one more difficult to cope with than the previous as resources become scarcer and as more and more systems break and infrastructure decays.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;However, let us be clear: overshoot created by a lack of energy means the human population of the earth will have to shrink to a sustainable number. Ecologists use a technical term, "die-off", to describe what happens when a population grows too big for the resources that sustain it.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;People are always saying the world will end and it never does. Maybe it won't this time, either. But, frankly, it's not looking good. Almost daily, new evidence is emerging that progress can no longer be taken for granted, that a new Dark Age is lying in wait for us and our children. By some estimates, 5 billion of the world's 6-1⁄2 billion population would never have been able to live without the blessed effects of fossil fuels, and oil in particular. We also need to remember that when a civilization goes splat, the technologies that supported it tend to go with it. This is particularly true of systems that are based on highly interdependent technologies such as ours today.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Greer states in his paper Facing the New Dark Age: A Grassroots Approach: "Finally population die-off begins as the wrecked industrial system no longer produces enough to meet even the most basic human needs. The process ends with impoverished survivors a century or so from now scratching out a meager living amid the crumbling ruins of a once-great civilisation"'&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;This "Die Off" scenario makes a shocking contrast to the cozy fantasies of perpetual progress most people cherish. Those who study history, on the other hand, will find it much more familiar.&lt;br /&gt;The same process has happened dozens of times before, and our present predicament can best be understood by paying attention to the past.'&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Another crucial lesson is that the common notion of holing up in a cabin in the hills with stockpiled food and enough firearms to outfit a Panzer division. This is not a realistic response.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;It takes time for a civilization to come apart, and the process is like rolling down a slope, not like falling off a cliff. We face a future of shortages, economic crises, disintegrating infrastructure, and collapsing public health, probably stretched out over a period of decades. A few years of stored food and an assortment of high-tech paramilitary gear are hopelessly inadequate preparations in the face of this reality.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Stockpiles of precious metals, another common hedge against collapse, are even more useless. All the gold in the world means nothing unless people value it enough to trade scarce resources for it.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Problems with Progress&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;How many people nowadays can't light a fire without matches or butane lighter from some distant factory?&lt;br /&gt;The skills necessary to get by in a non-industrial society, skills that were still common knowledge a century ago, have been all but lost. Knowledge is critical and currently, there is little knowledge of basic survival skills, and even less knowledge of the scope of the problems that are looming.&lt;br /&gt;It's clear that whatever the future holds, it will hold many fewer people than today's world, and the road there won't be easy or pleasant. If there are problems with holing up in a cabin in the hills, what about self sufficiency?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Community Survival During the Coming Energy Decline&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;"Those who already enjoy a measure of self-sufficiency, such as ecovillages and other kinds of sustainable intentional communities will already have some of the skills and experience needed for re-localization." In Powerdown, Richard Heinberg notes that small, self-sustaining communities may become cultural lifeboats in times to come.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;He says, "Our society is going to change profoundly-those of us who understand this are in a position to steward that change. We are going to become popular, needed people in our communities."&lt;br /&gt;But no matter how prepared an intentional community or organized neighborhood may be, it will be adversely impacted in some way.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;But is Community Enough?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Experts suggest several possible scenarios for the coming energy decline and any of these scenarios will present significant challenges for intentional&lt;br /&gt;communities.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Even in the "soft landing" scenario, there will still be massive structural changes in society and being in debt may be the undoing of many.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Common advice among many Peak Oil experts is to get out of debt! Let's say for example, that a community is deeply in debt, and is still paying off its property purchase loans.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Let's say the community loses its financial resource base-if members lose their jobs or if a weak economy reduces the market for the goods and services the community produces-the group could default on its loan payments, and may have its property seized by the bank or other creditors.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;A property-value crash may worsen the debt situation for intentional communities. If a community's property value falls below their equity in the property, they won't be able to save themselves from defaulting on loans by selling off their land, which is typically the last resort of farmers in debt.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;All the shortages and systems failures that can affect mainstream culture can affect intentional communities as well. A community may not have enough foresight, labour, tools, or funds to create alternatives to whatever their members use now for heating, lighting, cooking, refrigeration, water collection, water pumping, and disposal utilization of gray water and human waste.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Then there's the matter of community security-a subject many find "politically incorrect" to even consider. If the government fails; if the law and order system falls apart, there can be various kinds of dangerous consequences. Desperate, hungry people can loot and steal and take what they want from others.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Vigilante groups can form to either deal with the lawlessness, and/or take what they want themselves. Government may declare martial law, rescind constitutional liberties, and send in troops to restore order and/or take what they want from others. Having supportive neighbors and good networking in the greater community may help. The social fabric has been unraveling for several decades, and the lack of solidarity or social cohesion is another one of the reasons there must be a collapse -- after all, do you see community-spirit on the rise and an actual transition underway to a sustainable and ecological society?&lt;br /&gt;So would it be possible to rebuild Civilisation after a collapse? Jason Godesky wrote in It Will Be Impossible to Rebuild Civilisation: "The current state of civilization is dependent on resources that are now so depleted, that they require an industrial infrastructure already in place to gather those resources. We can fetch this fossil fuel only because we have fossil fuels to put to the task."&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;He goes on to comment on metals.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;* That to maintain civilization, only some metals are useful.&lt;br /&gt;* They must be strong enough for agriculture or war.&lt;br /&gt;* They must keep an edge.&lt;br /&gt;* They must occur in economically feasible quantities.&lt;br /&gt;* They must have a melting point low enough to be worked.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Gold, silver, etc. immediately fail as the quantities are insufficient, and they are far too soft.&lt;br /&gt;There are many other metals which are basically all alloys and would be all but unworkable in a post collapse society. The metal that probably deserves the most attention is iron. He says that iron although problematic is not impossible and may well be the only metal that survivors will have access to.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;(1) Ore,&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Most near-surface iron deposits were exploited long ago. What remains is deep in the ground and is unlikely to be accessible without fossil fuels, except in rare exceptions.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;(2) Scavenged iron.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Scavenged iron is, especially in the immediate aftermath of collapse likely to be the most abundant source although [working] most of the sophisticated alloys we use now rely on the kind of high temperatures attainable only with fossil fuels. This shouldn't matter too much as there's still enough that can be done with heated and reworked scavenged metals. After a few decades the scavenged metals will become more and more rusted and even worn out and the metalworking will begin to diminish as it becomes harder and harder to make poorer and poorer metal weapons and tools.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;(3) Bog Iron.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The final source is bog iron which is actually a renewable resource. About once each generation the same bog can be re-harvested but it may be up to a century before today's bog iron deposits are refilled; after that, it may enter the cycle of once-a-generation per bog.&lt;br /&gt;We should be aware of this factor because of one other necessary resource that we have so far only touched on briefly: knowledge.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The knowledge of how to work iron and many other processes was accrued over centuries.&lt;br /&gt;Those who know, no longer do; those who do, no longer know. This may well end applying to a lot of knowledge.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;How much knowledge will manage to survive the post collapse period, for the time that comes after when it may become useful again?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;If it is insufficient, we will be starting from scratch again. This will apply to all knowledge and knowledge is a powerful thing, difficult to relearn from seed, and easily lost.&lt;br /&gt;How plausible would agriculture be after the collapse?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Civilization is only possible through agriculture, because only agriculture allows a society to increase its food supply--and thus its population--and thus its energy throughput--and thus its complexity--so arbitrarily."&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Plants, like any other organism, take in nutrients, and excrete wastes. In nature, what one plant excretes as waste, another takes in as nutrients. They balance each other, and all of them thrive.&lt;br /&gt;But monoculture--planting whole fields of just one crop--sets fields of the same plant, all bleeding out the same nutrients, all dumping back in the same wastes.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The ecological effects of fossil-based food production have been catastrophic, particularly with respect to agriculture. As a result, the complex ecology of the living soil is being destroyed, leading to increased wind and water erosion. In the near-term, most arable land has long been depleted, and is now utterly dependent on fertilizers made from fossil fuels. In the course of our civilization we have used up all of the surface and near-surface deposits of all the economically viable fossil fuels and minerals. The lack of metals will continue to limit technological development after the collapse--and by limiting technological development, it will also limit all other forms of complexity. We are therefore talking about a complete break with the end of our current civilization. Whole generations will pass before civilisation becomes feasible again. What, then, of the distant future?&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Distant Future&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;After the passage of millennia, the soil may well heal itself, and the necessary climate may return. In that scenario, agriculture may be possible in those same areas, and under the same conditions, that it first occurred. With the passage of geological ages, though, this will pass. Fossil fuels will be replenished, and metal ores will rise to the surface.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Then, if there are still humans so far into the future--this is a matter of at least tens of millions of years, far longer than humans have so far survived--then there might be another opportunity to rebuild civilization.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;So after the collapse, we may see a brief Iron Age, but it seems more likely to fade away within the next two centuries.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Living without oil, if we don't start to prepare for it, will not be like returning to the pre industrial world, because we will have lost the infrastructure that made that life possible. We have also lost our basic survival skills.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Today, the UK population is about 62 million. In 1750, when the Industrial Revolution was beginning, it was about 6 million. It had never exceeded this figure, although during the Dark Ages&lt;br /&gt;and after the Black Death it fell to one or two million.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Most people lived and died in poverty. Pre-industrial farmers were pushed to the limit to feed so many. The population increased slightly in years with good harvests, but starvation and malnutrition cut it back to the 6 million norm when harvests were bad. Food is energy. And it takes energy to get food. These two facts, taken together, have always established the biological limits to the human population and always will.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Conclusion&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The topic of Peak Oil is at present enveloped by a great silence and the&lt;br /&gt;public seems unprepared for rational discussion&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;This reminds me of a comment made by Sherlock Holmes in A. Conan Doyle's story "Silver Blaze."&lt;br /&gt;Inspector Gregory had asked, "Is there any point to which you would wish to draw my attention?"&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;To this Holmes responded:&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;"To the curious incident of the dog in the night time."&lt;br /&gt;"The dog did nothing in the night time," said the Inspector.&lt;br /&gt;"That was the curious incident," remarked Sherlock Holmes.&lt;br /&gt;By asking himself what would repress the normal barking instinct of a watchdog, Holmes realized that it must be the dog's recognition of his master as the criminal trespasser.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;In a similar way we should ask ourselves what repression keeps us from discussing something as important as survival long term after Peak Oil.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Curious, but understandable - for the foreseeable future I think that our survival demands that we govern our actions by the ethics of a lifeboat. Posterity will be ill served if we do not.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Those who attended "Peak Speak 1" in London last year may remember the lifeboat analogy I mentioned.&lt;br /&gt;Greer uses a similar point in The Coming of Deindustrial Society: Imagine that you're on an ocean liner that's headed straight for a well marked shoal of rocks. Half the crew is dead drunk, and the other half has already responded to your attempts to alert them by telling you that you obviously don't know the first thing about navigation, and everything will be all right.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;At a certain point, you know, the ship will be so close to the rocks that its momentum will carry it onto them no matter what evasive actions the helmsman tries to make. You're not sure, but it looks as though that point is already well past. What do you do? You can keep on pounding on the door to the bridge, trying to convince the crew of the approaching danger. You can join the prayer group down in the galley; they're convinced that if they pray fervently enough, God will save them from shipwreck. You can decide that everyone's doomed and go get roaring drunk. Or you can go around quietly to the other passengers, and encourage those people who have noticed the situation (or are willing to notice it) to break out the life jackets, assemble near the lifeboats, take care of people who need help, and otherwise deal with the approaching wreck in a way that will salvage as much as possible.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Although there is growing awareness of the problem, there is also widespread ignorance and denial, even by people who should know better. Mankind has, it seems, an infinite capacity for denial. The evidence is overwhelming that we are in the "overshoot" phase of the industrial life cycle, yet most people and most organizations refuse even to discuss this matter, le
